End of February Sitrep Support

End of February Sitrep Support

END of FEBRUARY SITREP SUPPORT


LEAD STORIES

Delta Flight Crashes at Toronto Airport, Ends Up Upside Down, No Casualties Report 

On February 17, 2025, Delta Airlines Flight 4819, a CRJ900 aircraft, crashed upon landing at Toronto Pearson International Airport, injuring at least 18 people, including three critically. The aircraft, impacted by strong winds and blowing snow, lost one of its wings in the incident but did not catch fire. Although all 76 passengers and 4 crew members survived, three individuals, including a child, were critically injured and transported to hospitals. The cause of the crash remains under investigation, with the Transport Safety Board of Canada involved. Snow and winds, including gusts up to 65 km/h, were present at the time, and the aircraft was traveling at 215 km/h before landing, within normal limits. The plane was cleared to land at 14:10 local time, and communications with air traffic control were normal. The crash occurred at the intersection of Runways 23 and 15L, and while flights resumed later, delays were expected due to runway closures for investigation. The missing wing’s role in the crash remains unclear.

Two Killed in Midair Plane Crash Over Arizona 

Two people were killed Wednesday morning when two small planes collided midair near an airport in Marana, Arizona, about 25 miles northwest of Tucson. Each plane had two people aboard, and authorities confirmed at least two fatalities. The airport, which lacks an air traffic control tower, had plans to construct one but faced delays due to the pandemic. The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) is investigating the crash but has not determined whether airfield infrastructure issues, weather, or mechanical failures were factors. Authorities have not released the victims' identities as they continue notifying their families. Local agencies have called for witnesses to come forward to help clarify the cause of the collision. This crash is the second fatal aviation incident in Arizona in a short period. Just last week, a pilot died in a private jet crash in Scottsdale, involving a plane owned by Mötley Crüe singer Vince Neil. The crash adds to a series of fatal incidents in recent weeks across various regions. 

Pentagon in the Crosshairs for Trump Spending Cuts 

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has ordered a review of the Pentagon’s 2026 budget to reallocate $50 billion, shifting funds from Biden-era programs to those aligned with former President Donald Trump’s defense priorities. Reports suggest Hegseth’s directive includes deep, multi-year cuts of up to 8% annually, totaling $290 billion over five years. While the Pentagon did not directly confirm these cuts, it emphasized a focus on prioritizing military readiness, border operations, nuclear modernization, and missile defense while excluding European Command, which has led U.S. strategy in Ukraine. A leaked memo reportedly outlines a February 24 deadline for budget plans, exempting 17 categories from cuts, including Indo-Pacific Command and Space Command. Hegseth stressed reviving the “warrior ethos” and eliminating “unnecessary defense spending” while advancing military audits. Trump has pledged sweeping government spending reductions, and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has reportedly engaged with the Pentagon on cost-cutting measures. Hegseth voiced support for DOGE’s involvement, posting “DOGE the waste; Double-Down on warriors” on X.

US Taxpayer Could Get $5000 Checks from DOGE Savings 

Elon Musk announced on February 18 that he will discuss with President Donald Trump a proposal for issuing "DOGE Dividends" to American taxpayers, which would represent a portion of the savings identified by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Musk, leading efforts to reduce federal wasteful spending, responded to a suggestion from investment firm CEO James Fishback that a tax rebate be issued to 79 million tax-paying households, funded by 20% of the projected $2 trillion in savings DOGE aims to achieve by 2026. This rebate, roughly $5,000 per household, would be aimed at compensating taxpayers for past waste and fraud, while encouraging further reporting of inefficiencies. As of February 17, DOGE had saved $55 billion through fraud detection, contract renegotiations, and workforce reductions. However, the plan has drawn criticism, particularly from Democrats who question Musk's role in the administration and potential conflicts of interest. Musk, however, defended his position, emphasizing the need for a responsive federal bureaucracy. The rebate proposal aims to restore public trust and incentivize labor force participation.

IRS Expected to See Thousands Laid Off by Trump Admin and DOGE 

The IRS is set to begin laying off 6,000 employees starting Thursday as part of broader federal workforce reductions under the Trump administration’s Department of Government Efficiency initiative. The cuts will primarily target newer hires, particularly in enforcement, as they represent a significant portion of recent additions. The layoffs come amid tax season, prompting concerns about potential disruptions to tax collections and services. The IRS had expanded its workforce by 25% between 2021 and 2024, following an $80 billion congressional funding boost aimed at improving customer service and enforcement. However, these job losses may exacerbate the agency’s long-standing attrition issues, with nearly two-thirds of IRS employees eligible for retirement within six years. A union official confirmed that probationary employees in the Small Business/Self Employed Division are among those affected, though the full scope remains unclear. Former IRS Commissioner Chuck Rettig criticized the layoffs, warning they would benefit noncompliant taxpayers while burdening those who follow tax laws. The Treasury Department has yet to comment on the situation. 

DOGE Seeking to Audit Gold in Fort Knox 

Elon Musk and his DOGE team have expressed interest in verifying the gold reserves at Fort Knox after Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) revealed he was denied entry for an inspection. Lee stated that despite his position, Fort Knox officials rejected his request, citing its status as a military installation. When he pointed out that senators routinely visit military bases, he was still refused access without further explanation. Musk questioned the lack of oversight, xweeting, “Who is confirming that gold wasn’t stolen from Fort Knox? We want to know if it’s still there.” Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) supported the call for an audit, confirming that regular inspections do not occur. His father, former Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), had raised similar concerns years ago. Critics argue that the military’s refusal to allow civilian oversight is unacceptable, emphasizing the need for accountability in government institutions. The discussion highlights broader concerns about unchecked bureaucratic power and the necessity for elected officials to ensure transparency in national assets.

American Airlines Flight Diverted After Bomb Threat and Escorted by Italian Air Force 

An American Airlines flight from New York City to New Delhi, India, was diverted to Rome after receiving a “non-credible” bomb threat. Flight 292, a Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner, departed from John F. Kennedy International Airport on Saturday evening with 199 passengers and 15 crew members onboard. While flying near Turkmenistan, the flight was rerouted to Rome due to a security concern, later confirmed to be based on an unfounded email bomb threat. The plane was escorted by two Italian Air Force Eurofighter Typhoons during the diversion. The aircraft landed safely in Rome on Sunday afternoon after a 14-hour, 45-minute ordeal. American Airlines confirmed the safety of passengers and thanked them for their understanding, while working with local authorities to resolve the situation. The incident follows another American Airlines flight delay earlier in February, when a passenger's Wi-Fi hotspot labeled “There is a bomb on the flight” prompted an evacuation and nearly five hours of delay.

Resolute Desk Removed from Oval Office Possibly Due to Listening Devices 

Since returning to the White House, President Trump has seen significant success, but leaks and rumors have continued to stir controversy. While leaks have been less frequent than during his first term, there are still unsettling reports, including claims that listening devices were found inside the Oval Office, specifically within the Resolute Desk, traditionally the primary desk in the office. This speculation grew after Trump confirmed that the Resolute Desk had been temporarily moved, citing refinishing. However, the desk’s removal has raised suspicions, and Trump’s recent Truth Social post, which showed a different desk—the “C&O” desk—only fueled further conjecture. This desk, previously used by other presidents, was described as a temporary replacement. Despite the official explanation, some speculate that the move may be covering up the discovery of the listening devices. The situation remains unclear, with online posts and social media discussions surrounding the desk's change being deleted shortly after publication, adding to the uncertainty and intrigue.

Trump Appoints Dan Bongino as Deputy Director of FBI 

President Donald Trump announced that Dan Bongino, a former Secret Service agent and successful podcaster, has been appointed as the new Deputy Director of the FBI by newly-confirmed FBI Director Kash Patel. Trump praised Bongino for his dedication to serving the country, noting that he would be leaving his lucrative career in media to take on this important role. Bongino has a Master’s in Psychology and an MBA, and has served as a respected member of both the New York Police Department and the U.S. Secret Service. Trump highlighted that Bongino’s appointment, along with Patel’s leadership and the newly-appointed U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi, would bring a return to fairness, justice, law, and order in America. Bongino expressed gratitude for the opportunity to serve in the position, which aims to restore integrity to the FBI. Patel, who was confirmed after overcoming several procedural hurdles, was praised by Trump for being an exceptional choice for FBI Director. 

AG Bondi to Release ‘Some’ of the Epstein Files, Including Flight Logs 

Attorney General Pam Bondi announced that some of the federal government’s files on millionaire sex offender Jeffrey Epstein could be released as soon as Thursday. Bondi stated that the delay was due to the need to redact the personal information of over 250 victims. When asked about the content of the release, Bondi confirmed that flight logs, names, and other information would be made public, including details about the private flights to Epstein's island where minors were sexually assaulted. She also acknowledged that Epstein's "co-defendant," Ghislaine Maxwell, who was sentenced to 20 years in prison for trafficking underage girls, played a role in the abuse. In July 2024, grand jury documents from a 2006 investigation revealed that Florida prosecutors knew about Epstein’s abuse of two teenage girls years before offering him a controversial plea deal. Epstein ultimately received a lenient sentence, serving just 13 months in a work-release program. He died by suicide in 2019 while awaiting trial for another sex-trafficking case. 

FBI Opens Investigation Into Honeypot Operation Against 2016 Trump Campaign 

New leadership at the FBI, under Director Kash Patel and Deputy Director Dan Bongino, has launched an investigation into a secret 2015 operation aimed at infiltrating Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign using two female undercover agents, referred to as “honeypots.” The operation, first revealed by an FBI whistleblower in 2023, was reportedly ordered by former FBI Director James Comey and differed from the later Crossfire Hurricane investigation into alleged Russian collusion. The whistleblower claims that the operation, which lacked a specific criminal target, was an off-the-books “fishing expedition” intended to find anything incriminating against Trump and his campaign staff. The investigation, which was concealed from the Justice Department’s Inspector General, was eventually closed after a photo of one undercover agent surfaced, leading to concerns about her safety. One undercover agent was transferred to the CIA, while the other was promoted within the FBI. The whistleblower indicated that FBI employees were instructed to never discuss the operation, suggesting potential institutional bias against Trump.

BORDER CRISIS

Green Berets Deploy to Mexico to “Train” Mexican Military to Fight Cartels 

The Mexican Senate Commission has approved the deployment of US Special Forces for training missions in Mexico, following two weeks of US Air Force RC-135V/W Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft conducting signals intelligence (SIGINT) operations along the US-Mexico border and in cartel-controlled waters off Baja California. The approved training will involve the US Army's 7th Special Forces Group (Airborne) Green Berets, working alongside the Mexican Navy’s Infantería de Marina at the Luis Carpizo naval facility in Campeche from February 17 to March 30, 2025. This exercise is officially overseen by Mexico’s Ministry of Defense (SEDENA) and aims to enhance Mexico's national defense priorities, with a focus on training rather than combat operations. The deployment follows President Trump’s designation of Mexican cartels as "foreign terrorist organizations," with discussions of potential US military involvement in Mexico if cartel attacks escalate. While this move signals increased US-Mexico military cooperation, it is also part of broader efforts to tackle the drug cartel crisis, including financial pressure on Mexican banks and possibly China’s role in fentanyl precursor exports.

US-Canadian Border “Undefended” and an “Easy Target” for Smugglers 

Smugglers are using TikTok to openly advertise illegal crossings at the Canada-US border, complicating trade and security negotiations between the two countries, according to a New York Post report. These traffickers, primarily targeting Indian nationals, charge up to $5,000 for illegal border crossings, with posts featuring Indian music and the U.S. flag. Smugglers operate from Canadian cities like Montreal, Brampton, and Surrey, guiding migrants across unguarded wilderness routes, including a forest trek near Champlain and Mooers, NY. Despite a decline in northern border crossings since President Trump's tenure, at least six smuggler accounts remain active on TikTok. These accounts market the journey with testimonials from "satisfied customers" who describe the crossings as "easy" and "comfortable." The Canada-US border is seen as an easy target for smugglers due to its largely unprotected wilderness. Meanwhile, illegal crossings at the southern US border have dramatically decreased, while illegal Romanian immigration to Maine has seen a rise, though the reasons behind this shift remain unclear.

Eight Cartels and Gangs Officially Designated as Terrorist Organization by Trump Admin 

On Wednesday, the U.S. State Department officially designated several drug cartels and gangs as Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) and Specially Designated Global Terrorists (SDGTs), expanding the administration’s ability to target these groups. This move, supported by U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, followed a thorough review of evidence under the Immigration and Nationality Act. The cartels affected include Tren de Aragua, Mara Salvatrucha, Cartel de Sinaloa, and others. FTOs face criminal penalties for associations, while SDGTs are subject to sanctions and asset seizures. This designation follows reports that the CIA is conducting surveillance over Mexico with MQ-9 Reaper drones to combat drug cartels, marking a shift in U.S. strategy. While the drones are unarmed, their use could evolve to targeting cartel leaders or infrastructure. Mexican officials have downplayed the operations, stating they don’t violate airspace, and President Claudia Sheinbaum has supported information-sharing with the U.S. government. President Trump has expressed strong intentions to combat transnational drug cartels.

Deportations Hit 14,470 Illegals According to Mexican Authorities 

President Donald Trump has deported 14,470 migrants via Mexico since January 20, according to Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, including 11,379 Mexicans and 3,091 non-Mexicans, likely from Central America. Nearly 500 migrants are returned daily across the border, while others are flown to countries like Venezuela, India, and Panama. Deportations have surged alongside a sharp decline in new border crossings, driven by Trump’s agreements with Latin American nations to curb migration flows. Some foreign leaders, including Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro and Jamaica’s Prime Minister Andrew Holness, are encouraging their nationals to return home. Despite these efforts, Trump faces the challenge of removing millions of migrants who entered under President Joe Biden, including at least 2 million with criminal records or deportation orders. Many can evade removal or challenge deportation in court, aided by business interests and pro-migration media. The process is further constrained by limited federal enforcement resources and 2024 budget allocations, though GOP lawmakers are preparing a bill to secure over $100 billion for border security and deportation programs.

Biden TSA Focused on Getting Illegals in Faster Rather than National Security 

Under the Biden administration, TSA security protocols were altered to expedite checkpoints, leading to concerns about national security. A Freedom of Information Act lawsuit revealed that TSA allowed illegal aliens to board commercial flights with non-traditional forms of identification, including arrest warrants and orders of removal, which could be presented electronically at security. TSA's revised 2021 directive accepted these documents for illegal aliens traveling without standard IDs. The agency’s primary goal was reducing wait times at checkpoints rather than national security concerns, as emphasized in the rollout of the CBP One Pilot program. The program used TSA-issued smartphones to take photos and biometric data of non-U.S. citizens, including those without acceptable travel documents. The program was touted for improving efficiency, reducing average cycle times by 88.5%. However, facial biometrics were optional for illegal aliens, raising concerns about security, as the Patriot Act mandates biometric submission. Airports in multiple states participated in the program. Critics argue that these measures jeopardized national security by allowing unvetted individuals to move across the country. 

Here is a list of the airports that participated in the Pilot Program for CBP One: 

    • Alexandria International Airport, Louisiana (AEX) 

    • Austin - Bergstrom International Airport, Texas (AUS) 

    • Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, Texas (DFW) 

    • Denver International Airport, Colorado (DEN) 

    • Fort Lauderdale - Hollywood International Airport, Florida (FLL) 

    • George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Texas (IAH) 

    • Miami International Airport, Florida (MIA) 

    • Monroe Regional Airport, Louisiana (MLU) 

    • Palm Springs International Airport, California (PSP) 

    • Shreveport Regional Airport, Louisiana (SHV) 

    • Yuma International Airport,Arizona(NYL) 

Colony Ridge in Texas Next Deportation Target of ICE 

Texas Governor Greg Abbott announced that the Colony Ridge development, a hotspot for illegal immigrants just north of Houston, is being targeted for deportation operations. The operation, involving Homeland Security and the Texas Department of Public Safety, focuses on criminal and illegal immigrants in the area. Colony Ridge, a 60-square-mile development, has drawn attention for its role in attracting illegal aliens through marketing schemes that bypass traditional checks, including no requirement for a social security number to purchase land. Abbott's announcement follows previous raids, which led to the capture of numerous criminals, including murder suspects and drug traffickers. Notably, a recent investigation uncovered a Guatemalan human smuggler linked to a mass casualty event. The development has become a focal point for illegal activities, with one suspect admitting to a murder. State Representative Janis Holt has proposed legislation to track foreign land buyers in Texas, aiming to identify illegal aliens purchasing property. This legislation would create a system for monitoring land sales to enhance security and accountability.

After not Taking Enough Migrants Back, Trump Terminates Venezuelan Oil License 

President Trump has ordered the termination of a key oil deal with Venezuela, reversing concessions made by President Biden in November 2022 that allowed Chevron to operate in Venezuela despite sanctions. Trump criticized Biden for granting concessions to Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, stating that Venezuela had failed to meet electoral conditions tied to the agreement. While Trump did not mention Chevron directly, the company was the primary beneficiary of the deal, which allowed it to resume oil production and sales in Venezuela. Under the agreement, Chevron was required to exit Venezuela by the end of July. Trump’s decision is seen as a blow to Venezuela’s struggling economy, which had hoped for improved relations after a July visit from a Trump envoy, resulting in the release of six imprisoned Americans. Trump cited the Maduro government’s failure to swiftly return violent criminals, including members of the Tren de Aragua gang, to Venezuela as a key reason for ending the deal. This has led to a drop in Venezuela’s dollar bonds.

IED Kills 2 Ranchers, 1 Injured Near Sothern Border 

Last week, two individuals were killed and another injured after a truck drove over an improvised explosive device (IED) near the U.S. southern border in Mexico, a likely result of cartel activity. The victims, 74-year-old Antonio Céspedes Saldierna and Horacio Lopez Peña, were driving on a ranch in San Fernando, Mexico, near Brownsville, Texas. Peña’s wife, Ninfa Griselda Ortega, was injured in the explosion. Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller called the attack a stark reminder of the growing cartel threat along the border and urged caution for those working near the area. Ramiro Céspedes, Saldierna’s son and a U.S. Army veteran, described the incident as a "terrorist attack." Miller issued a warning to Texas ranchers and agricultural workers to remain vigilant, avoid remote areas, and report suspicious activity. The Tamaulipas government has also cautioned about IEDs on rural roads, used by cartels to defend their territory from rivals. Miller emphasized the importance of protecting Texas' agricultural community, urging safe travel practices.

BOHICA!

Brits Accuse Ukraine Military of Wasting Advanced Western Weapons 

Several British defense officials have expressed concerns about how Ukrainian forces are handling advanced Western-supplied weaponry. According to a report in The Telegraph, Ukrainian troops are mixing modern weapon systems with outdated Soviet-era tactics, such as using the British-supplied Next Generation Light Anti-tank Weapon (NLAW) as if it were a standard rocket-propelled grenade (RPG) launcher, firing multiple NLAWs simultaneously with little accuracy. Additionally, some officials criticized Ukraine for not fully adopting NATO's precision-based tactics, which emphasize coordination and targeted strikes. Another issue raised was the Ukrainian military's practice of abandoning expensive, Western-supplied weapons, like the $100,000 Javelin missiles, during retreats. This practice, contrary to NATO’s “leave nothing behind” policy, has led to these weapons falling into Russian hands, where they are either used as “war trophies” or reverse-engineered. One source suggested that Russia may have more Javelins than the British Army due to these abandoned weapons, raising concerns about security and the potential for adversarial innovation.

$4.7 Trillion in Nearly Untraceable Payments Found by DOGE 

The Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) uncovered a critical identification code, the Treasury Access Symbol (TAS), linking U.S. Treasury payments to budget line items, which had often been left blank, making the traceability of nearly $4.7 trillion in payments difficult. DOGE announced that TAS will now be a required field, enhancing financial transparency and accountability. The discovery was made public alongside a report on the DOGE.gov Savings page, which claimed approximately $55 billion in savings through measures like fraud detection, contract renegotiations, and workforce reductions. DOGE, led by Elon Musk, was established to reduce federal spending through aggressive cost-cutting measures. However, the department has faced legal challenges, with 14 states suing to block its access to federal data, alleging overreach. Despite these criticisms, DOGE scored a legal victory when a federal judge allowed its access to sensitive data from several federal agencies. DOGE is tasked with implementing its mission for 18 months, aiming to streamline government spending and reduce waste.

Investigators Find Secret Slush Fund USAID Used to Send Millions to Ukraine  

Investigators working for Senate DOGE Caucus Chairman Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) uncovered questionable spending of U.S. tax dollars intended for Ukraine's war efforts through USAID. Despite repeated resistance from USAID officials, the investigators identified millions of dollars funneled into "secret slush funds" for purposes unrelated to national interests, including funding for luxury items, fashion events, and niche businesses. Examples include $114,000 for premium furniture, $255,000 for organic tea, and $89,000 for a Ukrainian vineyard. Investigators criticized USAID for its lack of transparency and wasteful spending, including $122 million allocated to organizations in the Middle East with alleged terrorist ties. Ernst, who began the investigation in November 2023, has expressed concerns about the misuse of taxpayer dollars, despite her support for military aid to Ukraine. Her findings coincide with a broader congressional inquiry into USAID’s operations, including hearings on its connections to terrorist groups. The investigation is part of ongoing audits led by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). 

 

WAR (and rumors of war)

US MILITARY

USAF B-52's Drop Live Munitions in Mid-East Show-of-Force Exercise  

Two U.S. Air Force B-52 bombers conducted a force projection mission over the Middle East on Feb. 17, flying from RAF Fairford, U.K., through the airspace of nine unidentified partner nations. The mission, part of Bomber Task Force 25-2, included live munitions drops and was escorted by U.S. F-15E Strike Eagles and fighters from four partner nations. CENTCOM Commander Gen. Michael Kurilla emphasized the mission's role in deterring threats and demonstrating U.S. power. The B-52s' deployment follows heightened U.S. military presence in the region since Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on Israel, aimed at countering Iran and its proxies. Meanwhile, the USS Harry S. Truman left the Red Sea for repairs in Greece after colliding with a merchant tanker. In Syria, the U.S. conducted a Feb. 15 airstrike targeting a senior Hurras al-Din official, amid broader efforts against ISIS and al-Qaeda affiliates. President Trump praised the strike, and CENTCOM vowed continued counterterrorism efforts, leveraging more permissive Syrian airspace following the Assad regime’s December collapse.

USAF B-52 Flies Near Russian and Belarus Border for Estonia Independence Day 

A U.S. Air Force B-52H Stratofortress bomber flew over Tallinn, Estonia, today, marking Estonian Independence Day and bringing it within 50 miles of the Russian border, according to flight-tracking data. The bomber, part of a Bomber Task Force deployment from Minot Air Force Base, was accompanied by four F-35A stealth fighters, likely from the Royal Netherlands Air Force, and two Finnish F/A-18 Hornets. While overflights of Tallinn for Independence Day are not uncommon, the timing of this flight—three years after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—raised speculation. The B-52’s route also took it close to strategic areas such as the Suwalki Gap, a key chokepoint between Belarus and Kaliningrad, heightening its geopolitical significance. The flight underscored NATO’s military presence in the Baltic region amid escalating East-West tensions and serves as a reminder of U.S. support for Baltic independence in the face of Russian aggression. The Department of Defense has not yet issued an official statement regarding the mission.

North Field on Tinian Island Reclaimed for Future Pacific Bomber Operations 

Satellite imagery reveals extensive restoration work at North Field on Tinian, a U.S. Island in the Western Pacific, with over 20 million square feet of WWII-era runways and infrastructure refurbished for modern military use. Originally a launch site for B-29 bomber raids on Japan, including the Hiroshima and Nagasaki missions, North Field is being rebuilt as a strategic power projection hub. The grid-like layout of the airfield presents targeting challenges for adversaries, making it a valuable asset in potential conflicts, particularly with China. Satellite images from Planet Labs, taken between December 2023 and January 2025, illustrate the progressive clearing of overgrown runways and taxiways. Additionally, construction at Tinian International Airport is expanding military capabilities, with a new apron, taxiway, and fuel storage facilities at the island’s main port. The U.S. Navy and Air Force are collaborating on these projects to bolster regional military infrastructure. Tinian, part of the U.S. Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, is located 120 miles northeast of Guam, another key U.S. territory in the Pacific. 

FORTRESS EUROPE

EU Developing Plans to Send 30,000 Troops to Ukraine While Trump Negotiates for Peace 

European leaders are urging the U.S. to support a peace deal for Ukraine, with a military backstop to prevent future Russian aggression. However, President Trump signals a shift towards reducing the U.S. troop presence in Europe, favoring European nations to enhance their own security. European officials, such as Finnish MEP Mika Aaltola, have criticized this approach, accusing the U.S. of enabling Ukraine’s "surrender" to Russia. Reports suggest U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth informed Ukraine that troop numbers in Europe may be significantly reduced. In response, President Zelensky has emphasized the need for over 100,000 European troops in Ukraine if NATO membership isn’t viable. European nations are preparing a plan to send 30,000 troops for peacekeeping, with the U.S. providing logistical support but no boots on the ground. As Trump’s administration signals a reduced role, European leaders are scrambling to fill the potential void, with France and the UK leading efforts to propose a "reassurance force" for Ukraine. However, Russian opposition to NATO presence complicates these plans.

As Russian Threats Mount, Finland to Step Up Defense 

Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo warned Thursday that Russia poses a "permanent security threat" to Europe, urging increased defense spending in both Finland and the EU. Speaking at a meeting of EU commissioners in Helsinki, Orpo emphasized the need to boost military capabilities amid growing Russian aggression and declining U.S. defense contributions. Finland, which joined NATO in April 2023 after abandoning decades of military non-alignment, already spends over 2% of its GDP on defense but plans further increases. Orpo suggested NATO’s spending target should rise above the current 2% threshold to address escalating threats. European Commission Vice-President Henna Virkkunen echoed concerns over Europe’s deteriorating security environment, highlighting Finland’s frontline position against Russian threats, including suspected hybrid warfare tactics like recent subsea cable sabotage. With a 1,340-kilometer border with Russia, Finland has been strengthening its military preparedness since Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Orpo’s call aligns with broader European efforts to enhance military readiness as geopolitical tensions with Russia remain high.

Ireland and Sweden to Send Air Defense Systems to Ukraine 

Sweden and Ireland have announced air defense donations to Ukraine amid uncertainty over U.S. military aid. Sweden’s package, worth 1.2 billion kronor ($113 million), includes RBS 70 NG and Tridon Mk2 air defense systems. Swedish Defense Minister Pal Jonson stated the systems would help Ukraine counter drones, cruise missiles, and aircraft. The RBS 70, a man-portable system by Saab Bofors Dynamics, has a range of 9 km (5.6 miles) and an altitude of 5,000 meters (16,404 feet). The Tridon Mk2, a mobile system based on the Bofors 40mm gun, has an effective range of 12 km (7.4 miles). Last month, Sweden announced its largest defense package for Ukraine, totaling 13.5 billion kronor ($1.2 billion). Ireland is also donating parts of its aging air defense, including Giraffe Mark IV radar systems. At least three of seven Giraffes in service are expected to be transferred. The Irish government is coordinating training with Ukraine while planning replacements, as the transfer may weaken Ireland’s air defenses. 

MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL

In Accordance with the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire, Hamas Releases Six More Hostages 

On Saturday, Palestinian militants released three Israeli hostages in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, completing a high-stakes swap despite concerns over the fragility of a Gaza ceasefire. The hostages—Sagui Dekel-Chen, Sasha Trupanov, and Yair Horn—had been held by Gaza militants since Hamas's October 7, 2023 attack. After being paraded on stage and making statements, they were handed over to the Red Cross and returned to Israel. In return, Israel released 369 Palestinian prisoners, including those detained during the war and several serving life sentences. The swap, the sixth since the ceasefire began on January 19, came amid threats from both Hamas and Israel to halt further exchanges due to violations. The released prisoners received a warm welcome in Gaza and the West Bank, with celebratory crowds in Khan Yunis and Ramallah. Meanwhile, hostages' families in Israel expressed relief and joy. However, the fragile ceasefire, strained by political tensions and humanitarian concerns, remains under significant pressure.

The Deceased Remains of 4 Israeli Captives Returned by Hamas Under Gaza Ceasefire Deal 

On Thursday, Hamas delivered the bodies of four Israeli captives—Shiri Bibas and her two children, Ariel and Kfir, and Oded Lifshitz—as part of a ceasefire and prisoner exchange agreement in Gaza. The bodies were handed over to the International Red Cross in Khan Younis, located in the southern Gaza Strip. Israeli authorities confirmed the transfer, stating that the bodies would undergo identification at the Health Ministry's Abu Kabir National Center of Forensic Medicine before informing their families. Ahead of the handover, Hamas staged a display with the caskets, including a banner depicting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as Dracula above images of the victims. Hamas accused the Israeli government of causing the deaths of the hostages in airstrikes during Israel's ongoing bombardment of Gaza. This exchange was part of the first phase of a ceasefire and prisoner swap agreement, following intense violence that has left over 48,300 people dead in Gaza. Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant face international charges related to war crimes in Gaza. 

Planned Terrorist Bus Bombing Attempt in Israel, No Injuries Reported 

Several buses in central Israel were targeted in a planned mass terror bombing attempt on Thursday evening. At least three bombs exploded in Bat Yam, though no injuries were reported. Israeli authorities suspect the attack was orchestrated by Iran, with Hamas terrorists from the West Bank carrying out the bombings. Iranian involvement included supplying weapons, training operatives, and funding terror cells in the region. The bombs, made from non-standard materials like fertilizer and urea, were set to detonate on Friday but were improperly timed. The Israeli government responded by increasing security measures, especially around schools. Prime Minister Netanyahu ordered a security assessment, and the IDF was instructed to conduct operations against terrorist hotspots in the West Bank. Hamas's Tulkarm battalion claimed responsibility, stating the attack was part of a jihad against Israeli "occupation." A passenger's alertness led to the discovery of a suspicious package, which was safely handled before the explosion occurred. The IDF deployed additional battalions and coordinated with Shin Bet to investigate the incident.

RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT

Drone Strike Blasts Hole in Chernobyl’s Radiation Shield 

Ukrainian nuclear experts have expressed concern over the potential long-term effects of a drone strike on the New Safe Containment (NSC) structure at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, which protects the remains of Reactor 4. While the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed no immediate radiation release, the strike caused a fire and breached the NSC roof’s outer layer, with further damage potentially compromising the inner containment. Experts fear that if the structure is rolled back for repairs, it could expose the unstable sarcophagus, risking radioactive release. The NSC, which cost nearly $2 billion and was completed in 2016, was designed to shield Reactor 4 from environmental threats but not from explosive drones. The damage, including to rails used for crane systems, may delay critical repair operations and testing. The incident underscores the ongoing vulnerability of nuclear facilities in conflict zones, with previous concerns raised about radioactive contamination from Russian activities at Chernobyl and other Ukrainian nuclear plants, such as Zaporizhzhia.

If Ukraine Can Get into NATO, Zelensky Claims He Will Resign and End War 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed a willingness to resign if it would bring peace to Ukraine and secure NATO membership for the country, acknowledging the possibility of stepping down for the greater good. His statement came after criticism from former U.S. President Donald Trump, who labeled Zelensky a "dictator" and blamed him for the ongoing war. Trump criticized U.S. spending on the war, claiming that Europe benefited more while the U.S. received no return on investment. He also disparaged Zelensky's approval rating and accused him of avoiding elections, despite Zelensky winning a landslide victory in 2019. Zelensky's approval has since dropped to just over 50%, and Ukraine’s elections have been delayed due to martial law. Trump claimed that only his administration could end the war, asserting that the conflict could have been avoided or settled with his approach, which would have preserved Ukraine's territory without further bloodshed. Zelensky’s remarks highlight the delicate balance between peace, NATO membership, and Ukraine's future political leadership.

INDO-PACIFIC

Chinese Warships Monitored by Australia in ‘Unusual’ Presence Off Coast 

Australia is closely monitoring the presence of three Chinese warships off its eastern coast, which include a frigate, cruiser, and supply tanker. The ships, spotted last week in waters off mainland Australia, are now navigating down the eastern coastline. Defense Minister Richard Marles described the situation as “unusual” but emphasized that it was not unprecedented, reassuring that the vessels posed no threat and were operating in accordance with international law. The monitoring comes amid rising tensions between Australia and China, including a recent incident where a Chinese fighter jet dropped flares near an Australian Air Force plane patrolling the South China Sea. Beijing retaliated, accusing the Australian plane of violating Chinese sovereignty and jeopardizing national security. These events are part of ongoing frictions in the Asia-Pacific region, which has seen multiple confrontations, such as the interception of an Australian Seahawk helicopter by a Chinese jet in 2024 and a 2023 incident where a Chinese destroyer targeted Australian navy divers with sonar pulses.

Chinese Ships in the Tasman Sea Armed with ‘Extremely Capable’ Weaponry Warns New Zealand Defense Minister 

New Zealand Defense Minister Judith Collins warned Monday that a Chinese naval group conducting live-fire exercises in the Tasman Sea carried "extremely capable" weaponry, including anti-ship ballistic missiles with a 540-nautical-mile range, posing a strategic threat to Australia. Collins criticized China’s minimal advance warning, which forced last-minute flight diversions, and called for increased defense spending to counter rising regional tensions. The three-ship task group, including the Renhai-class cruiser Zunyi, was shadowed by New Zealand’s frigate Te Kaha, but China refused information requests about its movements. Beijing dismissed concerns, accusing New Zealand and Australia of exaggerating, while Collins insisted best practices for aviation warnings were not followed. The exercises, involving target positioning and live fire, demonstrated China’s ability to project military power deep into the South Pacific. Analysts linked the drills to China’s growing interest in deep-sea mining, referencing a recent resource deal with the Cook Islands. Collins stressed that New Zealand’s geographic isolation no longer guarantees security, urging greater military preparedness. 

 

GEOPOLITICS

Talks to End Ukraine War Underway as US and Russian Delegates Arrive in Saudi Arabia 

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov arrived in Saudi Arabia on Monday for U.S.-Russia negotiations in Riyadh aimed at ending the Ukraine war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, already in Riyadh, met with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, though Ukraine was not mentioned in their official readout. The talks follow a phone call between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, signaling a major shift in U.S. policy from the Biden administration, which had prioritized isolating Russia. Trump, who opposes continued military aid to Ukraine, has made ending the war a priority, raising concerns that a peace deal may require Ukraine to cede territory and abandon NATO aspirations. During a U.N. Security Council meeting, U.S. representative John Kelley called restoring Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders “unrealistic” but emphasized the need for security guarantees. Britain and France reaffirmed support for Ukraine, with U.K. envoy Barbara Woodward rejecting peace terms that include Ukraine withdrawing from its own land. Russia currently controls 20% of Ukraine, including Crimea, which it annexed in 2014.

‘I will Never Accept any Decisions Between US and Russia About Ukraine’ Says Zelensky 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated over the weekend that he would not accept any deal between the United States and Russia regarding Ukraine unless he is involved in the negotiations and agrees to the terms. In an interview with NBC News' "Meet The Press," Zelensky responded firmly when asked about President Donald Trump's recent comments regarding Ukraine's role in peace talks. Zelensky emphasized that decisions about Ukraine must include Ukraine, noting that any negotiations without Ukrainian participation would be unacceptable. While he expressed gratitude for the bipartisan support from the U.S. and acknowledged the importance of U.S.-Russia relations, Zelensky made it clear that no international leader, including President Biden, could make peace deals involving Ukraine without its involvement. He stressed the importance of the U.S. as Ukraine's largest strategic partner and expressed a readiness to work closely with the U.S. to find a resolution to the war, underscoring the need for a swift and collaborative effort.

NATO ‘Warmongers’ have Emergency Ukraine Summit in Hungary 

An emergency meeting in Paris on Monday, convened by French President Emmanuel Macron, involved European leaders from Germany, Britain, Italy, Poland, Spain, the Netherlands, Denmark, NATO's Secretary General, and EU figures. The meeting, called in response to Europe and Ukraine being excluded from US-Russia negotiations on ending the Ukraine war, came after President Zelensky urged Europe to swiftly appoint a representative for the talks. However, with US-Russia talks set to begin Tuesday, any European intervention might be too late. Hungary's Foreign Minister, Peter Szijjarto, voiced dissent, criticizing the summit as a gathering of "warmongers" who are prolonging the war and undermining peace efforts. Meanwhile, Denmark’s Defense Intelligence Service warned of the potential for large-scale war in Europe if NATO appears weak, while Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called for increased military preparedness. EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen also emphasized the need for a defense surge in Europe. The backdrop to these tensions includes ongoing threats from former US President Donald Trump, who has criticized NATO defense spending and suggested Russia might attack non-compliant NATO members.

British PM - ‘Ready’ to Send British Troops ‘In Harm’s Way’ in Ukraine 

UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer declared his readiness to deploy British troops to Ukraine "in harm’s way" to deter Russian aggression, just ahead of an emergency summit in Paris on the Ukraine conflict. His stance comes as the U.S. and Russia hold talks in Saudi Arabia, excluding European leaders, prompting the summit. Starmer supported French President Macron's plan for European forces to engage directly in Ukraine, emphasizing the urgency of deterring future Russian invasions. He described the situation as “existential for Europe” and stressed that peace in Ukraine hinges on Russia being sufficiently deterred. In his op-ed in the Daily Telegraph, Starmer also called for European nations to increase defense spending, aligning with criticisms from U.S. officials like Vice President JD Vance, who condemned Europe's failure to fully fund its defense. While Starmer advocates for British involvement in security guarantees for Ukraine, including the potential deployment of troops, the precise number of soldiers required for effective deterrence remains uncertain.

‘It’s Time for Elections in Ukraine’ Claims Trump 

President Donald Trump called for Ukraine to hold elections, citing concerns over missing U.S. aid funds and criticizing President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for his handling of financial support. Trump emphasized that his approach to Russia was more effective, claiming he could negotiate a peace deal to stop further bloodshed. Zelenskyy, whose term ends in April 2024, is unable to hold elections due to Ukraine's martial law amid Russia's occupation. Trump’s comments followed high-level U.S.-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia, where further discussions on the war were agreed upon, excluding Ukraine from negotiations. Zelenskyy responded, accusing Trump of spreading Russian disinformation, particularly regarding the origins of the war. Trump, in turn, dismissed Zelenskyy as a "dictator without elections." Additionally, Trump claimed he could revive a deal where Ukraine would provide the U.S. with critical minerals in exchange for military aid, though Ukraine rejected the proposal during a recent visit by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Trump’s remarks deepen tensions between him and Zelenskyy amid ongoing peace efforts.

No NATO and No Security Promises for Ukraine Says Trump 

Former President Donald Trump on Wednesday ruled out offering Ukraine NATO membership or formal U.S. security guarantees, asserting that European allies should bear responsibility for Ukraine’s defense. Speaking ahead of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to sign an agreement on rare earth resources, Trump claimed the U.S. presence in Ukraine as part of the deal would serve as a deterrent. He reiterated that NATO membership for Ukraine was off the table, aligning with Russia’s justification for its invasion. Trump emphasized his diplomatic efforts to secure a resolution, stating Russian President Vladimir Putin was now open to compromise. The U.S. recently sided with Russia at the U.N. on a resolution calling for an end to the war without affirming Ukraine’s territorial integrity. Trump insisted he aimed for a “good deal” that would allow Ukraine to regain as much territory as possible. European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron and U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, have urged Trump to ensure U.S. involvement in securing any potential agreement. 

 

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