END of JULY SITREP SUPPORT
LEAD STORIES
Biden Says He Would Reevaluate Campaign if Medical Issue Flagged by Doctors
President Joe Biden stated he would reconsider his candidacy if doctors advised him of a significant medical issue, marking the first time he has suggested a potential health condition could force him from the presidential race. Previously asserting that only divine intervention could make him step down, Biden emphasized that his decision to remain is driven by his belief in his ability to get things done amid deep political divisions. The recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump temporarily halted Democratic infighting about Biden’s candidacy. However, pressure for Biden to withdraw persists, with an Associated Press/NORC poll indicating about two-thirds of Democrats want him to drop out of the 2024 race. Biden, described by Special Counsel Robert Hur as having a poor memory, suffers from atrial fibrillation, peripheral neuropathy, and hyperlipidemia. His health issues have led to measures to minimize public attention, such as using shorter steps to board Air Force One and wearing specially crafted shoes to aid his mobility.
Joe Biden Withdrawals from 2024 Presidential Race
US President Joe Biden announced his decision to withdraw from the presidential race, allowing the Democratic Party to choose a new candidate to face former President Donald Trump in the upcoming election. In his letter, Biden expressed it had been an honor to serve as President and, although he intended to seek re-election, he believed stepping down was best for his party and the country. He thanked Vice President Kamala Harris for her partnership and the American people for their trust. Biden emphasized that America can achieve anything when united. He endorsed Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate for the presidency and mentioned he would address the nation later in the week to elaborate on his decision.
Biden’s Withdrawal May Trigger a 25th Amendment Fight
President Biden’s withdrawal from the Democratic nomination has created new problems, primarily the perception of his incapacity to hold office. Forced by the party to step down despite his recent assertions of running, Biden’s exit raises constitutional issues, notably around the 25th Amendment. The Democratic Party faces two unattractive options: admitting Biden’s political unviability or acknowledging his diminished mental and physical state, potentially triggering a 25th Amendment battle. The dilemma is compounded by Vice President Harris’s reluctance to be seen as ousting Biden. An alternative solution could be congressional intervention via a commission on presidential capacity, similar to past proposals targeting Trump. Biden’s situation contrasts sharply with historical precedents like Lyndon Johnson’s withdrawal before any primaries, highlighting the unique and controversial nature of his departure. This move, amidst special counsel claims of Biden’s diminished faculties, suggests an unprecedented scenario where the President's ability to run for office is questioned, potentially leading to a broader investigation into his capacity to serve.
DC Under Attack as Pro-Palestine Protestors Assault Cops and Burn American Flags
On Wednesday, left-wing pro-Hamas extremists and anti-Israel protesters in Washington, D.C., assaulted a police officer and burned an American flag in response to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's speech, where he sought support for the war against Hamas in Gaza. The protesters caused significant damage at Union Station, where they replaced American flags with Palestinian ones and defaced the Christopher Columbus Memorial Fountain with hostile graffiti. Netanyahu addressed Congress, emphasizing efforts to secure the release of hostages, including Americans, and praising President Biden's support for Israel, including deploying aircraft carriers to the Middle East. He condemned Iran and linked recent anti-Israel protests in the U.S. to Iranian influence. Netanyahu criticized the International Criminal Court and highlighted the heroism of Israeli soldiers. His speech faced boycotts from some Democrats and Vice President Harris, with Republicans criticizing their absence. Outside the Capitol, pro-Palestinian protests were planned, with organizers calling for a "day of rage" and warning of potential arrests. Netanyahu's address occurred amidst significant political divisions in the U.S. and ongoing conflict in Gaza, with hopes for a deal to free hostages and end the war.
Trump Campaign Files FEC Complaint as ActBlue is Accused of ‘Massive Money Laundering Operation’
Democrat donation platform ActBlue faces accusations of operating a "massive money laundering operation," funneling large donor contributions through numerous small donations made in the names of unaware individuals. This comes as ActBlue reported its best day of 2024 following President Biden's announcement of not seeking reelection. Previously, ActBlue was fined for facilitating nearly $44,000 in illegal contributions. Journalist James O'Keefe confronted alleged donors with numerous contributions made in their names, which they denied knowledge of. Meanwhile, the Trump campaign filed a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) against President Biden and VP Kamala Harris, accusing them of violating campaign finance laws by transferring $91 million from Biden's fundraising to Harris's new campaign. Trump campaign general counsel David Warrington called it a "brazen money grab" and the largest violation in the history of the Federal Election Campaign Act. The complaint alleges fraudulent form filings and excessive contributions, arguing that Harris’s name does not legally appear on Biden's committee documents. The Harris campaign dismissed the complaint as "baseless."
Hundreds of Leftists Arrested in Antisemitic Protests as Netanyahu Set to Address Congress
On Tuesday night, hundreds of anti-Israel protesters from Jewish Voice for Peace were arrested in Washington, DC, after entering the Cannon Building, which houses congressional offices. The arrests, estimated between 200 to over 400, occurred ahead of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's address to a joint session of Congress. Protesters filled the Cannon Rotunda, becoming disruptive and attempting to force entry into offices, prompting Capitol Police intervention. Representative Dan Kildee's staff called for help as demonstrators beat on office doors, despite Kildee's previous vote against military aid to Israel. Capitol Police arrested the protesters after warnings to cease their actions. House Speaker Mike Johnson emphasized adherence to decorum during Netanyahu's speech and announced increased security measures. Concurrently, outside the Capitol, demonstrations were held demanding the release of Israeli hostages still held in Gaza since the October 7 attacks.
Acceptance of Palestinian Refugees Continues to be Denied by Neighboring Muslim Countries
In October, it was asserted that prominent members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) would continue to project unity and concern for Palestinian Muslims to the West, despite not accepting Palestinian refugees. This reluctance stems from a deeper collective animosity towards Israel and the West and a shared aspiration to establish a global caliphate. In November, both Egypt and Jordan refused to aid Palestinians in Gaza, prioritizing anti-Israel sentiment over Palestinian safety. This stance underscores a preference for propaganda against Israel, viewing Palestinian casualties as advantageous for smearing the Jewish state. In Islamic teachings, dying for Allah’s cause is highly revered, as illustrated by a quote from Muhammad in Sahih Bukhari. Besides demonizing Israel, another possible reason for not accepting Palestinian refugees is the fear of increased Hamas influence and logistical challenges. Despite the OIC comprising 57 member states, none are willing to welcome Palestinian refugees, highlighting a significant disconnect between their rhetoric and actions.
New Artic Strategy by Pentagon Looks to Counter China-Russia Partnership
The Pentagon has unveiled a new Arctic strategy in response to growing geopolitical competition with China and Russia, driven by the region's militarization and resource opportunities. Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen Hicks emphasized the Arctic's strategic importance to U.S. security and outlined a "monitor and respond" approach involving coordinated efforts with Arctic allies. The strategy, part of a broader "whole of government" effort, includes modernizing the North American Aerospace Defense Command, investing in new systems and cold weather gear, and increasing joint training. China, which declared itself a “near-Arctic state” in 2012, has significantly invested in Arctic projects to access resources and develop the Polar Silk Road, potentially enhancing its military capabilities. The U.S. response includes developing polar icebreakers, joining forces with Canada and Finland through the Icebreaker Collaboration Effort (ICE Pact) to build and maintain icebreaker fleets, and addressing military aspects of Chinese research. This strategy aims to maintain a "peaceful, stable, prosperous, and cooperative" Arctic while countering the "pacing challenge" posed by China and Russia.
Another Prominent Russian Dies After Falling Out of Window
Valentina Bondarenko, a prominent Russian economist, died at 82 after falling from her apartment window in Moscow, as reported by Russian state media. Bondarenko, a research fellow at the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, fell on Monday evening. Emergency services stated her injuries were fatal and preliminary information suggests her death was not criminal, possibly due to a long-term illness. The incident follows a series of mysterious falls of high-profile Russians since the onset of the war in Ukraine. Bondarenko had an extensive career, directing the International N.D. Kondratiev Foundation since 1993 and publishing over 220 works. Reactions on social media ranged from expressions of sorrow to suspicions of foul play. Authorities are investigating the circumstances of her fall.
Three Russian Warships Arrive in Havana Cuba
This weekend, three Russian warships from the Baltic Fleet—training ship Smólny, patrol ship Neustrahimiy, and offshore oil tanker Yelnya—arrived in Havana, Cuba, for a four-day visit. The vessels' program includes meetings with Cuban Navy officials and visits to Havana's historical and cultural sites. The visit, described by Cuban defense officials as a "historical practice" and a symbol of "friendship and collaboration," follows a similar Russian naval visit in June. The Cuban government welcomed the fleet with a cannon salute, and local residents showed interest in the ships. This visit underscores the ongoing close relationship between Cuba and Russia, marked by Russian support for Cuba's struggling economy, including aid such as oil and wheat. Russia's presence in Cuba is also linked to its ongoing support for its invasion of Ukraine and the recruitment of Cuban nationals to fight in the conflict. Despite this, U.S. Northern Command noted that Russia’s activities in the Atlantic pose no direct threat to the U.S.
TRUMP ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT
The shooter was Spotted 90 Minutes Before the Shooting as Police Were Stationed Below
Text messages between Beaver County Emergency Service Unit members reveal that law enforcement was aware of would-be assassin Thomas Matthew Crooks more than 90 minutes before he attempted to assassinate former President Donald Trump at his July 13 rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Initially, it was reported that officials had identified a suspicious individual about an hour before the shooting. However, new texts show law enforcement knew of Crooks nearly 100 minutes prior. The messages indicate Crooks, 20, was conscious of the law enforcement presence, noting he had been observed near the counter-snipers. Despite spotting Crooks with a range finder and a suspicious bike, there were delays in notifying Secret Service snipers. Texts also suggest an officer advised notifying the Secret Service about Crooks’s suspicious behavior. The revelation has sparked disbelief and criticism on social media, with some users alleging a potential setup or negligence, questioning the adequacy of the response given the advance warning of Crooks's presence.
HHS is Interfering in House Investigation into Trump Assassination Attempt
Rep. Michael Cloud (R-Texas) accused Alejandro Mayorkas's Department of Homeland Security (DHS) of obstructing the House's investigation into the attempted assassination of President Donald Trump. Cloud, speaking to Breitbart News at the GOP national convention, criticized DHS for not being transparent about the incident, labeling it as an "epic failure." He expressed concern over DHS's interference in communication between the Secret Service and the House Oversight Committee, chaired by Rep. James Comer (R-KY). Cloud highlighted that subpoenas are being issued to ensure the Secret Service director's appearance at an upcoming hearing, aiming to start the investigation promptly upon the committee's return. He criticized the Biden administration for alleged failures in protecting political opponents while targeting dissenting voices. Cloud emphasized the seriousness of the security lapse and called for accountability within the Secret Service leadership, suggesting that resignations may be necessary to prevent such failures from recurring.
Trump Secret Service Team ‘Mostly Temporary Replacements’
Donald Trump was under the protection of temporary Secret Service replacements when he was targeted by a sniper during a rally in Pennsylvania, according to RadarOnline.com. The sniper, identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks, fired a semiautomatic rifle from a nearby rooftop towards Trump and the crowd in Butler. Despite a bullet grazing Trump's ear, a counter sniper swiftly neutralized Crooks with a single shot. Trump commended the security team for their swift response in his first interview post-incident. However, lawmakers are scrutinizing the Secret Service over lapses that allowed Crooks to fire multiple rounds before being stopped. Concerns have been raised about delayed evacuation of Trump and inadequate rooftop security. Cell phone footage revealed attempts by attendees to alert security about the gunman beforehand. Reports indicate the Secret Service was stretched thin due to prolonged work weeks of the primary detail, resulting in reliance on supplemental agents. Critics cite the placement of inexperienced agents during critical security operations as a significant failure in mission planning and execution.
BORDER CRISIS
30 Million Migrants Holding US Jobs, Outpacing Growth of Native Americans
According to Pew Research Center, over 30 million migrants, including legal immigrants, visa workers, and illegal aliens, were holding jobs in the U.S. as of 2022, marking a 20% increase over the past 15 years. The number of legal immigrants in the workforce alone rose nearly 30% since 2007, while native-born Americans’ workforce participation grew by less than 10% in the same period. The federal government's reliance on mass immigration as a labor policy has intensified competition in the job market for working- and middle-class Americans. Under President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, research from the Center for Immigration Studies reveals that 75% of U.S. job growth from May 2019 to May 2024 went to newly arrived migrants, with fewer than one million native-born Americans added to the workforce. Additionally, labor participation among working-class American men has significantly declined, from 95.7% in 1960 to 81.6% this year, while 950,000 native-born Americans exited the workforce last year, compared to 1.2 million jobs gained by migrants.
Before Kamala’s First Visit to Southern Border, Border Agents Ordered to Put on a ‘Show” and Clear Streets of Migrants
A recent report reveals that Border Patrol agents were instructed to create a misleading presentation for Vice President Kamala Harris during her first and only border visit in June 2021. Despite her role as "border czar," Harris' visit did not accurately reflect the ongoing border crisis. According to the New York Post, agents were ordered to obscure the reality by moving immigrants around and sanitizing the area to present a more controlled environment. Agents recounted being directed to rearrange people and hide the scale of the crisis, with some reporting that they even had to braid children’s hair to improve appearances. Harris' visit, described as rushed and lacking genuine interest, focused on a sanitized processing facility rather than the true extent of the crisis. Following this visit, the border situation deteriorated further, and the crisis remains unresolved, impacting Harris' public perception and the administration's credibility on border management.
BOHICA!
International Bird Flu Summit in DC to Discuss ‘Mass Fatality Management Planning’
The upcoming International Bird Flu Summit scheduled for October in Washington D.C. has sparked concerns reminiscent of past pandemic simulations like Event 201. The summit, focusing on a potentially virulent strain of H5N1 bird flu affecting both cattle and humans, aims to strategize mass fatality management, surveillance enhancements, and vaccination deployment. This gathering, seeking corporate sponsors, suggests preparedness akin to digital health passports and anticipates socio-economic impacts on poultry and livestock industries. Finland has already begun mRNA bird flu vaccinations, procuring doses amid global efforts, while the US has awarded Moderna a substantial contract for similar vaccines. With a comprehensive agenda spanning emergency response, risk communication, and sector-specific planning, attendees include public health officials, veterinarians, policymakers, and pharmaceutical industry representatives. Amid escalating scaremongering and globalist preparations, speculation swirls whether this summit foreshadows another significant global health crisis, potentially timed around the November elections or beyond, raising skepticism and scrutiny regarding elite motives and pandemic preparedness strategies.
Non-US NATO Spending Sees Surge in Defense Spending
NATO members, excluding the U.S., have significantly increased their defense spending since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. A Visual Capitalist graphic by Marcus Lu highlights the annual percentage change in defense expenditure among these NATO members since 2012. This surge in spending is attributed to ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Israel. Twenty-three of NATO’s 32 members now meet the alliance's minimum defense spending requirement of 2% of GDP, up from just 10 members in 2023. The majority of these expenditures fund troop maintenance, pensions, peacekeeping, humanitarian operations, and research and development. Despite this increase, the U.S. remains the largest contributor to NATO's budget, accounting for $860 billion, or 68% of total expenditures in 2023, which is over 10 times more than Germany, the second-highest contributor. For further insights, see "Breaking Down $1.3T in NATO Defense Spending," which visualizes expected defense expenditures of NATO members in 2023.
US Now $35 Trillion in Debt
On Monday, the U.S. national debt exceeded $35 trillion for the first time, prompting renewed calls from GOP lawmakers for fiscal reform. House Budget Committee Chairman Jodey Arrington (R-TX) highlighted that the debt, now at $35 trillion, equates to approximately $104,497 per person, $266,275 per household, and $483,889 per child. This represents a $2.35 trillion increase over the past year, or $268 million in new debt every hour. Arrington criticized the current fiscal trajectory and advocated for a Republican-led effort in 2025 to restore fiscal responsibility. The Treasury Department's tracker recorded the debt at $35,001,278,179,208 late Monday. Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA) warned the debt could reach $36 trillion by mid-November and blamed the Biden-Harris administration for unchecked spending. Economist Peter Schiff noted that Biden has added more to the debt in 3.5 years than Trump did in a single term, and Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) countered that Trump's tax cuts significantly contributed to the debt.
‘Accounting Errors’ Finds Another $2 Billion in Ukraine Aid Says Pentagon
A recent Government Accountability Office (GAO) report revealed that the Pentagon discovered an additional $2 billion in accounting errors related to the valuation of missiles, ammunition, and other equipment provided to Ukraine, bringing the total overvaluation to $8.2 billion. This discrepancy stems from using the "replacement value" instead of the "depreciated value" for weapons shipped under the Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA), allowing the U.S. to continue supplying arms to Ukraine despite funding shortages. The GAO highlighted unclear accounting definitions in the Foreign Assistance Act as a contributing factor. In response, Congress passed a $95 billion military aid package, including $61 billion for Ukraine, despite its challenges in regaining territory from Russia. The Office of Management and Budget previously revealed that the White House undercounted its spending on the Ukraine war by at least $14 billion, totaling $186 billion. The ongoing conflict has reportedly resulted in approximately 500,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed or injured.
Ukraine to Receive $1.7 Billion in New Security Assistance Announces US
The United States announced a new $1.7 billion military aid package for Ukraine, including $200 million in equipment from existing U.S. military stocks and $1.5 billion in new orders. The package provides air defense munitions, artillery rounds, ammunition for HIMARS precision rocket launchers, and various anti-tank weapons, among other capabilities. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed gratitude to U.S. President Joe Biden, Congress, and the American people, noting that the aid is critical for Ukraine's defense and saving lives. Zelensky's visit to special forces in the Kharkiv region highlighted the aid's impact on protecting against Russian attacks. The United States has been a key supporter of Ukraine, committing over $55 billion in security assistance since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022. Despite recent U.S. aid packages, Russia has claimed front-line advances, including capturing the village of Vovche. As the conflict enters its third year, both Kyiv and Moscow struggle to gain a decisive advantage, with Moscow's forces making recent gains.
WAR (and rumors of war)
US MILITARY
USS Eisenhower Returns Home After Nine-Month Deployment
The crews of the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN 69) and its escort ships were warmly welcomed by friends and family as they returned to Naval Station Norfolk, following a significant deployment in the Eastern Mediterranean. Commanding Officer Captain Chris Hill notably boosted crew morale by distributing 54,000 cookies during the deployment. The Eisenhower was dispatched on October 14, 2023, to support operations amidst the Israel-Hamas war, joining the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) in the region. Escorting the Eisenhower were the guided missile destroyers USS Gravely, USS Laboon, and USS Mason, along with the guided missile cruiser USS Philippine Sea. The strike group focused on protecting civilian and allied vessels in the Red Sea and countering Houthi attacks. Carrier Air Wing 3 provided air support, launching sorties against missiles and drones. Upon the Eisenhower's departure in late June, a brief carrier gap occurred until the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) arrived on July 12. The Wasp Amphibious Ready Group provided interim coverage. The delicate balance of global carrier deployments underscores the demanding requirements and the impact of lengthy refueling periods. The USS John F. Kennedy (CVN 79), scheduled for delivery in 2025, will eventually replace the USS Nimitz (CVN 68), which is set to retire in 2026.
Two B-52s Intercepted by Russian Fighter Jets over the Barents Sea
Russia scrambled fighter jets to prevent two US B-52H strategic bombers from crossing its border over the Barents Sea in the Arctic, the Russian defense ministry said on Sunday. The US military regularly conducts flights over international waters, asserting they are in neutral airspace and comply with international law. However, Moscow has recently reacted more aggressively to such exercises, warning in June that US drone flights over the Black Sea could lead to a "direct" military clash. Upon intercepting the "air target," the Russian jets identified the bombers, prompting them to alter their course away from Russia's border. Previously, Russia accused the US of using reconnaissance drone flights over the Black Sea to aid Ukraine in targeting the Russian-annexed Crimean peninsula, increasing the risk of direct confrontation between NATO and Russia and prompting the Russian army to prepare an "operational response."
Russia Orders ‘Response’ to US Drone Flights Over the Black Sea Region
Russia's defense minister has ordered a "response" to increased U.S. drone flights over the Black Sea, signaling potential forceful actions against American reconnaissance aircraft. The Russian Defense Ministry highlighted an uptick in U.S. drone activity, accusing them of aiding Ukrainian military strikes on Russian targets with Western-supplied precision weapons, thus intensifying U.S. and NATO involvement in the Ukraine conflict. The ministry warned that such flights heighten the risk of incidents involving Russian military aircraft, potentially leading to direct confrontations with NATO, for which it holds the alliance responsible. Defense Minister Andrei Belousov has tasked the General Staff with proposing measures to counter these provocations. This follows a history of clashes, including a 2023 incident where a Russian jet damaged a U.S. drone, causing it to crash. The incident was marked as the first direct clash between Russian and U.S. forces since the Cold War. Russia has declared large areas near Crimea off-limits to flights, accusing U.S. surveillance planes of intruding despite warnings. This escalation comes after a Ukrainian attack on Sevastopol with U.S.-made missiles, prompting Russian claims of direct U.S. involvement and threats of retaliation.
US Troops will be Completely Pulled-Out of Niger by Early August
US General Kenneth Ekman announced that the withdrawal of American troops from Niger, as requested by the country's military regime, is progressing ahead of schedule and will be completed by early August, well before the September 15 deadline. The US Africa Command (Africom) has coordinated closely with Nigerien military counterparts to facilitate the exit. The withdrawal began with the closure of the Niamey base in early July, but around 200 US soldiers remain at the Agadez drone base in northern Niger. The Nigerien military leaders, who took power in a March 2023 coup, ordered all US and French forces to leave. General Ekman expressed concerns about the impact on regional security, citing the growing threat from jihadist groups in the Sahel. Despite media speculation, he denied plans for a new US base in Ivory Coast and highlighted ongoing collaboration with local security forces, including participation in the recent "Flintlock" military exercises.
New Report Finds that US ‘Not Prepared for War’ with China and Russia
A bipartisan congressional panel's report reveals that America's chances of engaging in a major war are the highest in 80 years, while its military readiness is inadequate. The nearly 100-page report criticizes the Pentagon's sluggishness, Congress's partisanship, and past administrations' complacency regarding threats from China, Russia, and the Middle East. It warns that the U.S. is not as prepared for conflict as it was during the Cold War and highlights the mismatch between growing global threats and the country's lackluster defense posture. The report underscores inefficiencies in defense budgeting and procurement, such as outdated equipment and delayed spending bills. It calls for immediate legislative action to boost defense spending, overhaul procurement processes, and consider politically difficult reforms, including tax hikes and entitlement program adjustments. The panel's findings, aimed at influencing the upcoming presidential election, emphasize the need for a robust military capable of addressing multiple simultaneous threats, reflecting concerns over global security dynamics and U.S. defense capabilities.
Wargames Against China Suggests US Could Burn Through its Ammo in ‘As Few as 3 to 4 Weeks’
A new bipartisan report reveals that the Pentagon could deplete its munitions within three to four weeks in a prolonged conflict with China. The 114-page report, released by a congressional commission, highlights critical deficiencies in U.S. defense preparedness against major powers like China and Russia, stressing that current ammunition stockpiles and defense production capabilities are insufficient. The report, which consolidates recent findings and testimonies from officials, cites a 2022 assessment indicating the U.S. lacks the necessary arms to repel an initial invasion. It warns that some key munitions, such as anti-ship missiles, might only last days in a conflict. The commission also criticized the U.S. defense industry as inadequately equipped to meet wartime demands, recommending significant changes including a new "all elements of national power" strategy and a "Multiple Theater Force Construct" to address simultaneous large-scale conflicts. The report calls for immediate, substantial investments and strategic shifts to prepare for potential major conflicts and raise public awareness of these threats.
FORTRESS EUROPE
US Forces Hosted by Armenia for Joint Drills
Armenia has initiated joint military drills with US troops, marking a shift in its geopolitical alliances amid growing tensions with Russia. The drills, involving the US Army Europe and Africa and the Kansas National Guard, started on Tuesday and will continue until July 24. Named Eagle Partner 2024, the exercises aim to enhance interoperability and readiness for peacekeeping missions. Armenia's defense ministry stated the drills would focus on stabilization tasks during peacekeeping operations. This move signifies Armenia's increasing alignment with the West, as relations with Russia have soured, particularly after Russian peacekeepers failed to prevent Azerbaijani forces from reclaiming the Nagorno-Karabakh region, leading to a mass exodus of Armenians. Consequently, Armenia has distanced itself from the Moscow-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and sought closer ties with the US and EU. Meanwhile, the US indefinitely postponed joint exercises with Georgia, citing concerns over Tbilisi's democratic backsliding.
Romanian F-16s Scrambled After Russian Drone Crosses Border
Romania dispatched F-16 fighter jets to its border with Ukraine early Wednesday after Russian drone attacks near the NATO country's territory. The Romanian Ministry of Defense reported that two F-16s took off from a southeastern military base at 2:19 a.m. to monitor the aerial situation and returned two hours later. Romanian teams are investigating potential debris around Plauru, near the Ukrainian port town of Izmail. Izmail faced a "massive attack" by Iranian-designed Shahed drones, damaging port infrastructure and a residential building, with three people hospitalized. Ukraine's air force intercepted 17 of 23 drones launched overnight, mainly targeting Odesa and originating from Crimea and Krasnodar. Russia's focus on Izmail's port facilities, crucial for grain exports, raises fears of the conflict spilling into NATO territory. In September 2023, Romania confirmed drone debris landed in its territory, and in December 2023, Romanian and German jets were scrambled following a drone crash near Izmail. Romanian NATO ambassador Dan Neculăescu condemned the strikes as "an irresponsible escalation."
MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL
US and British Warplanes Launch Retaliatory Strikes on Yemen
US and UK warplanes launched multiple airstrikes on Hodeidah International Airport in western Yemen, targeting the airport with three raids overnight and early Friday, as reported by Yemen’s SABA news agency. These attacks followed several prior strikes on Thursday, including five raids on various Ansarallah sites in the Ras Issa area, which houses an oil berth. US Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed the destruction of five uncrewed vessels and three drones belonging to the Houthis in the Red Sea and Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen. In response to a naval blockade imposed by Yemen on ships delivering goods to Israeli ports, and amid a violent campaign of US and UK airstrikes, Yemen's Ansarallah and Sanaa government forces have been striking US and British warships. Ansarallah leader Abdel al-Malik al-Houthi reported 57 deaths and 87 injuries from 570 airstrikes since the western campaign began. Despite the intense airstrikes, Yemen's military operations continue unabated, including targeting the USS Eisenhower aircraft carrier, as US and EU maritime task forces struggle to prevent attacks on international shipping.
Rocket Kills 12 Children in Golan. Israel Vows Retaliation
Israel vowed to "hit the enemy hard" after a rocket attack from Lebanon killed 12 young people in the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights, raising fears of the Gaza conflict spreading. Iran warned Israel against military actions in Lebanon, while the UN Secretary-General urged restraint. Israel blamed Hezbollah for the attack, but the group denied involvement, although it had fired a rocket at an Israeli military target. The Israeli strike had previously killed four Hezbollah fighters, leading to retaliatory rocket attacks. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu warned Hezbollah of severe repercussions, and Israeli forces targeted Hezbollah positions in Lebanon. The incident, which killed children in Majdal Shams, has led to international concerns, with Lebanon calling for an investigation. The ongoing cross-border violence since October has caused significant casualties, and Hezbollah has indicated it would cease attacks if a Gaza ceasefire is achieved. Efforts to broker a ceasefire continue, with talks planned in Rome.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
ATACMS Warning Issued to Ukraine by Pentagon
The Pentagon has emphasized its opposition to any expansion of the Ukraine conflict beyond the country's borders amid Kyiv's aspirations to conduct long-range strikes into Russia using Western-supplied weapons. Major General Pat Ryder, Pentagon press secretary, highlighted concerns about unintended escalation in an interview with Voice of America's Ukrainian edition. Ryder underscored the seriousness of potential repercussions from such actions, asserting that the U.S. maintains a cautious approach to long-distance military policy. Despite supplying Ukraine with ATACMS ground-launched missiles capable of striking deep into Russian-held territory, the U.S. has restricted their use to targets within mainland Ukraine and Crimea. Recent tensions escalated when the U.S. allowed Ukraine to deploy shorter-range defensive weapons following Russian incursions into Kharkiv. However, calls from Kyiv to expand ATACMS use beyond current restrictions have not been authorized. The situation reflects international caution and division within NATO regarding the implications of broader military engagement in the region, with Russia warning of grave consequences amid ongoing scrutiny of Ukrainian military capabilities.
Zelensky Says West Giving Ukraine ‘Positive Signals’ on Stikes Deep Inside Russia
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has indicated that Ukraine has received "positive signals" from Western allies regarding the use of donated arms for long-range attacks inside Russia. Despite this, Ukraine continues to develop its own weapons. Western restrictions on the use of supplied arms have been labeled "crazy" by Zelensky, who expressed frustration over these limitations not being lifted during a recent NATO summit. Russia has blamed Ukraine for a missile incident in Kiev, while Zelensky criticized Western support as inconsistent, though he noted some progress on the issue of long-range weapon use. Ukraine has been utilizing unmanned kamikaze aircraft for deep strikes in Russia. Zelensky's claim that the UK allowed the use of Storm Shadow missiles for such strikes was later contested by a British military official. US President Joe Biden also opposed Ukrainian long-range strikes on targets like the Kremlin. While Western nations aim to avoid direct involvement in the conflict, Russia considers the extensive support from NATO states as evidence of a US-led proxy war against them.
Su-34 Drops Russian Giant 6,000lb Glide Bomb for First Time
Russia has released unprecedented footage showcasing the deployment and launch of its new guided, winged version of the FAB-3000 aerial bomb, a formidable weapon weighing over 6,600 pounds in its basic configuration. This bomb represents the latest addition to Russia's expanding UMPK munitions family, characterized by added wing kits and guidance systems to enhance the accuracy and range of existing freefall weapons. The video, published by the Russian Ministry of Defense, depicts a Su-34 Fullback strike aircraft preparing and dropping the bomb on what is described as a temporary deployment point of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kharkiv and Sumy regions. Notably, the bomb's wings deploy after launch, orienting it with tailfins upward as it flies toward its target, a standard configuration for UMPK series weapons mounted upside-down on their launch aircraft. The footage concludes with an aerial perspective, likely from a drone, showing the bomb's impact, while also highlighting intriguing features like illuminated red lights possibly aiding the launch aircraft's tracking of the bomb's trajectory.
US-Made Howitzer Taken Out by Russian Drone
The Russian military has destroyed a Ukrainian US-supplied M109 Paladin self-propelled gun (SPG) in the Kherson Region using a Lancet kamikaze drone, as confirmed by the Russian Defense Ministry. The strike followed reconnaissance that identified the camouflaged position of the SPG, which was targeting Russian troops. A released video shows the SPG firing before being hit by the drone, leading to an explosion that obliterates the vehicle. This event follows a similar drone strike on a Soviet-era Ukrainian SPG Gvozdika. The Lancet drones, developed by ZALA Aero Group under Kalashnikov Concern, have been extensively employed by Russia, with over 2,000 combat clips reported. These drones, costing approximately $34,000 each, are noted for their efficiency against Ukrainian forces, despite the high cost of US-supplied heavy vehicles.
INDO-PACIFIC
China Announces Halt on Nuclear Talks with US Over Weapons Sales to Taiwan
China announced it had suspended nuclear non-proliferation and arms control negotiations with the United States in response to recent US weapons sales to Taiwan, which Beijing claims undermine political trust and damage China's core interests. This suspension follows rare talks between the two nations in November, which aimed to reduce mistrust ahead of a Biden-Xi summit. Despite a US official urging further dialogue in January, China's foreign ministry cited continued US arms sales to Taiwan as the reason for halting negotiations. The US State Department called China's move "unfortunate," noting it follows Russia's stance of linking arms control engagement to broader bilateral challenges, potentially increasing the risk of an arms race. The US, while officially recognizing Beijing since 1979, remains Taiwan's key partner and arms supplier, recently approving sales worth $300 million. Amid these tensions, a report highlighted China's rapidly growing nuclear arsenal, projected to exceed 1,000 warheads by 2030, compared to the US's 3,700 and Russia's 4,500. Despite halting talks, China expressed willingness to maintain communication under conditions of mutual respect.
US Intercept Chinese H-6 Bomber Off the Coast of Alaska for First Time
For the first time, Chinese H-6 aircraft, along with Russian Tu-95 bombers, flew through the Alaska Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ), marking a significant development in Beijing's power projection and its strengthened ties with Moscow since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. NORAD detected, tracked, and intercepted these aircraft, which stayed in international airspace and posed no immediate threat. The intercept involved U.S. and Canadian fighter jets. This joint sortie demonstrates China's new capability to directly threaten the U.S. homeland and highlights deepening military cooperation between China and Russia. The appearance of Chinese H-6s near Alaska's coast underscores growing concerns about China's expanding military reach, including potential future operations closer to U.S. shores. This activity reflects a strategic move by both nations to project power in America's backyard, with the Arctic region's strategic importance rising due to its natural resources and new trade routes.
GEOPOLITICS
In Reversal, Zelensky Says Russia Should Attend 2nd Ukraine Summit
Amid global attention on US domestic politics following the attempted assassination of Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has made a groundbreaking proposal. On Monday, he announced that a second Ukraine peace summit should include representation from Russia, marking a significant shift from his previous staunch opposition to negotiating with Moscow while Putin remains in power. Zelensky's statement came during a press conference in Kiev where he outlined preparations for another summit. The first summit held in Switzerland in June, titled "Summit on Peace in Ukraine at the Bürgenstock," notably lacked Russian participation despite inviting over 90 countries. China, invited but not attending, expressed skepticism about the summit's efficacy. Ukraine's peace plan, which demands the withdrawal of Russian troops from its territories, remains unacceptable to Moscow, which asserts control over Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts. Zelensky's overture suggests anticipation of potential changes in US leadership, particularly Donald Trump's return, whose campaign promises include facilitating negotiations.
Netanyahu Arrives in US but Neither Biden Nor Kamala Were There to Gret Him
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived in the U.S. on Monday, with President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris absent due to Biden’s recent COVID-19 diagnosis. Biden’s physician reported that the president had completed his tenth dose of Paxlovid and his symptoms were nearly resolved. Secretary of State Antony Blinken also did not greet Netanyahu, who was welcomed by Consul General Ofir Akunis and other officials. Netanyahu’s visit includes a speech before Congress on Wednesday, an event organized by Senate and House leaders from both parties. However, Harris and Senate President Pro-Tempore Patty Murray are reportedly refusing to preside over the speech. Senator Bernie Sanders has announced he will not attend, labeling Netanyahu a “war criminal” in response to criticism of Israel’s military actions in Gaza. Some House Democrats are considering counter-programming in response to Netanyahu’s speech, reflecting ongoing controversy surrounding his policies.
Venezuela Explodes in Protests After Elections
Tensions in Venezuela have escalated following a disputed presidential election, with opposition supporters accusing the government of electoral fraud and demanding that former President Nicolas Maduro step down. Demonstrators, including those from rural areas, converged on Caracas, facing tear gas and rubber bullets from security forces. Opposition leaders claim that their candidate, Edmundo González, won 70% of the vote, contrary to the official result of a 51.2% victory for Maduro. The international response has been mixed: while the United States and several Latin American countries expressed concern or refused to recognize the results, Russia, China, and Cuba congratulated Maduro. The situation has sparked debates on Venezuela's economic crisis, with calls from some U.S. Congress members for the administration to take action and reject Maduro's third term. Protests and international condemnation continue as the country faces ongoing instability and calls for change.
Turkey’s President Erdogan Threatens to Invade Israel Over Attacks on Lebanon
Tensions between Israel and Turkey escalated on Sunday as President Tayyip Erdogan suggested possible military action against Israel in response to its conflict with Hezbollah. Erdogan’s comments, likening potential intervention to past actions in Libya and Nagorno-Karabakh, drew sharp criticism from Israel. Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz warned Erdogan of consequences similar to those faced by Saddam Hussein, while Turkey's Foreign Ministry compared Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to Adolf Hitler, accusing him of genocidal actions. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan defended Erdogan, stating that Turkey is the "voice of humanity's conscience." The exchange comes amidst a surge in violence between Israel and Hezbollah, following a deadly Hezbollah rocket attack in the Golan Heights. Relations between Israel and Turkey, which had recently improved, have deteriorated again, with Turkey halting trade with Israel and Israeli officials condemning Erdogan’s rhetoric. The international community remains concerned about the potential for a broader regional conflict.