END of MAY SITREP SUPPORT
LEAD STORIES
Former President Biden Diagnosed with Aggressive Form of Cancer
Former President Joe Biden was diagnosed on Friday with an aggressive form of prostate cancer, his office announced Sunday. The diagnosis followed the discovery of a prostate nodule and increasing urinary symptoms. Biden’s cancer has a Gleason score of 9, indicating Grade Group 5, and has metastasized to the bone. Despite the severity, the cancer is hormone-sensitive, which allows for effective management, according to Biden’s office. The 82-year-old and his family are currently reviewing treatment options with his medical team. On Monday, Biden shared a message on X, expressing resilience and gratitude for public support, saying, “Cancer touches us all” and highlighting strength in adversity alongside his wife, Jill Biden. Following the announcement, former President Donald Trump extended his support for Biden’s recovery via Truth Social, wishing him a “fast and successful recovery.” Some medical experts, as reported by the New York Post, questioned how Biden’s prostate cancer went undetected until it reached such an advanced stage. The diagnosis has drawn significant public and media attention given Biden’s age and health status.
Initiative for Golden Dome Plan Announced by Trump
On May 20, President Donald Trump announced plans to complete his ambitious Golden Dome missile defense program before the end of his term, calling it vital for U.S. survival amid escalating global threats. Speaking alongside Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Trump appointed Space Force Gen. Michael A. Guetlein to lead the initiative, which aims to integrate next-generation land, sea, and space-based technologies into a unified system capable of intercepting drones, hypersonic weapons, ballistic missiles, and even space-launched threats. The envisioned “system of systems” would rely heavily on satellites and space-based sensors and interceptors—many of which are still theoretical. Trump likened the project to a modern-day Strategic Defense Initiative and claimed it would fulfill Ronald Reagan’s decades-old vision. He estimated costs at $175 billion, significantly lower than the Congressional Budget Office’s $831 billion projection, and requested a $25 billion down payment in an upcoming GOP-led spending bill. Guetlein compared the effort to the Manhattan Project, citing rapidly advancing adversary capabilities in nuclear, hypersonic, and space weapons. Critics warn the timeline and technology remain highly ambitious and unproven.
Canada in Discussions Over Joining Golden Dome Missile Defense System
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed that Canada is engaged in high-level talks with the US Trump administration about potentially joining the “Golden Dome” missile defense system, designed to enhance North American security against threats from countries like North Korea, Russia, China, and even future outer space dangers. Speaking after a Cabinet retreat, Carney said Canada is considering participation but did not disclose financial commitments, describing the decision as a military matter under evaluation. His comments followed President Trump’s claim that Canada expressed interest and that the US would ensure Ottawa pays its “fair share.” Carney confirmed discussions with Trump and noted ongoing military cooperation between Canadian and American officials on missile defense for years. Despite his prior criticism of Trump for allegedly trying to “break” Canada, Carney acknowledged that cooperation on security matters may be necessary, emphasizing a pragmatic approach: “We cooperate when necessary, but not necessarily cooperate.” The move reflects growing concerns about evolving global threats and a willingness for closer defense collaboration between the two neighbors. President Trump later commented that it will cost Canada $61 billion US to join the Golden Dome "if they remain a separate, but unequal, Nation," but will cost nothing "if they become our cherished 51st State." He then claimed Canada is "considering" the offer.
Trump Confronts South African President in Oval Office Meeting, Plays ‘Kill the Boer’ Video
At a tense Oval Office meeting between U.S. President Trump and South African President Ramaphosa, the contentious issue of alleged white genocide in South Africa took center stage. Trump confronted Ramaphosa with videos showing black South African leaders calling for the murder of whites (Boers) and burial sites of white victims, while chants of “kill the Boer” played, making Ramaphosa visibly uncomfortable. Ramaphosa denied government involvement, emphasizing free speech and condemning the violence, but Trump pressed on, citing land confiscation laws and the influx of South African refugees fearing for their lives. When an NBC reporter attempted to shift the topic to a Qatari jet donation to the U.S. Department of Defense, Trump angrily dismissed the question, accusing the network of trying to deflect from the genocide discussion and telling the reporter to leave. Ramaphosa diplomatically suggested moving the conversation off-camera, managing the confrontation more tactfully than Zelensky’s earlier Oval Office clash with Trump. The meeting, occurring shortly after Trump accepted Afrikaner refugees, aimed to reset U.S.-South Africa relations amid ongoing tensions and negotiations involving Elon Musk’s Starlink service.
Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill’ Barely Gets Through House Vote
President Donald Trump’s multi-trillion-dollar tax package, dubbed the "Big, Beautiful Bill," narrowly passed the House with a 215–214 vote and now heads to the Senate for expected revisions before an August vote. The bill aims to prevent a year-end tax hike and a potential debt default but would sharply increase the near-term federal deficit by about $5 trillion. Key provisions include extending Trump-era tax cuts, exempting tips and overtime from taxes, raising the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap to $40,000 with phase-outs for high earners, and cutting safety-net programs like Medicaid and food stamps with new work requirements starting in 2026. The bill also rolls back clean energy tax credits, boosts fossil fuel incentives, increases military and border security spending, imposes new taxes on elite universities and immigrant remittances, and eliminates electric vehicle tax credits, replacing them with interest deductions on U.S.-built vehicle loans. Republicans largely supported the bill, except Reps. Warren Davidson and Thomas Massie, who warned about rising deficits. Democrats criticized it as prioritizing tax cuts for the wealthy over social safety nets.
NATO Greenlights Use of Long-Range Weapons Donated to Ukraine
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced Monday that Ukraine’s Western backers—including Germany, the U.S., the U.K., and France—have lifted restrictions on the range of weapons supplied to Kyiv, allowing Ukraine to strike military targets inside Russia. Merz emphasized continued military support for Ukraine and noted that Ukraine had rarely targeted Russia directly until now. He did not specify when or by whom the decisions were made, but past actions include U.S. approval of ATACMS use in November 2024 and British and French greenlights for Storm Shadow and Scalp missile strikes inside Russia. The Kremlin condemned the policy shift as “dangerous” and incompatible with peace efforts. Merz’s government is maintaining strategic ambiguity on specific arms deliveries but supports a more assertive Ukraine policy than his predecessor Olaf Scholz, who opposed sending long-range Taurus missiles. Merz also criticized Russian President Vladimir Putin for escalating the war in response to diplomatic overtures, rejecting even recent proposals for Vatican-hosted peace talks. He warned the war could drag on, despite the West’s extensive diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.
Kremlin Condemns Decisions by NATO to Lift Range Restrictions on Long-Range Weapons
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov on Monday condemned reported decisions by Ukraine’s Western backers to lift range restrictions on long-range weapons, calling them incompatible with ongoing efforts toward a peaceful resolution. His remarks followed statements by German Chancellor Friedrich Merz at the EuropaForum, where Merz said there are now “no longer any range restrictions” from the UK, France, Germany, or the U.S. on weapons used by Ukraine against Russian targets. Moscow views such moves as dangerous and escalatory, particularly as Ukraine continues to carry out long-range strikes inside Russia using Western-supplied arms. Russia has warned against NATO countries providing targeting data and accuses the West of fueling the conflict. In response to growing Western involvement, President Vladimir Putin has updated Russia’s nuclear doctrine to broaden scenarios that could trigger a strategic response, including aggression by non-nuclear states backed by nuclear powers. Despite these tensions, Russia and Ukraine recently resumed direct talks, exchanging ceasefire proposals and agreeing to a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap. Russian officials say a peace memorandum is in advanced preparation, though Moscow sees Western arms deliveries as obstructive.
Ruling by Federal Court Looks to Block Trump Tariffs
A U.S. federal court has blocked former President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling that he overstepped constitutional authority by imposing sweeping import duties under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The Court of International Trade in New York found that the Constitution gives Congress—not the president—the exclusive power to regulate foreign commerce. A three-judge panel concluded that IEEPA, a 1977 law intended for emergency economic actions, does not authorize unlimited tariffs, particularly absent a legitimate national emergency. The ruling, which permanently enjoins the tariff orders, came in response to lawsuits from a coalition of businesses and a dozen states. The court emphasized that Trump's tariffs—targeting goods from nearly every country—lacked clear limitations and thus violated constitutional boundaries. This decision dismantles a cornerstone of Trump’s trade policy, which aimed to rebuild U.S. manufacturing and pressure foreign governments into more favorable trade, immigration, and drug enforcement deals. The court’s decision marks a significant legal check on presidential authority over trade and underscores Congress's primary role in regulating tariffs.
BORDER CRISIS
‘Protected Status’ for 300K Venezuelan Migrants Removed After SCOTUS Sides with Trump
The Supreme Court delivered a significant victory to the Trump administration on Monday by approving its emergency request to proceed with revoking Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for over 300,000 Venezuelan immigrants. In a brief order, the Court overturned a lower court injunction that had blocked the rollback, with only Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson dissenting. The move permits Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem to unwind TPS designations issued in late 2023 and extended in early 2024 under the Biden administration, which had shielded Venezuelans from deportation and granted them work permits. Originally set to expire in October 2026, the protections were targeted for early termination in February, sparking legal challenges. A California judge had temporarily halted the effort, citing potential racial bias, but Trump officials argued the judiciary was overstepping its authority in immigration matters. Solicitor General D. John Sauer contended TPS decisions are executive prerogatives requiring flexibility. While lower court litigation continues, the Supreme Court’s decision enables the administration to move forward with stripping protections, marking a pivotal shift in immigration policy amid broader legal battles.
Pakistani Smuggling Network Busted in Texas by FBI
The FBI arrested two Pakistani immigration lawyers in Texas—Abdul Hadi Murshid, 39, and Muhammad Salman Nasir, 35—exposing a visa fraud ring that exploited U.S. immigration programs to smuggle Pakistani migrants into white-collar jobs. Both men were indicted on charges including conspiracy to defraud the U.S., visa fraud, money laundering, and RICO conspiracy. They allegedly manipulated the EB-2, EB-3, and H-1B visa programs by placing fake job ads to satisfy Department of Labor requirements, securing fraudulent certifications, and filing petitions with U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. To legitimize the non-existent jobs, they accepted payments from visa seekers and funneled portions back as falsified payroll. If convicted, the defendants face up to 20 years in prison. The arrests align with the Trump administration’s broader crackdown on white-collar immigration fraud, which officials say undermines American workers and weakens professional standards. The DOJ and EEOC have signaled increased scrutiny of such fraud, with ongoing efforts to identify past clients and additional perpetrators. Critics argue the system’s lack of enforcement has long enabled widespread abuse of visa programs.
Crackdown on Chinese Students Announced by Trump Administration
The Trump administration announced a crackdown on Chinese students' visas, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio vowing to "aggressively revoke" visas for those linked to the Chinese Communist Party or studying in sensitive fields, escalating tensions with Beijing and targeting a key revenue source for U.S. universities. Visa appointments for students worldwide were temporarily halted, with embassies instructed to pause issuing new student or exchange visas amid increased screening, including social media checks. The move follows broader efforts to penalize elite universities like Harvard over issues including student protests and alleged anti-Semitism, with Trump threatening to cut federal research funding. China criticized the measures and urged the U.S. to respect the rights of international students, who pay full tuition and contribute significantly to academic institutions—China sent 277,398 students to the U.S. in 2023–24, though India has recently surpassed it. The policy shift has left many students, including from U.S.-friendly countries like Taiwan and the U.K., uncertain about their academic futures as tensions rise ahead of the upcoming academic year. Harvard has mounted legal challenges to resist these federal actions.
Trump Orders ICE to Triple the Number of Daily Arrests
Stephen Miller, White House deputy chief of staff for policy, confirmed the Trump Administration’s plan to triple daily ICE arrests to at least 3,000 as part of an intensified effort to deport all undocumented migrants. Currently, ICE averages over 1,000 arrests per day but faces overcrowded detention facilities, with 48,870 detainees exceeding the 47,000 Congress-funded beds. Miller told Fox News that President Trump aims to increase arrests continuously to remove migrants who entered during the Biden administration. Since Trump’s second term began, ICE arrests surged, with about 656 daily arrests between January and March, more than doubling Biden-era numbers. The agency is seeking more funding and detention space, requesting additional beds through the GOP budget on Capitol Hill. The administration’s aggressive immigration enforcement has drawn mixed public opinion, with a May poll showing 51% approval and 44% disapproval of Trump’s immigration policies. Retired ICE agent Scott Mechkowski supports increased funding for detention but doubts Congress will fully meet ICE’s large bed requests, estimated between 100,000 and 150,000 beds. The strategy marks a significant escalation in immigration enforcement under Trump.
BOHICA!
US Credit Rating Downgraded by Moody’s
On May 16, Moody’s Ratings downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from AAA to AA1, citing persistent and growing federal deficits, rising debt, and increasing interest costs. This marks the first time all three major credit agencies—Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch—have rated U.S. debt below their top tier. Moody’s noted the impact of elevated federal spending, reduced revenues—especially if the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions are extended—and soaring interest payments due to higher Treasury yields since 2021. The agency warned that neither Congress nor successive presidential administrations have enacted meaningful reforms to reverse America’s worsening fiscal trajectory. S&P first downgraded the U.S. in 2011 over weak governance and inadequate deficit-reduction plans, while Fitch followed in 2023, highlighting high debt levels and political dysfunction. Moody’s estimates that continuing current tax and spending trends could add $4 trillion to the debt over the next decade. The collective downgrades reflect growing concern among analysts about America’s long-term fiscal sustainability and should serve as a clear warning to policymakers about the urgent need for structural fiscal reform.
Pentagon Approves Plan to Use of Qatari 747-800 to Enter Presidential Service for Air Force One
On May 20, Air Force Secretary Dr. Troy Meink told the Senate Armed Services Committee that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has directed the Air Force to begin planning modifications to a 747-8 aircraft donated by Qatar to potentially serve as Air Force One by 2029, before President Trump leaves office. Meink acknowledged the significant modifications needed to convert the civilian aircraft—including advanced communications, self-defense systems, and nuclear command capabilities—while Sen. Tammy Duckworth raised concerns about cost, security, and the risk of cutting corners to meet an accelerated timeline. Chief of Staff Gen. David Allvin said the Air Force is prepared to make necessary changes, though funding remains unclear. Duckworth criticized the effort as a waste of taxpayer money given two VC-25B aircraft already under construction, while Meink pledged to maintain full operational standards. Industry experts warn the 13-year-old Qatari aircraft, idle for years, may require complete disassembly to eliminate surveillance threats. Boeing, already burdened by losses on the VC-25B program, could be tasked with additional work, though no modification plan has been detailed.
Sec Def Hegseth Orders New Review of Catastrophic Withdraw from Afghanistan
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has ordered a comprehensive review of the U.S. military’s chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 under President Biden’s administration, focusing on the deadly suicide bombing at Kabul’s Abbey Gate that killed 13 U.S. service members and 170 civilians. In a memorandum to senior Pentagon leaders, Hegseth emphasized the Pentagon’s duty to the American public and military personnel to uncover the facts behind the failed withdrawal. He described this review as crucial to restoring trust in the military and government. The Department of Defense has been examining the event for months, but Hegseth now calls for a thorough Special Review Panel led by Assistant to the Secretary of Defense for Public Affairs Sean Parnell to reassess previous investigations, analyze decision-making, and ensure accountability. Former President Trump, who criticized the withdrawal, had pledged transparency and praised the arrest of the ISIS-K terrorist responsible for the Abbey Gate bombing, asserting that he would have fired those accountable. The review aims to provide a complete and transparent account of one of America’s darkest military episodes.
Trump Recommits to Tariffs on EU, Also Threatens Apple
On Friday, President Donald Trump proposed steep new tariffs targeting the European Union and Apple, intensifying his push to bring manufacturing back to the U.S. In Truth Social posts, Trump suggested a 50% tariff on EU products starting June 1, 2025, and a 25% tariff on Apple products if the company does not relocate iPhone manufacturing to the U.S. Trump cited stalled trade talks and claimed the EU was formed to exploit the U.S. through unfair trade practices, including VAT taxes, corporate penalties, and lawsuits. He emphasized that no tariff would apply if products were built in the U.S. Tariffs on the EU are currently 10%, following a 90-day pause Trump ordered in April. Former Ambassador Andrew Bremberg backed Trump’s move, calling it a needed correction to EU-imposed burdens on U.S. industries. Trump reiterated his longstanding demand for Apple to manufacture iPhones domestically and noted a recent meeting with CEO Tim Cook. He also pitched the U.S. as an ideal location for businesses, citing zero tariffs, rapid energy hookups, and minimal regulatory delays.
Trump Backs Off Renewed EU Tariffs After Requests from Brussels
President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that the U.S. will delay imposing a 50% tariff on European Union goods from June 1 to July 9, following a call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. This extension comes after Trump unexpectedly threatened the steep tariffs last Friday, surprising European officials who had hoped for progress after a 90-day pause on earlier 20% “reciprocal” tariffs announced in April. Von der Leyen described the call as “good” and emphasized the importance of the EU-U.S. trade relationship, signaling readiness to swiftly advance talks. Trump’s initial tariff threat stemmed from frustrations over EU policies like value-added taxes, regulatory fines on U.S. firms, and unresolved trade policy alignment on China. The EU, however, has resisted negotiating on certain demands and rejects any deal that maintains Trump’s baseline 10% tariff, unlike the UK, which recently agreed to similar terms. The U.S. and EU maintain the world’s largest bilateral trade relationship, but persistent tariff and non-tariff barriers—especially complex EU food tariffs and inconsistent customs enforcement across member states—continue to complicate negotiations.
WAR (and rumors of war)
US MILITARY
Diego Garcia Sees Deployment of F-15's to Protect B-52's and Other US Assets in the Region
Multiple U.S. Air Force F-15 fighters have been deployed to Diego Garcia, a strategic U.K.-U.S. base in the Indian Ocean, to protect vital military assets including four B-52H bombers and KC-135 refuelers. While the number and variant of F-15s remain undisclosed, their deployment, under U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, follows the departure of six B-2 bombers recently used in strikes against Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen. The F-15s add to regional force protection amid rising tensions, even as President Donald Trump announced a pause in the U.S. bombing campaign—Operation Rough Rider—after the Houthis temporarily halted attacks on commercial shipping. Despite the ceasefire, Israeli airstrikes against Houthi targets continue following renewed missile and drone attacks near Tel Aviv. U.S. fighters, including F-15s, have previously intercepted Iranian drones aimed at Israel and engaged Houthi drones over Yemen. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth accompanied Trump to the Middle East, including a May 15 visit to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, where Trump warned of potential renewed U.S. strikes if the Houthis resume hostilities.
RQ-4 Global Hawk Drone Redeployed to Black Sea as Peace Talks Hit Setbacks
The U.S. Department of Defense has redeployed an RQ-4B Global Hawk surveillance drone to the Black Sea following the collapse of peace talks between Ukraine and Russia, marking its first known mission in the area since President Donald Trump resumed office. The deployment follows Russia’s largest drone assault since 2022, during which 273 drones struck Ukrainian regions, causing civilian casualties and destruction. Russia rejected Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s proposal for a 30-day ceasefire during May 16 talks in Istanbul—the first direct negotiations since 2022. The Global Hawk, capable of 32-hour flights and advanced surveillance, departed from NATO’s Sigonella Air Base in Sicily and conducted operations near Romania. Russia’s Defense Ministry warned the U.S. drone presence increases the risk of direct confrontation, claiming the flights support Kyiv’s use of Western-supplied precision weapons. Russia accuses Washington and NATO of escalating involvement in the conflict. Trump has signaled further sanctions on Russia could follow if peace efforts continue to fail, raising international concerns over growing tensions and the potential for broader regional instability.
Ukraine to Get 50 Abrams Tanks from Australia After Getting Approval from US
Ukraine’s depleted tank fleet is set for a major boost as Australia donates 50 decommissioned M1A1 Abrams tanks, with 49 already en route to Poland for transshipment, following U.S. approval of the re-export. The decision, confirmed by Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese during a May 18 meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Rome, marks a significant expansion of Canberra’s military aid to Kyiv. Australian Defense Minister Richard Marles emphasized the close coordination with the U.S. to enable the shipment. However, the move has sparked criticism from some U.S. officials and defense analysts, who question the Abrams’ effectiveness in Ukraine’s drone-dominated battlefield, citing the tank’s weak roof armor and vulnerability to Russian drone detection. Similar concerns arose after reports suggested some of the 31 Abrams previously sent by the U.S. were withdrawn from frontline service—claims Kyiv denied. Russia condemned the transfer, warning the tanks would be destroyed like earlier Australian-supplied Bushmasters. Australia previously declined to send retired Taipan helicopters to Ukraine, citing operational complexity and sustainability concerns.
US Aircraft Carrier Set to Begin Patrolling Near China
The USS George Washington, a U.S. nuclear-powered aircraft carrier based in Yokosuka, Japan, is preparing for a western Pacific patrol amid growing Chinese naval activity near Japan and Taiwan. After returning from years-long maintenance in Virginia in November 2024, the carrier remained docked while other U.S. carriers operated in the region. Now, amid China's deployment of an aircraft carrier and amphibious warship task group, the George Washington will bolster deterrence efforts. Ahead of deployment, its naval aviators are conducting Field Carrier Landing Practice (FCLP) on Iwo To (Iwo Jima), simulating carrier landings to qualify for at-sea operations. The U.S. Navy has used Iwo To for this training since 1989 due to its lack of residents, though it is not considered a permanent training site. Four mainland Japan airfields are designated as backups. The carrier hosts advanced aircraft like F-35Cs and F/A-18s, usually stationed at MCAS Iwakuni. Both the U.S. Navy and Japan’s Defense Ministry emphasize the training’s importance for regional security and maintaining readiness under their mutual defense treaty. The patrol departure date remains unannounced.
US Completes Assembly of New Nuclear Bomb Ahead of Schedule
The US has completed assembly of its first B61-13 nuclear gravity bomb nearly a year ahead of schedule, marking one of the fastest weapon fieldings since the Cold War and enhancing America’s nuclear deterrence amid global tensions. This milestone follows a $9-billion upgrade of the B61-12 bombs and reflects an accelerated timeline by over 25 percent, achieved without compromising safety or disrupting other modernization programs, according to Acting Deputy Administrator David Hoagland. The B61-13, part of the B61 family, is designed with higher explosive power to target hardened and large military installations, such as underground bunkers reportedly constructed by adversaries like China. Unlike the B61-12, which can be deployed from various fighter and bomber aircraft and is stationed in Europe, the B61-13 is exclusively carried by strategic bombers like the B-2 Spirit and the upcoming B-21 Raider, and will be deployed solely from bases within the continental US. Energy Secretary Chris Wright emphasized the importance of this modernization for delivering “peace through strength,” and officials praised the program’s efficiency and potential application for future nuclear weapon upgrades.
As Part of Ongoing Deployment, Two US B-52 Bomber Land in Spain
Two B-52H Stratofortress bombers from Minot Air Force Base arrived at Spain’s Morón Air Base on May 20 as part of a new U.S. European deployment aimed at enhancing the flexibility of America’s nuclear-capable fleet. Operating under the 23rd Expeditionary Bomb Squadron, the bombers will train from smaller, dispersed locations across Europe and Africa, reflecting the Air Force’s broader strategy of agile deployment. This marks Minot’s second bomber task force (BTF) mission to Europe this year, following a March rotation based in the U.K. While the Pentagon has not disclosed the current mission objectives, the deployment is intended to reinforce deterrence and readiness amid rising global tensions. On the same day, Russia flew two TU-95 bombers over the Barents Sea, highlighting a parallel show of strategic airpower. The B-52s, which were refueled midflight by KC-46A tankers from McConnell AFB, have not flown missions from Spain yet. The U.S. continues to rotate bombers globally, with four B-52s currently in Diego Garcia and recent deployments to Qatar supporting combat operations in the Middle East.
US Navy Claims Largest Airstrike in Naval History
On February 1, 2025, the U.S. Navy’s Carrier Air Wing 1 conducted the largest maritime airstrike in Navy aviation history by bomb tonnage, deploying 27 F/A-18 Super Hornets from the USS Harry S. Truman to strike ISIS targets in Somalia. Sixteen aircraft dropped 124,000 pounds of ordnance in under two minutes, killing approximately 14 ISIS operatives, including recruiter Ahmed Maeleninine, according to U.S. Africa Command. Unlike previous large-scale missions requiring multiple carriers, this record-setting strike was executed by a single air wing. The Truman had arrived in the Red Sea in December 2024 to counter Iran-backed Houthi rebels and participated in operations hitting over 1,100 targets, killing hundreds and multiple Houthi leaders. Carrier Air Wing 1 flew 13,000 sorties, using 770 weapons and over 1.1 million pounds of ordnance. Despite these successes, the Truman’s deployment was marred by accidents, including the loss of three F/A-18s—one to friendly fire and two overboard—and a collision with a civilian ship in February, which led to the commanding officer’s dismissal. The Truman has since returned to Naval Station Norfolk.
FORTRESS EUROPE
Finnish Helicopters Train to Shoot Down Drones Near Border
The Finnish Armed Forces recently conducted helicopter-based counter-drone exercises during the ADEX MalletStrike125 military drill, using an NH90 helicopter equipped with M134 miniguns to shoot down drone targets while onboard troops engaged with small arms. This exercise follows a growing trend, inspired by Ukraine’s use of helicopters to counter drones amid heightened tensions near Russia’s fortified military bases along Finland’s 830-mile border. The Finnish Army highlighted that lessons from the Ukraine conflict are shaping their tactics, with the Utti Jaeger Regiment also participating with its drone combat capabilities. Reports from 2024 showed Ukraine’s Mi-8 helicopters intercepting Russian Shahed drones, which are designed to overwhelm traditional ground-based air defenses. Helicopters offer a cost-effective and flexible solution for countering low-flying, slow drones, as they don’t require runways and can be armed with machine guns. This approach has also been used by the US Army’s AH-64 Apache in Saudi Arabia and the French Navy in the Red Sea, illustrating a broader adoption of helicopter-based drone defense in modern warfare.
As Russian Military Expands, Finland is Preparing for the Worst-Case Scenario
Finland has confirmed that Russia is expanding its military presence near their shared border, prompting the NATO member to closely monitor Russian activity and prepare for potential threats. Maj. Gen. Sami Nurmi, head of strategy for the Finnish Defense Forces, told The Guardian that Finland is watching Russia’s movements “very closely” and taking precautions as part of its NATO responsibilities. Satellite images reportedly show new Russian military infrastructure, including tents, vehicles, fighter jet shelters, and a helicopter base under construction. Nurmi explained that Russia appears to be gradually building up infrastructure to potentially redeploy forces recently engaged in Ukraine, either back to the border or for further deployment to Ukraine. While the expansion is considered moderate and phased, Finland remains vigilant given its recent NATO membership following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. When asked about the build-up, former U.S. President Donald Trump expressed no concern, assuring that Finland and neighboring Norway would be “very safe.” The situation highlights growing tensions in the region as Russia adjusts its military posture amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
Russian Military Buildup on Lithuanian Border Sees First German Troop Deployment Since WWII
Germany has deployed a permanent military brigade to Lithuania’s capital for the first time since World War II, a move marked by Chancellor Friedrich Merz emphasizing Baltic security as integral to European defense. This deployment reflects broader European efforts to bolster NATO’s eastern flank amid fears—though unsubstantiated—that Russia might expand its war beyond Ukraine. The troops are stationed near Belarus, a Russian ally, placing them strategically close to Ukraine and Russia’s borders. European leaders, including UK’s Keir Starmer and France’s Emmanuel Macron, have advocated for potential NATO troop deployments in the region, despite Russian President Vladimir Putin warning that such moves cross a “red line” that could trigger nuclear conflict. Putin’s warnings highlight escalating tensions as the war shifts toward attrition warfare, with Russia making territorial gains near Kharkiv and intensifying missile and drone strikes. This ongoing conflict, coupled with European insistence on continuing the war despite indications of an imminent Russian victory, raises fears of wider escalation. Germany’s historic troop deployment abroad signals deepening Western involvement and the mounting risk of broader confrontation.
Ukraine to Get German Funding for Development of New Long-Range Missile
Germany plans to fund Ukraine’s development and mass production of long-range cruise missiles with a range of up to 2,500 kilometers, according to announcements expected during a meeting in Berlin between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. While specific missile models and components remain undisclosed, speculation centers on an enhanced version of Ukraine’s domestically produced Neptune missile. In March, Zelenskyy revealed that Ukraine had already extended the Neptune’s range to 1,000 kilometers. Originally an anti-ship weapon, the Neptune missile system has been actively used by Ukrainian forces and has been undergoing modifications since April 2023 to target ground-based objectives. The upgraded “Long Neptune” variant retains the R-360 launcher but features a new guidance system, satellite navigation for midcourse control, and an infrared homing system for terminal targeting. This advancement could significantly increase Ukraine’s ability to strike deep into Russian-held territory. The German-backed initiative underscores growing European support for bolstering Ukraine’s indigenous missile capabilities as part of broader military assistance against Russian aggression.
‘The Threat is Real’ Claims NATO Army Chief
The chief of the British Army, General Sir Roly Walker, warned that NATO faces a “real” and urgent threat, citing “serious challenges” as concerns grow that Russia could launch an attack on the alliance within the next few years. Speaking at the Royal United Services Institute, Walker emphasized a pressing need for collective action, stressing time is running out to address these threats. Intelligence assessments suggest Russia could wage a large-scale war against NATO within five years if the U.S. withdraws support, with Ukraine’s intelligence chief warning attacks on Europe might occur two to four years post-Ukraine war, possibly sooner if sanctions are lifted. While Russia’s land forces are depleted, its air force and navy remain largely intact, and it is expanding military bases near the Finnish border. NATO members face hybrid warfare threats, including sabotage of undersea cables. Prompted by U.S. pressure, European NATO states have pledged increased defense spending, with calls to raise budgets to 5% of GDP, though the U.S. itself spends less. The U.S. plans to reduce its military presence in Europe, underscoring the urgency for NATO to boost its own capabilities.
MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL
Houthis Threaten to Blockade Israeli Port of Haifa
Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels announced plans to impose a naval blockade on Israel’s port of Haifa in retaliation for Israel’s intensified Gaza offensive. Military spokesman Yehya Saree declared that all ships heading to or present in Haifa would be targeted as part of this blockade, which the Houthis say will continue until Israeli aggression in Gaza stops and the blockade on Gaza is lifted. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recently vowed to take full control of Gaza amid the ongoing conflict with Hamas. Since the Gaza war began in October 2023 following a Hamas attack, the Houthis have repeatedly launched missile and drone strikes against Israel, pausing only during a two-month ceasefire that collapsed in March. The rebels have also threatened attacks on international shipping routes supporting Israel’s blockade of Gaza, prompting near-daily U.S. air strikes against them in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden since March 15. Despite a recent ceasefire agreement with the U.S., the Houthis remain committed to targeting Israel, drawing sharp Israeli threats to target their leadership similarly to Hamas figures.
US Intel Suggests Israel is Prepping for Possible Attack on Iran’s Nuclear Facilities
U.S. intelligence suggests Israel is preparing for a potential strike on Iranian nuclear facilities amid ongoing diplomatic efforts by the Trump administration to secure a nuclear deal with Tehran, CNN reports. Though no final decision has been made, intercepted Israeli communications, military movements, and air exercises point to serious preparations. Officials say the likelihood of a strike has increased, especially if Trump finalizes a deal that fails to eliminate Iran’s uranium stockpile. Israel, seeing Iran weakened militarily and economically, views a shrinking window of opportunity, but is caught between opposing a deal it deems inadequate and risking a rift with Trump. The U.S., while enhancing intelligence monitoring, is unlikely to support a strike unless provoked by Iran. Without American help—particularly for midair refueling and bunker-busting munitions—Israel cannot fully neutralize Iran’s deeply buried facilities. As talks stall over Iran’s uranium enrichment rights, both sides remain entrenched. Former intelligence officials warn that Israel could act unilaterally to derail any “bad deal,” potentially triggering a broader regional conflict. A new round of U.S.-Iran talks may occur in Europe this week.
Netanyahu Warned by Trump about Striking Iranian Nuclear Facilities
U.S. President Donald Trump revealed he urged Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to refrain from striking Iran amid progress in nuclear talks between Washington and Tehran, marking the highest-level dialogue since Trump withdrew from the 2015 Obama-era deal in 2018. Trump, optimistic about reaching a peaceful resolution, described the talks as “very good” and said action by Israel would be inappropriate while a potential agreement is near. Iran, which denies seeking nuclear weapons, said it may allow American inspectors under the IAEA framework if a deal is reached that meets its demands. Iran's nuclear chief indicated Tehran could reconsider long-standing opposition to U.S. inspectors. Meanwhile, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian thanked Oman for mediating, with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stating a new round of talks would be scheduled soon. However, Iran reiterated its stance that uranium enrichment remains non-negotiable, calling it a core national right. Currently enriching uranium to 60%—well above the 3.67% cap in the 2015 deal but below weapons-grade levels—Iran insists any proposals restricting this would be rejected outright.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
Russian Strike Against Ukraine Includes Record Number of Drones
Ukraine reported that Russia launched a record 273 drones overnight, including 88 Shahed attack drones, targeting multiple regions such as Kyiv, where a woman was killed. The drone barrage came just two days after the first direct peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in over three years failed to yield a truce. Ukrainian officials condemned the attacks, with Deputy Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko accusing Russia of deliberately targeting civilians. The Russian military claimed it intercepted 25 Ukrainian drones. In his first comments since the talks, President Vladimir Putin emphasized his goal to eliminate the causes of the conflict and ensure Russia’s security, stating that Russian forces, which occupy about 20 percent of Ukraine, have the capacity to achieve these objectives. The talks in Turkey resulted in an agreement to exchange 1,000 prisoners on each side, with Ukraine’s Defense Minister Rustem Umerov suggesting a future meeting between Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky. However, the Kremlin insisted that the prisoner swap must be completed and both sides must present ceasefire proposals before further talks. US President Donald Trump announced plans to speak with Putin shortly after the attacks.
Ukraine Loses Third F-16 Viper, Pilot Ejects Safely
A Ukrainian F-16 Viper pilot ejected safely after his aircraft, donated to Ukraine, crashed early Friday while repelling Russian air attacks. The Ukrainian Air Force reported the pilot destroyed three enemy targets and was engaging a fourth using the plane’s cannon when an emergency forced him to steer the jet away from populated areas before ejecting. The exact cause of the crash remains unclear, and a commission has been launched to investigate. The pilot was quickly rescued and is reported to be in good health and safe. Firing a fighter jet’s cannon at small, low-speed targets such as drones and cruise missiles is highly risky, especially at night, due to the possibility of collision or controlled flight into the ground. This incident marks Ukraine’s third F-16 loss; previous pilots Pavlo Ivanov and Oleksiy Mes were killed in earlier engagements. Ukraine has been promised about 85 F-16s from various countries, including the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway, and Belgium, with some jets reserved for pilot training. The U.S. has also provided some non-airworthy airframes.
After Trump Rebukes Putin, Ukraine Hit with Record Drone Assault
Russia launched its largest drone assault on Ukraine overnight Sunday, firing 355 Shahed-type drones and cruise missiles in a saturation attack that Kyiv says marks a critical escalation in the war. The strike came just hours after U.S. President Donald Trump called Russian President Vladimir Putin “CRAZY,” warning of potential new sanctions. Trump, who has sought to mediate an end to the conflict through direct talks and repeated calls with Putin, admitted Sunday he was “not happy” with Moscow’s continued aggression. The Kremlin dismissed Trump’s remarks, insisting Putin is acting to safeguard Russia. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia's growing sense of impunity demands stronger Western sanctions. Amid the attacks, Germany confirmed the removal of range restrictions on weapons supplied to Ukraine, enabling strikes into Russian territory. French President Emmanuel Macron urged Trump to match his tough talk with action. Despite increased diplomatic efforts and a recent major prisoner swap, Russia continues rejecting a 30-day ceasefire and advancing in regions like Sumy. Ukrainian officials also reported the arrest of local informants allegedly aiding Russian strikes.
Claims of 2,300 Ukrainian Drones Downed by Russia During the Third Week of May
Russia claimed it shot down more than 2,300 Ukrainian drones over the past week amid intense, reciprocal airstrikes between Moscow and Kyiv for three consecutive nights. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that over 900 attack drones, alongside ballistic and cruise missiles, targeted Ukraine in three days, killing more than 20 people, including in Kyiv. Zelenskyy condemned the strikes as a political choice by Russian President Vladimir Putin to continue the war and cause destruction. Russia, meanwhile, reported intercepting Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow and accused Kyiv of escalating attacks on Russian civilian targets with Western-made missiles since May 20. The Russian Defense Ministry stated its air defenses destroyed 1,465 drones outside the conflict zone and claimed its retaliatory strikes targeted only Ukrainian military facilities and defense industries. Moscow accused Kyiv, supported by “certain European countries,” of provocative actions undermining peace talks to end the war. The Russian military vowed to continue massive strikes in response to any attacks or provocations. Ukrainian officials have not publicly responded to Russia’s claims. U.S. President Donald Trump called Putin “absolutely CRAZY” amid the escalating violence, a comment Kremlin attributed to emotional stress.
During Putin’s Kursk Visit, His Helicopter Came Under Drone attack
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s helicopter came under threat during a major Ukrainian drone assault while flying over Russia’s Kursk region on May 20, according to air defense commander Yuri Dashkin on state TV. Dashkin reported that the intensity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ (UAF) drone attack escalated significantly during Putin’s flight, prompting Russian forces to simultaneously engage in anti-aircraft defense and secure the president’s safety. The military successfully repelled the drones and safely escorted Putin’s helicopter. The incident occurred during Putin’s first visit to the region since Russian forces recaptured it from Ukraine. While there, he met with volunteers at a humanitarian headquarters, accompanied by acting regional head Alexander Khinshtein and top Kremlin official Sergei Kiriyenko. The attempted drone strike underscores Ukraine’s continued capability to launch deep strikes into Russian territory amid the ongoing war, while highlighting the vulnerability of even high-profile Russian movements. The Kremlin has not publicly commented on whether the attack posed a direct threat to Putin, but the military emphasized that protective measures were in place throughout the incident.
Claims of Western Support Assist Ukraine’s Drone Attack on Putin’s Helicopter
Former U.S. Marine Corps intelligence officer Scott Ritter told RT that if Ukrainian drones intentionally targeted President Vladimir Putin’s helicopter during his May 20 visit to Russia’s Kursk Region, the attack likely involved Western assistance—an act he warned could trigger Russian nuclear retaliation under Moscow’s doctrine. Russian air defense commander Yury Dashkin reported that 46 Ukrainian drones were intercepted near Putin’s flight path, describing the assault as unusually intense. Ritter emphasized that such coordination implies Western complicity, calling it a grave provocation rather than a reckless move by Putin, as former U.S. President Donald Trump had recently suggested. Ritter also criticized the divided and poorly informed nature of U.S. policymaking on Russia, claiming that neither Trump nor his advisors fully grasp the dangers. Russia’s Defense Ministry said over 2,300 Ukrainian drones were intercepted in one week, largely outside frontline areas, prompting Moscow’s retaliatory strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Ritter concluded the situation is perilous, with uninformed Western leaders “playing with fire” and potentially pushing Russia toward a nuclear threshold.
Ukraine Sends Largest Strike to Date on Moscow Using Nearly 300 Drones
Ukraine launched one of its largest drone offensives against Russia overnight, deploying nearly 300 drones across the country, including at least 42 targeting the Moscow region, according to Russian officials. The attack followed a record Russian drone assault over the weekend that killed at least 13 Ukrainians, including children, prompting U.S. President Joe Biden to call Russian President Vladimir Putin “crazy.” Russia claimed its air defenses intercepted 296 Ukrainian drones, while fires broke out in residential areas near Moscow. Moscow’s three major airports were temporarily shut during the assault. This escalation comes amid renewed diplomatic efforts, including direct Ukraine-Russia talks for the first time in over three years and calls by Donald Trump to halt the fighting. Despite months of U.S.-led diplomacy, the war—now in its third year—shows no sign of resolution. Tens of thousands have been killed, and Russia maintains control over about 20% of Ukrainian territory, including Crimea. Ukraine reported Russia launched over 900 drones in the three days before Monday, with Moscow framing its strikes as retaliation for Ukrainian attacks on Russian civilians.
INDIA-PAKISTAN TENSIONS
Systems Integration (aka Kill Chain) the Biggest Takeaway from India-Pakistan Air Battle
In a recent India-Pakistan air-to-air engagement, the most significant takeaway may be Pakistan’s successful integration of Chinese-origin systems to shoot down at least one Indian Rafale fighter, rather than the individual performance of the aircraft involved, according to Michael Dahm of the Mitchell Institute. Dahm noted that Pakistan effectively linked ground radars, J-10C fighters, and airborne early warning aircraft to create a cohesive “kill chain,” likely culminating in a long-range, beyond-visual-range missile strike using China’s PL-15. He compared this level of integration to the U.S. military’s CJADC2 initiative. While Pakistani media claimed multiple Indian aircraft were downed, only unclear wreckage evidence exists for the Rafale. Dahm emphasized that this incident reflects the importance of systems integration, training, and tactics over platform comparisons, noting that India’s diverse fleet complicates interoperability. Although the Rafale is equipped to carry the advanced Meteor missile, no evidence suggests it was used in the encounter. Dahm concluded that the engagement reveals more about operational coordination than the relative merits of Chinese versus Western airpower technology.
India Claims China Aided Pakistan with Intel During Recent Border Clash
China provided direct logistical and intelligence support to Pakistan during the recent 15-day border conflict with India, marking a significant escalation in Beijing’s role in the region, Bloomberg reported. Ashok Kumar, director of India’s defense-linked CENJOWS, revealed China helped Pakistan reorganize radar and satellite systems to better monitor Indian troop movements after the April 22 Kashmir massacre that killed 27 mostly Indian tourists and sparked the worst India-Pakistan fighting in 50 years. This support enhanced Pakistan’s air defense responsiveness, extending beyond mere weapons sales, although Pakistan has only publicly acknowledged Chinese fighter jets and missiles. The conflict, involving air, drone, and artillery strikes in May, ended with a ceasefire on May 10, which the U.S. claims to have brokered, though India disputes this. Tensions remain as Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar prepares to discuss regional security in Beijing. China denies direct involvement, emphasizing peace and calling for restraint. However, India now plans for a two-front war, warning that China’s support to Pakistan could shift the regional security balance significantly.
INDO-PACIFIC
New North Korean Warship Damaged in Botched Launching
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un harshly condemned the failed May 21 launch of a new 5,000-ton warship at the Chongjin Shipyard as a “grave and significant accident” and a “criminal act,” according to state media Rodong Sinmun. The destroyer, intended to slide into the water using an unfamiliar slipway method, instead hit the shallow harbor bottom and tilted, damaging its hull. The mishap, attributed to “inexperienced command” and improper handling of launch sleds, caused the stern to detach and run aground while the bow remained stuck, leaving the ship inoperable and likely needing months of repair. Kim, who witnessed the event, blamed the failure on “sheer carelessness” and “unscientific empiricism,” declaring the incident “utterly inconceivable and absolutely unacceptable.” He ordered the ship be fully restored before the upcoming June plenary session of the Workers’ Party Central Committee and warned of strict accountability for officials and shipyard staff. South Korean media highlighted the novelty of North Korea’s slipway launch technique, suggesting it contributed to the unprecedented and embarrassing failure in front of the country’s top leadership.
Europe Sees Renewed Fears of Sabotage from China’s Stranglehold on Solar-Tech
Undisclosed remote-access components in Chinese-made solar inverters have raised alarm across Europe, where over 200 GW of solar capacity—equivalent to 200 nuclear plants—is connected to inverters primarily from Huawei and SunGrow. These hidden devices, first found in U.S. solar farms and absent from schematics, may allow remote shutdowns or grid destabilization. Although Iberian authorities ruled out a cyberattack in April’s massive blackout affecting Spain, Portugal, Andorra, and France, experts warn the incident exposed Europe’s grid vulnerability. With 78% of Europe’s 2023 inverter imports from China, the continent’s energy sovereignty is under threat, says the European Solar Manufacturing Council. Huawei’s ties to the Chinese government and legal obligation to support intelligence services deepen concerns. Incidents in late 2024 showed remote disabling of solar inverters in the U.S., U.K., and Pakistan. In response, Lithuania has outlawed Chinese inverters in critical projects, and EU lawmakers are investigating. Although the NIS2 directive governs large infrastructure cybersecurity, smaller projects remain exposed—crucial, as solar now supplies up to 15% of Europe’s electricity in summer and is projected to exceed 800 GW capacity by 2030.
World War II Airfield Near Guam Being Revived by China
A groundbreaking ceremony on the remote Pacific atoll of Woleai in Micronesia marked the start of a Chinese state-owned company’s project to revive a World War II-era airfield. Located about 400 miles south of Guam, a critical U.S. military hub, Woleai lies within the strategically vital Second Island Chain, key to containing China’s influence in the Asia-Pacific. Micronesia, a U.S.-defended Freely Associated State, has seen growing Chinese infrastructure investments amid Washington’s shifting priorities. The project, led by China’s Shandong Hengyue Municipal Engineering and Micronesia’s Department of Transportation, aims to improve local connectivity, supporting healthcare, business, and education by replacing long boat trips to the nearest airstrip. Experts warn this dual-use infrastructure could enhance China’s regional military reach through its military-civil fusion policy. Micronesian President Wesley Simina attended the ceremony, highlighting U.S. absence in the region, while analysts emphasize China’s expanding influence, including efforts to link Asia and South America via Pacific hubs. Meanwhile, the U.S. is reinforcing its presence by restoring another WWII airfield on Tinian in the Northern Mariana Islands.
Sources Say East Asian Naval Activity Demonstrated China’s Military Muscle
In May, China significantly increased its naval and coast guard deployments across East Asian waters, including near Taiwan, southern Japan, and the East and South China Seas, according to regional security officials and documents reviewed by Reuters. On May 21 and 27, China deployed nearly 60 and over 70 ships, respectively, mostly naval vessels like guided-missile frigates and destroyers. Two aircraft carrier groups were active: the Shandong in the South China Sea and the Liaoning near Taiwan. These moves, part of drills simulating attacks on foreign ships and aircraft, aim to assert dominance over the “first island chain” encompassing Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines. China declared multiple live-fire drills off its coast, including near Taiwan, intensifying tensions with Japan and the Philippines, both of which condemned China’s “illegal presence” and provocative actions in contested waters. Japan is closely monitoring Chinese movements, while Taiwan, amid rising threats, has raised its combat readiness. Beijing defends its activities as lawful, urging regional countries to view them “objectively,” but the escalated military presence continues to unsettle regional capitals amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.
GEOPOLITICS
If US Push for Zero Uranium Enrichment, Nuclear Talks Will Fail Claims Iran
Last week, a senior Iranian nuclear official hinted Tehran might consider halting uranium enrichment in exchange for full U.S. sanctions relief. However, Iran’s Foreign Ministry pushed back strongly on Monday against Trump administration demands that enrichment be completely abandoned as part of any future deal. Spokesman Ismail Baqaei criticized Washington’s “contradictory positions,” warning they erode trust and prolong talks, emphasizing Iran’s stance that enrichment is a sovereign right that will continue “with or without a deal.” Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi echoed this, calling current U.S. demands a “red line” and asserting Iran will not back down from its nuclear achievements. President Trump, during a recent Gulf tour, expressed cautious optimism about a potential deal but stressed urgency and warned of serious consequences if Iran delays, even threatening military action—a position Iran rejects. Meanwhile, the Trump administration reportedly sent a written proposal last Sunday to Tehran, which Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi took for consultation with top leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Despite ongoing talks, both sides remain divided over uranium enrichment, casting doubt on a near-term breakthrough.
New Sanctions on Russia Under Consideration by Trump Administration
U.S. President Donald Trump is weighing new sanctions against Russia in response to continued Russian attacks on Kyiv and the sluggish pace of peace negotiations, according to a Tuesday Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar with his thinking. While economic restrictions are reportedly not being considered, Trump’s administration is exploring alternative measures to pressure Russian President Vladimir Putin into making concessions. One option under discussion is a 30-day ceasefire backed by Ukraine, although Moscow has previously rejected similar proposals. Despite Trump stating Sunday that he is “definitely” considering sanctions, the report notes he may ultimately choose not to proceed. Trump's frustration with Putin has become increasingly public; on his Truth Social platform, he wrote that while he’s had “a very good relationship” with the Russian leader in the past, “something has happened to him. He has gone absolutely CRAZY,” accusing Putin of senseless killings. The debate within Trump’s team highlights the challenge of balancing diplomatic efforts with punitive measures as the war in Ukraine grinds on with few signs of resolution.
US Proposed Deal to Suspend Uranium Enrichment Rejected by Iran
Iran has firmly rejected suspending uranium enrichment as part of any potential nuclear deal with the U.S., calling the idea “totally false” and asserting its right to a civilian nuclear program under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The U.S., represented by envoy Steve Witkoff, insists on a complete halt to enrichment, a core sticking point in the ongoing high-level negotiations, which began in April and are mediated by Oman. Talks have seen mixed messaging: former President Donald Trump, who reimposed sanctions on Iran after exiting the 2015 nuclear accord, called recent Rome discussions “very, very good,” while Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi deemed them “complicated.” No date has been set for the next round. Iran, now enriching uranium up to 60%—well above the 3.67% cap set by the 2015 deal but below the 90% weapons-grade threshold—denies seeking nuclear weapons. The talks come ahead of a critical June meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency and the October expiration of the 2015 accord. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is expected to visit Oman soon amid diplomatic efforts.
US-Iran Nuclear Talks Going ‘Very, Very Good’ According to Trump
President Donald Trump on Sunday called recent nuclear talks with Iran “very, very good,” citing “real progress” after the fifth round of Oman-mediated negotiations concluded in Rome on Friday. These are the highest-level discussions since Trump withdrew the U.S. from the 2015 nuclear accord during his first term. Now back in office, Trump has resumed his “maximum pressure” strategy—supporting diplomacy while warning of potential military action if talks fail. Iran, seeking relief from crippling sanctions, has downplayed the progress, with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi calling the negotiations too complex for a quick resolution. Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi said the talks yielded “some but not conclusive progress,” hoping unresolved issues will soon be clarified. The talks precede a June review of Iran’s nuclear activities by the International Atomic Energy Agency and the October expiration of the 2015 deal. Since the U.S. exited the accord in 2018, Iran has escalated uranium enrichment to 60%, well above the 3.67% cap but below weapons-grade. Trump suggested a potential announcement on the Iran front could come within days.