END of DECEMBER Bi-WEEKLY UPDATE
LEAD STORIES
NJ Drones not Military in Nature According to Pentagon, White House Says “Legally and Lawfully Operated”
The White House addressed concerns about drones spotted over the northeastern United States on Monday, declaring that these drones are operating “legally and lawfully.” The statement followed mounting public anxiety and former President Donald Trump’s demand for transparency regarding the sightings, which he labeled as “an alarming mystery.” National Security Council spokesman John Kirby and Pentagon Press Secretary Major General Pat Ryder sought to reassure the public by explaining that these drones are likely commercial, hobbyist, or law enforcement drones, not of military origin. Ryder emphasized that the sightings do not pose a national security threat and compared them to unauthorized vehicles approaching military bases, noting that most drones do not represent any significant danger. The Pentagon is closely monitoring the situation, deploying both active and passive measures to detect and potentially neutralize any malicious drone activities if necessary, indicating a cautious approach to the growing presence of drones in the U.S. skies.
National Radiation Commission Report Shows Small Amount of Radioactive Material Missing in NJ
A small amount of radioactive material, a Ge-68 pin source used in medical imaging, has gone missing during transit from the Nazha Cancer Center in Newfield, New Jersey. The shipment, which contained 0.267 millicuries (mCi) of Ge-68, was being sent for disposal but arrived damaged and empty at its destination on Dec. 2. The incident was reported to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) on Dec. 5, and has been classified as “Less than Category 3,” indicating a low risk of significant harm. The New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) has notified federal regulators and is coordinating efforts with the NRC to locate the missing material. If the radioactive source is not recovered within 30 days, the Nazha Cancer Center will be required to submit a detailed report on the incident’s root causes and corrective actions to prevent future occurrences. The NJDEP is emphasizing public safety and ensuring accountability for the incident, given the nature of the material and its potential risks if mishandled.
State Officials State that NJ Drones Show Signs of Coordination and Elude Helicopters
Reports of large drones, some up to six feet across, spotted over New Jersey have sparked significant concerns among state and local officials, suggesting a coordinated operation not typical of hobbyist drones. Since November 18, sightings have occurred nightly, evading detection by helicopters and other sensors, raising questions about the nature of these aircraft. The New Jersey State Police hosted briefings for local leaders to discuss the situation, attended by the FBI, NJSP, the New Jersey Office of Homeland Security and Preparedness, and the U.S. Coast Guard. The U.S. military’s involvement remains unclear, with U.S. Northern Command engaged but not directly assisting. The exact origin and purpose of these drones remain unknown, with federal and state authorities denying involvement by government entities. Despite this, state and local officials continue to express concerns about the handling of the situation and the need for a coordinated response.
US Air Force Base in Ohio Forced to Close Airspace Due to Mysterious Drones
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base temporarily closed its airspace late Friday night due to sightings of small, unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) near the U.S. Air Force base in Dayton, Ohio. The airfield was closed for about four hours to ensure safety, and so far, there has been no impact on residents, facilities, or assets. Base spokesperson Robert Purtiman noted that the sightings varied in size and configuration, and efforts are ongoing to monitor the local airspace with local authorities. This is the first time the base has had to close its airfield due to such UAS presence. The Federal Bureau of Investigation and Department of Homeland Security stated there’s no evidence that these sightings pose a national security or public safety threat or have a foreign nexus. Despite the reassurances, officials are unable to identify the operators or origins of these drones.
Feds to Deploy Drone Detection Systems in New York Says NY Gov. Hochul
The federal government is deploying a state-of-the-art drone detection system in New York following numerous unidentified drone sightings, Gov. Kathy Hochul announced. Hochul renewed her call for Congress to pass the Counter-UAS Authority Security, Safety, and Reauthorization Act, which would grant states expanded authority and resources to address drone-related threats. While Hochul assured there’s no evidence the drones pose public safety or national security risks, sightings of SUV-sized drones across Staten Island, New Jersey, and other states have raised concerns, especially near military sites like Fort Wadsworth. The FAA has yet to implement airspace restrictions in New York City, despite restrictions enacted over New Jersey’s Picatinny Arsenal and President-elect Trump’s Bedminster Golf Club. Hochul stated the New York State Intelligence Center is coordinating with federal partners, including the FBI and DHS, to investigate the incidents. However, Staten Island officials and residents remain frustrated, demanding transparency. White House officials have downplayed the sightings, suggesting misidentified legal aircraft, though local and military officials report restricted airspace violations.
Incursions by Multiple Drones Confirmed Over Camp Pendelton Marine Base
Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton in southern California experienced multiple drone incursions between Dec. 9 and 15, with six instances of unmanned aerial systems (UAS) observed entering the installation’s airspace. Base spokesman Capt. James C. Sartain noted that there was no threat to operations from these incursions, but could not provide details about the drones’ origin, actions taken, or impact on operations. Camp Pendleton is the Marine Corps’ major west coast training facility, housing multiple units and assets. The incidents at Camp Pendleton follow similar drone incursions over U.S. military installations, including Wright-Patterson Air Force Base and Hill Air Force Base, as well as over bases in the U.K. and Ramstein Air Base in Germany. This growing trend of drone incursions highlights the increasing concern over unauthorized airspace violations near sensitive military installations and the challenges in identifying and mitigating these threats.
17 Military Bases Report Seeing Drones Near Chinese-Owned Land
A rash of mysterious drone sightings has been reported near at least 17 military bases across the U.S., including locations in Hawaii, Utah, California, Maine, and Florida. These sightings come amid growing concerns over Chinese-owned farmland near these bases, raising fears of espionage and surveillance by the Communist regime. Reports of drones flying over or near military installations have been confirmed, with instances including Camp Pendleton, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, and Virginia Beach. House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Michael McCaul (R-Texas) has expressed concerns that these drones are “spy drones” from China, suggesting they are attempting to gather information on U.S. military capabilities. The FBI, Pentagon, FAA, and DHS have sought to downplay the issue, suggesting many drone sightings are from commercial, hobbyist, or law enforcement drones. However, the proximity of these sightings to critical military sites has intensified concerns about national security.
Reported Drone Sightings Near Nuclear Power Plants See Massive Uptick
Drone flyovers of U.S. nuclear facilities surged in December 2024, nearly doubling from 15 reported events by December 10 to 26 by December 17, according to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). This increase coincides with a broader rise in drone sightings across the U.S., particularly in New Jersey, near military installations and energy infrastructure. Although the reasons for this spike remain unclear, the NRC and other agencies like the FBI and FAA are monitoring the situation. Most recently, drones were observed over the PSEG Nuclear Salem and Hope Creek Generating Stations in New Jersey on December 14. In response, the FAA imposed temporary flight restrictions (TFRs) on several nuclear sites, including Hope Creek, to prevent drone flights over critical infrastructure. Despite the uptick in drone activity, the Department of Homeland Security and federal partners have found no evidence of a security threat. The rise in drone incidents follows a pattern of increasing drone overflights at nuclear plants, prompting concerns about the potential for adversarial attacks involving unmanned aerial systems.
Biden White House Doesn’t Know What’s Going on with Drones but Say There’s No Evidence of a Threat to Public
A national uproar erupted over sightings of unidentified drones along the East Coast, culminating in the arrests of two men near Logan International Airport on Saturday. The suspects, Robert Duffy and Jeremy Folcik, were apprehended on Long Island after flying drones dangerously close to the airport, prompting significant concern. Reports of similar drone sightings have emerged from several states, including New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts, raising alarms about potential threats to public safety. The Biden administration downplayed the situation, assuring that no immediate threats were identified, though the FBI and FAA are investigating the incidents. Lawmakers like Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and Rep. Jim Himes have demanded answers and proposed enhanced drone-detection measures. Meanwhile, New York and Massachusetts are preparing to deploy new systems to assist with investigations. Despite official reassurances, local concerns remain high, particularly regarding drone risks near critical military assets. The arrests highlight the growing dangers posed by unauthorized drone flights near sensitive infrastructure.
Alphabet’s Project Loon High Altitude Balloon Passes Near DC and New Jersey
A high-altitude unmanned balloon, formerly part of Alphabet’s Project Loon and now registered to Raven Aerostar as "N254TH," has traveled across the eastern United States, passing just north of Baltimore-Washington airspace at 64,500 feet and moving towards New Jersey at 34 mph. Launching from South Dakota’s Dangel Airport earlier this week, the balloon’s journey has drawn attention as it approaches Delaware and New Jersey. Originally part of Loon’s initiative to provide high-speed internet to underserved regions and disaster zones via a network of high-altitude balloons, the project began under Google’s X Development in 2011 and was publicly revealed in 2013. Despite its ambitions, Loon ceased operations in 2021, with SpaceX’s Starlink now dominating the market for remote internet access through low Earth orbit satellites. Stratocat, a balloon research site, detailed Loon’s history, underscoring its role in innovative connectivity solutions. Raven Aerostar, known for high-altitude balloon technology, now manages N254TH, fueling local curiosity as it soars over New Jersey.
BORDER CRISIS
Central American Officials Concerned They ‘Don’t Have Capacity’ to Take Deported Illegals
Officials in Central America are already expressing concerns about their capacity to accept potentially hundreds of thousands of their nationals back from the United States when President-Elect Donald Trump’s deportation program begins. Trump’s Border Czar, Thomas Homan, is tasked with handling the program, which aims to deport most of the estimated 11 to 22 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. Bureaucrats in Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador, which are among the hardest hit by mass deportations due to their large populations in the U.S., say they do not have the resources to manage the influx. Honduras, in particular, has about 560,000 nationals living illegally in the U.S., constituting around 5% of the population, and officials there admit that there is very little infrastructure to support returning deportees. Senate Democrats are calling on President Joe Biden to sign executive orders that could protect large groups of illegal immigrants from future deportation, in an attempt to preemptively counter Trump’s policies. The Biden administration has overseen a significant increase in border crossings, with nearly 8 million migrants arriving at the U.S.-Mexico border in less than four years.
Report Suggests ‘Sanctuary Cities’ in US Harboring Almost 8 Million Illegal Aliens
A study by the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS), a hardline immigration think tank, estimates that nearly 8 million undocumented immigrants reside in the United States due to the protective policies of "sanctuary" cities and states, predominantly governed by Democrats. The report attributes 6.3 million undocumented individuals to 13 states, including California, New York, and Illinois, with an additional 820,000 in sanctuary counties in non-sanctuary states and 750,000 in states with partial sanctuary policies, such as Maryland and Virginia. CIS's Jason Richwine claims that sanctuary jurisdictions harbor 56% of the nation’s undocumented population and advocates for states to emulate Texas and Florida's strict immigration enforcement. He urges eliminating sanctuary policies to assist the incoming Trump administration in executing its immigration agenda, which includes completing the southern border wall and conducting mass deportations. Former ICE Director Tom Homan, set to become Trump’s border czar, has hinted at potential legal actions against Democratic officials obstructing immigration enforcement. Trump, who heavily campaigned on immigration, has promised to intensify federal measures against undocumented immigrants.
Mayorkas Admits His Department Could Have Blocked Illegals Flooding US Southern Border
Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas admitted that his department could have blocked more migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border if he had known in 2020 that Republicans would reject his January 2024 border bill. Mayorkas said that if he had anticipated such resistance, he would have taken executive action sooner. Critics, including Ira Mehlman of the Federation for American Immigration Reform, accused Mayorkas of deliberately creating a migration crisis to pressure Republicans into supporting broader immigration reforms, including a bill that would have allowed more migrants to enter legally. However, some, like Rosemary Jenks of the Immigration Accountability Project, argued that there is no evidence to suggest the migration was intentionally used to manipulate Republicans. Mayorkas' actions were also criticized by some for exacerbating the immigration crisis, with Mayorkas acknowledging that bipartisan negotiations in 2023 were derailed by politics. Amidst this turmoil, Mayorkas’ strategies faced backlash, with some attributing his policies to broader ideological goals rather than practical solutions.
BOHICA!
August 2024 Jobs Reports Were Fake According to Philly Fed
In August, a forecast predicting significant downward revisions to the U.S. job market was validated when the Biden Bureau of Labor Statistics revised jobs for the April 2023-March 2024 period by 818,000, as predicted by the Philadelphia Fed six months earlier. This marked a major discrepancy between reported job gains and reality, prompting the Federal Reserve to launch an easing cycle following what it described as a collapse in the labor market. The latest update from the Philadelphia Fed, on December 12, confirmed further significant revisions for the second quarter of 2024, showing actual job losses instead of gains as initially reported. This ongoing revision process suggests that the administration's portrayal of a robust labor market was misleading, and the U.S. actually lost jobs in Q2 2024, underscoring a growing gap between reported figures and economic reality.
President Biden Commutes Sentences of Nearly 1,500 Criminals in Biggest Single-Day of Clemency in Modern History
President Joe Biden announced on Thursday that he is commuting the sentences of 1,500 individuals and pardoning 39 people convicted of non-violent crimes in what is described as the largest single-day act of clemency in modern U.S. history. The move, coming just weeks before the end of his administration, aims to offer second chances and reduce sentencing disparities, particularly for non-violent drug offenses. Biden emphasized the importance of rehabilitation and reintegration into communities, highlighting that the recipients had demonstrated significant personal growth and responsibility. This historic announcement follows growing calls from advocacy groups and Democrats for more widespread use of clemency power before the transition to a new administration. Biden’s use of the clemency power also comes amid controversy over his recent pardon of his son, Hunter, which has sparked debate among his allies about timing and transparency. The president plans to take further steps in the coming weeks, continuing to review clemency petitions to promote equal justice and support those affected by the criminal justice system.
Outgoing President Biden Commutes 37 Death Row Inmates Sentences
President Biden has commuted the sentences of 37 death row inmates, changing their sentences to life in prison without the possibility of parole. The White House emphasized Biden's stance that the federal death penalty should end, except for those convicted of terrorism or mass murder motivated by hate. This action builds on Biden’s broader record of criminal justice reform, with more commutations issued during his first term than recent predecessors. Biden had already suspended federal executions upon taking office, and this commutation prevents future administrations from carrying out these executions. During the Trump administration, 13 federal executions took place, marking the highest number since 1896. Biden’s decision comes amid calls from organizations such as the Innocence Project and Pope Francis for an end to the death penalty. Advocates, including Bryan Stevenson of the Equal Justice Initiative, praised the commutation as a significant step in addressing the death penalty’s flaws. The 37 individuals will still serve life sentences, but without the risk of execution.
Latest Stopgap CR (Continuing Resolution) Bill ‘Dead on Arrival’ After Major Blowback
Less than 24 hours after unveiling a stopgap bill packed with add-ons to prevent a government shutdown, the measure appears to have stalled amid opposition. House members were informed that no votes would occur for the rest of the day after an earlier indication that they were possible. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) announced on X that the continuing resolution (CR) would not go to the House floor for a vote and negotiators were reworking the legislation. The initial CR sought funding through March 14, 2025, and included more than $100 billion in disaster aid, health care reform, and other provisions. The bill faced opposition from both Republicans and Democrats, with notable critics like Elon Musk and President-elect Donald Trump condemning it. A government shutdown looms if Congress cannot pass some form of funding by Friday midnight.
WAR (and rumors of war)
US MILITARY
12 ISIS Militants in Syria Killed in Airstrikes by US Forces
U.S. forces conducted airstrikes on Monday in central Syria, killing 12 ISIS fighters, as part of ongoing efforts to disrupt the group’s operations and prevent a resurgence. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) targeted ISIS leadership and operatives in areas formerly controlled by Assad’s regime and Russian forces. General Michael Erik Kurilla reaffirmed CENTCOM’s commitment, alongside regional partners, to stop ISIS from exploiting Syria’s instability. Concerns about ISIS detention facilities have grown following Bashar al-Assad’s December 8 ousting, as U.S. officials fear breakout attempts by detained fighters. Pentagon spokesperson Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder emphasized U.S. cooperation with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to secure these sites, stressing that a prisoner escape would undermine counter-ISIS progress. Monday’s strikes followed earlier operations on December 8, where over 75 ISIS targets were hit, including B-52 and F-15 airstrikes. The U.S., which has 900 troops in Syria and 2,500 in Iraq, remains focused on counterterrorism efforts. Additionally, the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group entered CENTCOM’s region Saturday to bolster regional stability amid evolving geopolitical developments.
US Army Successfully Tests Dark Eagle Hypersonic Missile from Ground Launcher
The U.S. Army successfully test-fired its Dark Eagle hypersonic missile from its trailer-based launcher at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida, marking a significant milestone after years of delays caused by issues with the launcher. The test, conducted in collaboration with the Navy’s Strategic Systems Programs, used the common All Up Round (AUR) missile, which is also intended for Navy Zumwalt-class destroyers and Block V Virginia-class submarines. This launch was the second successful end-to-end flight test of the Dark Eagle system this year. The missile consists of a two-stage rocket booster and a hypersonic boost-glide vehicle, capable of speeds exceeding Mach 17 and ranges over 1,725 miles. Despite delays, the test highlights the collaborative development of a transformational hypersonic weapon system aimed at enhancing joint warfighting capabilities.
Concerning Levels of Cooperation by US Adversaries Says Spec Ops Leaders
Adversaries of the United States have intensified partnerships in both combat and influence operations, making it crucial for the special operations community to play a key role in preventing conflict. Christopher Maier, the outgoing assistant secretary for Special Operations-Low-Intensity Conflict, emphasized the growing involvement of SOF troops in competition and crisis phases, viewing these not as mere preparatory steps but as critical warfighting challenges. Army Gen. Bryan Fenton, head of Special Operations Command, highlighted the convergence of threats from adversaries across multiple regions, including North Korean troops fighting alongside Russia in Ukraine and Iranian personnel training Russian forces. The shift in U.S. strategy focuses on irregular warfare, integrating psychological operations, civil affairs, and special operations to counter adversaries like Russia, China, and Iran in a more coordinated manner. The Ridge Runner exercise in West Virginia exemplified this approach, bringing together U.S. military, local law enforcement, and government officials in a simulated conflict scenario to prepare for potential threats in Europe. The CNAS report advises a tailored approach to campaigning, emphasizing deterrence and a rapid response capability to regional crises.
Friendly Fire Incident Takes Down F-18 Super Hornet Over Red Sea, Crew Safe
Two U.S. Navy aviators ejected safely after their F/A-18F Super Hornet was mistakenly shot down by the guided-missile cruiser USS Gettysburg during a mission over the Red Sea, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) reported. The incident occurred early on December 22 as part of the USS Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group’s operations under Operation Prosperity Guardian, which aims to protect Red Sea merchant traffic from Houthi attacks. Both aviators, assigned to Carrier Air Wing One aboard the Truman, were safely recovered, with one sustaining minor injuries. CENTCOM emphasized the incident was not due to hostile fire and announced a full investigation. The Gettysburg, homeported in Norfolk, Virginia, serves as the air defense commander for the strike group and is equipped with over 100 vertical launch cells for intercepting threats. The strike group recently entered the Red Sea after operations in the Atlantic. Separately, U.S. forces conducted strikes on Yemeni Houthi targets over the weekend, targeting missile storage and command nodes to disrupt attacks on U.S. warships and merchant vessels in the region.
FORTRESS EUROPE
Record €20 BN in Defense Gear Approved by German Government
Germany’s parliamentary budget committee approved a record €20 billion defense package to bolster its military, including four Thyssenkrupp-built submarines, a new frigate, Patriot missile defenses, rocket artillery, and cyber capabilities. The decision comes amid NATO’s heightened tensions with Russia over the Ukraine war and aims to reverse decades of underfunding since the Cold War. Defense Minister Boris Pistorius hailed the approval of 38 major projects, describing it as an unprecedented effort to modernize Germany’s armed forces, with some equipment, like submarines, taking up to eight years to deliver. Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s 2022 declaration of a €100 billion special fund for defense marked a strategic shift following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, enabling Germany to meet NATO’s 2% GDP defense spending target under U.S. pressure. Pistorius emphasized bipartisan cooperation despite Scholz leading a minority government after his coalition collapsed. Separately, Germany’s arms exports reached a record €13.2 billion in 2024, with €8.1 billion directed to Ukraine, supported by Berlin’s financing. Economic officials stressed that military aid aligns with Germany’s security policy. Other export recipients included Singapore, Algeria, the U.S., Turkey, and India. The developments signal Germany’s intensified focus on deterrence and security in response to evolving geopolitical threats.
Swedish Parliament Passes Total Defense Spending Bill Worth $16.4 BN
The Swedish Riksdag recently passed the Total Defense Bill for 2025–2030, allocating SEK 170 billion ($16.4 billion) to military defense and SEK 35.7 billion to civil defense. This plan aims to bolster Sweden’s defense capabilities in response to global threats such as cyberattacks and hybrid warfare. By 2028, defense spending is expected to reach 2.6% of Sweden’s GDP. The initiative includes the creation of four new brigades, an increase in conscripts, and the acquisition of new military equipment including cruise and anti-ship missiles, rocket artillery, and updates to combat vehicles, tanks, and anti-aircraft systems. The Navy’s capacity will be enhanced with modifications to Visby-class corvettes and the introduction of Luleå-class surface combat vessels. The Air Force plans to procure three S106 Globaleye reconnaissance planes, additional Black Hawk helicopters, and JAS Gripen 39E fighter aircraft. Civil defense funding will also see a significant increase to improve the nation’s resilience against a range of threats, reflecting Sweden’s commitment to continuous investment in defense and societal resilience through 2035.
Another Undersea Cable Between Finland and Estonia Cut in Baltic Sea
An undersea power cable connecting Finland and Estonia failed Wednesday, raising concerns of potential sabotage amid heightened tensions in the Baltic Sea. Finnish grid operator Fingrid reported the outage occurred at 12:26 pm local time, though Finland’s Prime Minister Petteri Orpo assured it would not disrupt electricity supplies. Authorities are investigating, with the possibility of sabotage not ruled out. The incident follows a series of recent disruptions to telecom cables and pipelines in the region, including damage to Sweden-Denmark telecom cables and the Arelion cable linking Sweden and Lithuania. Suspicion in some cases has fallen on the Chinese ship Yi Peng 3, though China has denied investigative requests. These events echo the September 2022 Nord Stream pipeline explosions and October 2023 damage to a Finland-Estonia gas pipeline caused by a Chinese vessel’s anchor. European officials suspect sabotage linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, allegations dismissed by the Kremlin as “absurd.” The Baltic Sea remains a flashpoint as concerns over critical infrastructure security intensify in the wake of these incidents.
MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL
Russian Forces Massing at Bases in Syria in Preparation for Possible Withdrawal
New satellite imagery shows large numbers of Russian vehicles and other materiel amassed at its Khmeimim Air Base and Tartus naval base in Syria, as Moscow continues its withdrawal from these strategic locations. Despite continued insistence from Russian authorities that they are negotiating to retain these prized facilities, imagery from Maxar reveals significant reductions in force presence, including the dismantling of the S-400 air defense system at Khmeimim. Russian warships have also left Tartus, although some remain offshore. This consolidation of forces suggests a possible complete withdrawal from Syria, with Russia possibly shifting its focus to other locations, such as Libya. The geopolitical situation remains fluid, influenced by internal and external factors, including ongoing Israeli and Turkish military actions and U.S.-backed efforts to stabilize the region.
Russia Revealed to be Airlifting Air Defense Systems to Libya from Syria
Recent satellite imagery reveals that Russia is rapidly evacuating heavy military equipment from its Khmeimim airbase in Latakia and other strategic sites in Syria following the Assad government's collapse on December 8. Moscow is reportedly negotiating with the new HTS rulers in Damascus while shifting assets, including advanced air-defense systems, to Libya. Intelligence sources and flight data confirm the movement of Russian military cargo planes carrying S-300 and S-400 radar systems, troops, and equipment to eastern Libya, where Moscow-backed warlord Khalifa Haftar controls key territories. Russia’s efforts aim to bolster its presence in Benghazi and support Haftar, who has requested Russian air defenses to secure his position. This relocation signals a significant drawdown of Russia's presence in Syria, where it had propped up the Assad regime for years in exchange for naval and airbase access. Meanwhile, Haftar's alignment with both Moscow and Washington creates diplomatic tension, as U.S. officials pressure him to limit Russia's expansion. Libya, plagued by chaos since the 2011 NATO-backed overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi, remains a fractured state with competing governments and warlords, as Russia seizes new strategic opportunities amid the turmoil.
Tel Aviv Struck by Houthi Missile, 16 Injured
The Israeli military confirmed that a missile launched from Yemen landed near Tel Aviv, causing minor shrapnel injuries to 16 people, some of whom required hospital treatment. The missile struck Bnei Brak, east of Tel Aviv, triggering sirens across central Israel. Emergency responders assisted those injured while seeking shelter and individuals suffering from anxiety. The Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, claimed responsibility for the attack, citing solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza. This marks a continuation of Houthi missile strikes on Israel, though many previous missiles were intercepted by Israel’s air defense systems. In retaliation for prior Houthi aggression, Israel conducted airstrikes on December 19 against ports and energy infrastructure in Yemen, killing nine people. The Houthis vowed to keep attacking until conditions in Gaza improve. This missile incident adds to the ongoing violence in Gaza, where Israeli airstrikes have killed at least 25 Palestinians. The Houthis have also targeted international shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, prompting retaliatory actions from U.S. and British forces.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
Azerbaijan Airlines Passenger Plane Crashes in Kazakhstan, Foul Play Suspected
Azerbaijan Airlines flight J28243, an Embraer ERJ-190 with 62 passengers and five crew members, crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, following an emergency landing attempt. The flight initially experienced GPS jamming, which affected its ADS-B signals, leading to unreliable tracking data. Reports indicated the plane struggled to maintain altitude for over an hour, with some speculating a bird strike caused damage to its flight controls, including the vertical stabilizer, horizontal stabilizer, and elevators. A passenger described hearing a "dull thud," similar to a collision, during the descent. Russian media suggested that the aircraft’s partial loss of control prompted the pilot to declare an emergency and attempt the landing. While early reports mentioned a bird strike as the cause, the damage to the aircraft's tail section raised questions about the nature of the incident, with some speculating a possible attack or mechanical failure. Dramatic videos shared on social media showed the plane's unstable descent, drawing comparisons to previous incidents involving flight control issues. The crash resulted in 28 survivors.
Russian Christmas Day Attack on Ukrainian Energy Grid Condemned by Zelensky
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned Russia’s “inhumane” Christmas Day missile and drone attacks targeting Ukraine’s energy grid, marking the 13th large-scale strike on the power system this year. The assault, involving over 70 missiles and 100 drones, left several regions without electricity, severely damaging thermal power plants. Ukraine’s air force intercepted more than 50 missiles, but some hit critical infrastructure. Central Dnipropetrovsk, including Kryvyi Rig, suffered significant damage, with one killed and 17 injured. Kharkiv faced renewed bombardments, wounding six and prompting evacuations in Kupiansk, where Russian forces aim to regain lost territory. Zelensky noted the symbolic timing of the attacks, as Ukraine celebrates Christmas on December 25 for the second year, following its shift from the Orthodox January 7 observance to distance from Russia. Amid escalating violence, Ukraine remains on the defensive in Kharkiv and Donetsk, with Zelensky urging allies for increased aid to counter aerial strikes and Russian advances. Despite the devastation, Zelensky vowed that “Russian evil will not break Ukraine and will not ruin Christmas.”
In Response to Russian Christmas Day Attack, US Will Continue to Surge Weapons into Ukraine
President Joe Biden has confirmed that the U.S. will continue its surge of weapons deliveries to Ukraine in response to Russia's missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities and energy infrastructure on Christmas Day. The attacks targeted critical facilities in regions like Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, and Ivano-Frankivsk, causing power outages but failing to completely disrupt the country’s energy grid. Biden condemned the strikes, emphasizing the U.S. commitment to supporting Ukraine's defense against Russian aggression. This comes as Ukraine remains heavily reliant on U.S. air defense systems to counter Russian attacks. While President-elect Donald Trump has expressed support for continuing aid to Ukraine, there is uncertainty about his policies after his anticipated return to office. Meanwhile, Ukraine has increasingly distanced itself from Russian cultural practices, notably moving its official Christmas holiday to December 25. Despite the ongoing Russian offensive, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky declared that Russia’s efforts would not break Ukraine’s resolve. Biden reiterated that the U.S. would continue its support until Ukraine prevails in the conflict.
Sabotage Suspected in Sinking of Russian Cargo Ship Ursa Major in The Mediterranean Sea
The sinking of the Russian cargo ship Ursa Major in the Mediterranean has raised suspicions of sabotage, with investigators identifying a 50x50 cm hole with inward-torn edges above the waterline, suggesting an external explosive device caused the damage. The vessel, owned by Oboronlogistika, a Russian defense-linked firm under U.S. sanctions since 2022, sank following three explosions on its starboard side, 67 miles off Spain's coast. Carrying two 380-ton cranes for Vladivostok, the ship’s debris-strewn deck reinforced sabotage theories. Oboronlogistika labeled the incident an “act of terrorism,” but Moscow has not named specific perpetrators. Ukrainian officials denied involvement while highlighting Russia's maritime vulnerabilities. A Telegram channel linked to Russian sources speculated the attack could involve stealth unmanned boats and U.S. reconnaissance, citing the presence of an American P-8A Poseidon aircraft and Russian naval vessels near the site days before the sinking. If confirmed, this marks a significant escalation in maritime threats outside the Black Sea, reflecting increasing risks to Russian shipping amid sanctions and conflict pressures.
INDO-PACIFIC
China is Increasing Its Capacity to Project Naval Power Far from Home Warns Pentagon
The unclassified version of an annual Pentagon report released on Wednesday highlights the significant expansion of China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), which has increased its global reach over the past year. The report indicates that the PLAN is now conducting regular operations in the eastern Indian Ocean and western Pacific, with engagements as far as the Middle East and Africa. This growing capability is driven by a fleet of modern multi-role platforms, including new aircraft carriers and guided-missile cruisers like the Type 055. The PLAN’s logistics support, particularly its large amphibious assault ships and replenishment ships, are enabling long-distance deployments, which could allow China to project power beyond its regional waters. The report also notes China’s efforts to establish additional military logistics facilities globally, reflecting its ambition to enhance maritime power projection. This expansion raises concerns among Western powers about the changing balance of naval power and the implications for global security.
First Batch of US-Made M1A2 Abrams Battle Tanks Arrive in Taiwan
Taiwan received 38 M1A2 Abrams battle tanks from the United States, marking its first new tank delivery in 30 years. The tanks, part of a $1.2 billion order for 108 placed in 2019, arrived Sunday and were transferred to a training base in Hsinchu. Taiwan’s current tank force, consisting of outdated CM 11 Brave Tigers and M60A3s, is being modernized to counter the ongoing threat of a Chinese invasion. China condemned the arms sale, with its foreign ministry urging the U.S. to stop “arming Taiwan” and warning that Taiwan’s pursuit of independence through foreign support “is doomed to fail.” Taiwan relies heavily on U.S. weapons to bolster its defenses amid increased Chinese military pressure, including recent large-scale naval drills simulating blockades. While U.S. arms sales to Taiwan are guaranteed by law, a backlog exceeding $21 billion, exacerbated by global supply chain issues and U.S. commitments to Ukraine and Israel, has delayed deliveries. Taiwan has increased its defense spending, allocating a record $19 billion for 2024, as China escalates regional military activity.
GEOPOLITICS
Biden Authorized Another $571MN in Aid for Taiwan, China tells US ‘Playing with Fire’
The Chinese government strongly protested recent U.S. military sales and assistance to Taiwan, warning the U.S. that it is “playing with fire.” On Saturday, President Joe Biden authorized up to $571 million in Defense Department materials, services, and training for Taiwan. Additionally, on Friday, the U.S. approved $295 million in military sales, including $265 million for 300 tactical radio systems and $30 million for 16 gun mounts. The Chinese Foreign Ministry condemned these actions, urging the U.S. to halt arms sales to Taiwan, which China claims as its territory. The U.S. assistance aims to strengthen Taiwan's defense capabilities and deter a potential Chinese attack. This latest approval adds to Biden’s earlier authorization of $567 million in military aid for Taiwan in late September. Taiwan’s Foreign Ministry expressed gratitude for the support, stating that it reaffirms the U.S. government’s commitment to Taiwan’s defense. Tensions in the Taiwan Strait continue to rise as China perceives U.S. military involvement as a threat to regional stability.
Pakistan Sanctioned by US Over Development of Ballistic Missile that Could Strike US
The United States has imposed sanctions on Pakistan for secretly developing ballistic missiles intended as a deterrent against the U.S. These sanctions target four entities under Executive Order 13382, which focuses on proliferators of weapons of mass destruction. Deputy National Security Adviser Jon Finer expressed concerns that the missiles' range was aimed at the U.S. Pakistan rejected these claims, calling the U.S. fears "irrational" and the idea that its missile development posed a threat to America "ludicrous." The sanctions come amid shifting geopolitical dynamics, with Pakistan strengthening ties with China as the U.S. and India enhance their collaboration to counter China’s rise. Experts have warned that Pakistan’s nuclear stockpile, political instability, Islamist governance, and alignment with radical groups make it one of the most dangerous countries globally. These developments reflect Pakistan’s broader strategic considerations, including concerns about global conflicts where India aligns with the U.S., and Pakistan partners with China.