Mid-January Sitrep Support

Mid-January Sitrep Support

Mid-January Sitrep Support 

LEAD STORIES 

Suspect in New Orleans Terror Attack Had an ISIS Flag and Possibly Had Co-conspirators 

A terrorist attack in New Orleans’ French Quarter early Wednesday left at least 10 dead and 35 injured when Shamsud-Din Jabbar, 42, of Texas, drove a rented pickup truck into a crowd and opened fire on police before being killed. The FBI is treating the incident as terrorism, citing the discovery of an ISIS flag and possible IEDs in Jabbar's vehicle and other locations in the area. Special Agent Bomb Technicians are working to determine the viability of the devices and ensure safety. Jabbar’s connections to terrorist organizations are under investigation. President-elect Donald Trump condemned the attack, calling it an "act of pure evil," and criticized Democrats and media for disputing his prior statements on crime. He pledged full federal support to New Orleans in its recovery. The FBI continues investigating how Jabbar acquired the vehicle and any affiliations with ISIS, as law enforcement secures the French Quarter following the tragedy.

US Army Confirms the New Orleans Terror Suspect Did Serve in Army and Reserves 

The U.S. Army confirmed that Shamsud-Din Jabbar, the suspect in the New Orleans terrorist attack, served in both the regular Army and Army Reserve until 2020. He was a Human Resource Specialist and Information Technology (IT) Specialist during his service from 2007 to 2020, with a deployment to Afghanistan from February 2009 to January 2010. Jabbar, 42, is accused of ramming a vehicle into a crowd on Bourbon Street in New Orleans on New Year’s Day, killing at least 15 people and injuring more. The FBI has linked Jabbar to terrorist activity after finding an ISIS flag, weapons, and potential improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in his rented Ford pickup truck and throughout the French Quarter. The FBI is investigating his possible affiliations with terrorist groups and working with bomb technicians to assess the IEDs. The attack is being treated as an act of terrorism, and authorities are ensuring the safety of the area while continuing their investigation.

FBI Searching for Possible Terror Cell that Planted IED’s Around New Orleans 

Law enforcement officials in Louisiana are pursuing a likely Islamic terror cell linked to the deadly New Orleans attack on Wednesday, which killed at least 10 people. FBI confirmed that 42-year-old Shamsud-Din Jabbar, who had an ISIS flag with him, was the primary suspect. Jabbar had reportedly been converting to Islam and displayed concerning behavior before the attack. Surveillance footage revealed additional suspects—three men and a woman—who were seen placing improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in the French Quarter. Jabbar’s vehicle contained guns and bombs, wired for remote detonation. The FBI believes Jabbar did not act alone, and investigations are ongoing to track down his associates. Authorities have launched a manhunt, with public assistance being sought. The FBI’s quick reaction teams are reportedly heading to New Orleans to pursue the suspects, with law enforcement at all levels engaged in the search. Local officials, including Senator John Kennedy and Governor Jeff Landry, confirmed that the hunt for additional suspects is underway.

Vegas Trump Hotel Cybertruck Bomb was Intentional, Vehicle Rented from Same Company as New Orleans Attacker’s Truck 

A Tesla Cybertruck exploded outside Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas on Wednesday morning, with law enforcement officials confirming that it was an intentional detonation, potentially linked to terrorism. The explosion, which killed the driver and injured seven others nearby, is being investigated as a possible terror attack. Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed the blast was caused by large fireworks or a bomb in the truck's bed, unrelated to the vehicle itself, and stated that all vehicle telemetry showed no issues prior to the explosion. Musk speculated that the incident "appears likely to be an act of terrorism" and noted that the Cybertruck had been rented through Turo, the same platform used to rent the vehicle involved in the New Orleans terrorist attack earlier that day. Musk suggested a possible connection between the two events. Federal law enforcement officials are investigating the explosion further, and it comes after confirmation of the New Orleans attack being linked to Islamic terrorism.

Cybertruck Bomber Suspects Social Media Provides Insights to Motivations 

Matthew Livelsberger, a 37-year-old former Army veteran, has been identified as the suspect found dead inside a Tesla Cybertruck that exploded outside President-elect Donald Trump's Las Vegas hotel on New Year’s Day, 2025. The explosion occurred at around 8:40 a.m. local time, resulting in one fatality and seven injuries. Livelsberger’s social media profiles, including LinkedIn and Facebook accounts, indicate that he was a Colorado Springs resident and former U.S. Army special forces operations manager. His LinkedIn details suggest a career in intelligence and operations, with a degree in Strategic Studies and Defense Analysis from Norwich University. Authorities are investigating whether the incident was an act of terrorism. Livelsberger is believed to have rented the Tesla Cybertruck from the car-sharing service Turo. FBI and local law enforcement are currently exploring multiple leads, including search warrants for associated addresses. The investigation continues as officials work to determine the cause of the explosion and assess its potential connections to terrorism. 

1,000 Al-Qaeda Fighters in US Warns CIA Officers 

In a recent discussion on the Shawn Ryan Show, former CIA targeting officer Sarah Adams warned of a potential terrorist attack on U.S. soil, citing Al-Qaeda sleeper cells possibly activating after the New Orleans terrorist attack and a subsequent explosion involving a rented Tesla Cybertruck outside Trump’s hotel in Las Vegas. Adams revealed that Al-Qaeda claims to have trained and deployed over 1,000 fighters for an impending homeland attack, though she suggested that the actual number may be higher. She connected the recent terrorist activity, including the Bourbon Street attack, to a larger unfolding threat. General Mike Flynn echoed concerns about intelligence failures, emphasizing the importance of preventing attacks rather than reacting to them. A federal source also raised alarms about Al-Qaeda operatives entering the U.S. through the southern border, following the chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal. These developments have raised questions about the effectiveness of U.S. intelligence and counter-terrorism measures in preventing further attacks, while some speculate that the recent incidents could signal the beginning of a larger coordinated assault. 

NYC’s Time Square Sees Hundreds Chat for ‘Intifada’ at New Year’s Day Protest 

On New Year’s Day, hundreds gathered in New York City’s Times Square for an anti-Israel protest, marked by chants like “Resistance is glorious,” “Intifada revolution,” and slogans on signs reading “Zionism is cancer” and “End all US aid to Israel.” The protest, organized by groups including the Palestinian Youth Movement and the Party for Socialism and Liberation, coincided with heightened tensions after the New Orleans terrorist attack. Many attendees wore masks, reigniting debates about reinstating New York's law banning face coverings at public events. Counter-protesters waving Israeli and American flags faced verbal abuse, including racist slurs, as heated arguments broke out between the groups, separated by police. The rally, under heavy NYPD and counter-terrorism surveillance, reflected ongoing anti-Israel demonstrations in NYC, which have intensified since the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel. The event mirrored past protests, including a celebratory rally on October 8, 2023, after the Hamas invasion. Governor Kathy Hochul confirmed heightened state police intelligence monitoring in light of the recent New Orleans attack.

GITMO Detainee Released Repatriated to Tunisia 

Ridah bin Salah al-Yazidi, one of Guantanamo Bay's original detainees, was repatriated to Tunisia, reducing the facility's population to 26, the Pentagon announced Monday. Held since the prison's opening on January 11, 2002, Yazidi was never charged and was deemed transfer-eligible through a rigorous interagency review established by a 2009 executive order. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin approved his transfer on January 31, 2024, in coordination with Tunisian authorities. Yazidi’s repatriation follows the recent transfers of three other detainees: Mohammed Farik bin Amin and Mohammed Nazir bi Lep, sent to Malaysia to complete five-year sentences, and Mohammed Abdul Malik Bajabu, transferred to Kenya. Among the 26 detainees still at Guantanamo, 14 are eligible for transfer, three await periodic review, and seven are involved in military commission processes, including two who have been convicted and sentenced. This marks ongoing efforts to responsibly reduce the detainee population at the Cuba-based U.S. military facility, which has faced criticism for detentions without trial since its inception.

Eleven More Yemeni Detainees Released from GITMO by US 

The U.S. Defense Department announced the resettlement of 11 Yemeni detainees from Guantanamo Bay to Oman, reducing the prison’s population to 15 from its peak of nearly 800. This follows the recent repatriation of a detainee to Tunisia. Among the remaining prisoners, three are eligible for transfer, three for review for possible release, seven face charges, and two have been convicted and sentenced. Opened after the September 11, 2001, attacks, Guantanamo Bay has long faced international criticism for detaining individuals indefinitely under controversial conditions. Rights groups and UN experts have denounced the facility as a symbol of human rights abuses. Outgoing President Joe Biden, who pledged in 2020 to close the prison, leaves office with the site still operational, though significantly reduced in population. The U.S. expressed gratitude to Oman and other partners for supporting efforts to responsibly reduce detainee numbers. The transfer highlights ongoing challenges in fulfilling the promise to close Guantanamo while addressing concerns over national security and detainee rights. 

First Human Bird Flu Death Recorded in the US 

The U.S. has recorded its first human death from H5N1 bird flu, marking a concerning milestone as the virus continues to spread. The deceased, a person over 65 with underlying health issues, had been exposed to both a backyard flock and wild birds in Louisiana. While most bird flu cases in the U.S. have been mild, with symptoms like pinkeye and coughs, the Louisiana patient’s case was the first severe infection linked to a backyard flock. The CDC reports that the immediate public health risk remains low, noting no evidence of human-to-human transmission. However, the virus has mutated in ways that could make it more transmissible to humans. Since the strain emerged globally in 2020, over 130 million birds in the U.S. have been infected, with more than 900 cases in cattle. Experts warn that increasing animal transmission raises the risk of human exposure. In response, the federal government has ramped up surveillance and testing, though some experts criticize the slow response. 

President Biden has Taken 40% or 532 Days off During His Tenure 

President Joe Biden has spent 532 vacation days in less than four years, equivalent to 40% of his presidency, according to a Republican National Committee analysis. This amount exceeds the average American worker’s 11 annual vacation days, representing nearly 48 years of typical vacation time. Critics argue this is excessive during a period of global and domestic challenges, citing issues such as inflation, border security, and international conflicts. Mark Paoletta, a former Trump administration official, remarked that images of Biden relaxing during crises will define his presidency. While presidential aides emphasize that Biden works remotely and remains on call during vacations, the frequency and length of his breaks have drawn scrutiny. Comparatively, Biden's vacation time surpasses that of past presidents: Donald Trump spent 26% of his term on personal trips, Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama took 11% of their presidencies off, and Jimmy Carter only 79 days in his single term. Some, like Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, have sarcastically suggested Biden should take even more time off.

Wildfires Ravage Northern LA Areas, Killing at Least 24 and destroying 1000’s of Structures 

Catastrophic wildfires have devastated Southern California since January 8, 2025, fueled by powerful Santa Ana winds, resulting in at least 24 fatalities with many still missing, the destruction of an estimated 10,000 structures, and the displacement of more than 200,000 residents. Over 360,000 customers, affecting more than 1 million people, are without power. The fires have scorched over 35,000 acres, with major blazes like the Palisades and Eaton fires still at less than 20% containment, while smaller fires such as the Hurst and Lidia fires have seen limited containment. Authorities are overwhelmed by the scale of the disaster, with Los Angeles County Fire Chief Anthony Marrone noting a lack of resources to tackle multiple large fires simultaneously. Evacuations are underway, and prominent figures, including Hollywood actors and Vice President Kamala Harris, have been affected. In addition, a water contamination alert has been issued due to the fires, with residents advised to use bottled water. The fires are expected to continue amid high wind conditions and dry weather, maintaining a high fire risk.

Trump Sarcastically Thanks Biden for Leaving Him with No Water for Hydrants and a Broke FEMA 

President-elect Donald Trump sarcastically criticized President Joe Biden on Wednesday over the lack of resources to combat devastating wildfires in Los Angeles, claiming there was "no water in the fire hydrants" and "no money in FEMA." His comments, made on Truth Social, followed remarks by businessman Rick Caruso, who noted that fire hydrants in the Pacific Palisades area were dry, accusing the local government of mismanagement. Caruso slammed the lack of resources available for firefighters battling the blazes. Trump’s post also referenced FEMA's financial struggles, with reports indicating the agency had already exhausted much of its disaster relief funding. After Hurricane Helene in October, FEMA officials stated they would be unable to meet ongoing needs due to depleted funds. FEMA was granted a $20 billion budget for fiscal year 2025, but reports revealed that nearly half of it was spent within the first days of the fiscal year. Preliminary damage estimates from the wildfires and hurricanes ranged from $52 billion to $57 billion.

Absence of LA Mayor Considered a Sign that They Underestimated Fire Risks 

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass faced criticism for being overseas in Ghana, representing President Biden, when wind-driven fires erupted Tuesday, destroying thousands of homes and displacing well in excess of 150,000 residents. Forecasters had issued dire fire risk warnings days earlier, yet Bass posted her first public alert on Monday after arriving in Ghana. A city press release followed Tuesday morning, hours after the fires began in Pacific Palisades. Residents like Michael Gonzales, who lost his home, called Bass's absence a failure in leadership, citing inadequate preparation despite predictions of extreme fire conditions. The Los Angeles Department of Water and Power reported depleted water reservoirs during firefighting efforts due to surging demand, which hindered containment. Real estate developer Rick Caruso, who lost to Bass in the 2022 mayoral race, deployed private firefighters to protect his properties and criticized the city for water shortages and lack of foresight. Upon returning Wednesday on a military plane, Bass defended her administration, attributing the disaster to historic drought and winds, while urging unity amid recovery efforts.

LA Fires May be the Result of Arson According to Officials 

The Palisades fire, the largest and most destructive in Los Angeles history, may be human-caused, according to a report by the Los Angeles Times. Investigators suspect the blaze originated near Skull Rock on the Temescal Ridge Trail in Pacific Palisades, a popular hiking spot and local gathering site. The fire, which has burned for nearly a week, has destroyed nearly 30,000 acres and 5,000 structures, leaving at least 24 dead with more still missing. Authorities are exploring a connection to a small fire on New Year’s Eve at the same location, reportedly ignited by fireworks but quickly contained. The area’s high foot traffic has led investigators to consider whether another accidental fire occurred on Tuesday, sparking the catastrophic blaze.

Illegal Migrant Arrested Amid Fears of Arson According to California State Officials 

California authorities arrested Juan Manuel Sierra-Leyva, an illegal immigrant from Mexico, after residents in Los Angeles reported he might use a blowtorch to start wildfires near the Kenneth Fire in West Hills. The man, on probation for unrelated charges, has not been charged with arson but remains in custody. ICE sources confirmed they plan to issue a detainer request, though California’s Sanctuary State law may prevent local authorities from honoring it. Sierra-Leyva’s arrest coincides with state legislative debates over allocating an additional $25 million to shield illegal immigrants from deportation under President Donald Trump’s administration. California and Los Angeles officials support such policies, citing the economic benefits of migrants as affordable labor, renters, and consumers. Concerns about arson have heightened as residents share reports of deliberately lit fires and take proactive measures to prevent them. In 2021, another illegal immigrant faced arson charges near Pacific Palisades, though the case’s outcome remains unclear. Sierra-Leyva is scheduled for a court appearance amid growing public and legislative scrutiny. 

In Response to LA Fires, 1800 California National Guardsmen Activated 

Nearly 2,000 California National Guardsmen have been activated to assist with the ongoing wildfires in Los Angeles County, which have claimed at least 24 lives and destroyed thousands of homes. The troops, including firefighting crews, military police, and aircraft support, are helping local agencies manage the crisis. Eight C-130s equipped with firefighting systems and ten Navy helicopters are actively participating in fire suppression efforts, while 500 Marines are on standby to assist. The fires have scorched tens of thousands of acres, with the Palisades fire, the largest, being 14% contained as of Monday. This fire has destroyed over 1,280 structures and killed at least eight people. The Eaton fire, now 33% contained, has burned 14,117 acres and destroyed nearly 2,000 structures. Governor Gavin Newsom increased the Guard deployment by 1,000 personnel to bolster firefighting efforts and public safety. As of Monday, 92,000 people remain under evacuation orders as authorities work to contain the deadly fires. 

California Wildfire Victims to get $770 One-Time Payment from Biden Administration 

President Joe Biden announced a federal aid initiative for California wildfire victims, offering a one-time payment of $770 to survivors of the Los Angeles County fires, which have claimed 29 lives and caused significant damage. Biden, in a meeting on Monday, emphasized that immediate help is being provided, with nearly 6,000 survivors already registered for aid, and $5.1 million in assistance distributed. The federal government will also cover 100% of disaster response costs for the next six months. In addition to the financial support, FEMA reports that 33,000 residents have signed up for disaster assistance. Biden acknowledged that the total economic loss from the fires, estimated between $250 billion and $275 billion, has surpassed previous disasters, including the 2020 wildfire season and Hurricane Helene in 2024. He called on Congress to provide additional funding, stating that it will take tens of billions of dollars to restore Los Angeles. Victims can access aid through DisasterAssistance.gov or by calling FEMA's hotline. 

‘Dangerous Situation’ in Already Fire Devasted Los Angeles with Return of Santa Ana Winds 

One week into the wildfires ravaging Los Angeles County, nearly 40,000 acres have burned, devastating neighborhoods and causing significant damage. On Tuesday, winds of 45 to 70 mph and dry conditions were forecast, further escalating the fire risk. The National Weather Service issued "Particularly Dangerous Situation Red Flag Warnings" for L.A. and Ventura counties, emphasizing the severity of the conditions. The two main fires, the Palisades and Eaton fires, have caused widespread destruction, with over 12,000 structures burned and at least 24 fatalities, expected to rise. The Palisades Fire has burned 23,713 acres, with only 14% containment, threatening areas such as Malibu and Calabasas. The Eaton Fire has consumed 14,117 acres, and is 33% contained, affecting Altadena, Pasadena, and Sierra Madre. Losses are expected to be monumental, with insured damages estimated between $10 to $30 billion and uninsured losses surpassing $40 billion. Lawsuits have been filed against Edison International and the city of Los Angeles over alleged negligence contributing to the fires. 

Trump Doesn’t Rule Out Military Options in Taking Greenland for ‘National Security Purposes’ 

President-elect Donald Trump has not ruled out the use of U.S. military action to take control of the Panama Canal and Greenland, if necessary, citing their importance for national security. During a press conference, Trump emphasized the strategic significance of both territories, calling the Panama Canal vital for the U.S. and expressing the need for Greenland for similar purposes. His comments follow his son, Donald Trump Jr.'s, unofficial visit to Greenland. The island, an autonomous territory of Denmark with about 60,000 residents, was a subject of Trump’s interest in 2019 when he proposed purchasing it. Despite Denmark’s opposition and the islanders’ resistance to U.S. sovereignty, historical precedent for U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland exists, including during the 1860s and 1917. While Professor Maye Henning noted that Trump’s remarks might seem outdated due to modern territorial norms, she acknowledged that climate change and melting glaciers could make Greenland more valuable for resource extraction and shipping routes. However, she questioned whether military action would be necessary, given existing U.S. military presence and defense obligations in Greenland.

Trump’s Ideas for ‘Gulf of America’ and Taking Back the Panama Canal to Get Backing from Republicans in the House 

This week, two House Republicans introduced bills that align with President-elect Donald Trump’s proposals to rename the Gulf of Mexico to the "Gulf of America" and acquire the Panama Canal. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) announced a bill to officially change the Gulf’s name on all U.S. maps and documents, with the Commerce Secretary overseeing the transition. The change would be completed within 180 days. Greene emphasized the importance of this rebranding as a way to assert ownership over the Gulf, calling it the "rightful" name. Meanwhile, Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-SD) proposed a bill allowing the president to negotiate with Panama for the symbolic purchase of the canal for $1. Johnson argued that this move would counter China’s growing influence in the region, enhancing U.S. strength and global security. Both bills reflect a push to fulfill Trump’s agenda and assert American control over strategic resources, though they are likely to face significant challenges in Congress.

Islamic terrorism is Much Closer to Reality in the US than People Realize Warns FBI Director 

FBI Director Christopher Wray warned that the threat of Islamic terrorism in the U.S. is more significant than most people realize. In an interview on CBS News’ "60 Minutes," Wray highlighted a recent ISIS-inspired attack in New Orleans, where a U.S. citizen killed 14 people. He also referenced a Pakistani national who had been planning a mass shooting at a Jewish center in Brooklyn, aiming to carry out the largest attack in the U.S. since 9/11. Wray stressed that such threats are closer to home than they may appear, with terrorists radicalizing online and acting swiftly. He emphasized the challenge of preventing lone wolf attacks, as these individuals can become radicalized in weeks rather than years, making it difficult for authorities to detect and prevent such acts. Wray described the process of identifying and stopping these attacks as extremely challenging due to the lack of warning signs and the minimal time to act. 

Black Boxes Lost Data Four Minutes Before Crash of Jeju Flight 2216 

South Korea’s Transport Ministry revealed that the flight data recorder (FDR) and cockpit voice recorder (CVR) of Jeju Air Flight 2216 stopped recording four minutes before its December 29 crash at Muan International Airport, which killed 179 of 181 passengers and crew. The Boeing 737-800, en route from Bangkok, crash-landed, struck a concrete barrier, and exploded, making it South Korea's deadliest aviation disaster. Investigators are exploring possible causes, including a bird strike, faulty landing gear, and the placement of a rigid localizer barrier near the runway. Feathers found in an engine suggest a bird strike, though engine failure was not confirmed. The pilot had reported a bird strike, aborted the first landing attempt, and crash-landed on the second approach without deploying landing gear. Experts speculate a total electrical failure might have stopped the black boxes. Authorities are examining airport infrastructure, raiding key offices, and barring Jeju Air’s CEO from travel. Critics demand independent oversight of the investigation, while Transport Minister Park Sang-woo resigned, pledging transparency to grieving families.

BORDER CRISIS 

Illegal Migrants in US Can Get Legal Aid as Mexican Government Sends Hundreds of Lawyers to Assist 

The Mexican government is deploying hundreds of lawyers to the U.S. to provide legal protection for its estimated four million illegal migrants, aiming to shield them from deportation. This initiative comes as Mexican migrants send over $63 billion in remittances to Mexico annually. As part of this effort, Mexico plans to launch an app called “Alert Button,” which will allow Mexican citizens facing detention by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to alert their families and Mexican consulates. The app will also trigger immediate legal action from a network of lawyers. Mexican Foreign Secretary Juan Ramón de la Fuente encouraged illegal migrants to register for the app, emphasizing that they would not be alone. This app is part of Mexico’s broader “Know Your Rights” program, supported by 329 legal advisers at U.S. consulates. President Claudia Sheinbaum has pledged to defend the rights of Mexican migrants, despite diplomatic tensions with the U.S. over immigration, while also balancing cooperation with President Trump’s administration on issues like border security and drug trafficking.

‘Asylum Influencers’ Help Discover New Routes for Turkey-to-Germany Migrants

A group of young men in Istanbul discuss their desire to leave Turkey, with many aiming for Germany despite visa challenges. Muhittin, who had his visa application rejected, plans to enter Germany illegally, believing he can find peace and welfare there. With a rising number of Turkish asylum seekers, many frustrated by visa rejections, some turn to social media influencers who share tips on navigating life in Germany, including welfare benefits and work permits. However, visa rejections have become more frequent as the application process tightens, partly due to the increase in applications and Germany's attempt to slow migration. Although Turkey is considered a “safe third country,” many asylum requests are denied, yet migrants often stay through lengthy appeals processes. Despite official repatriation programs offering financial incentives for returnees, few accept it, as the hardship of migration and the dream of a better life outweighs the small amount offered. The Turkish government denies hindering deportations, while many migrants manage to stay in Germany for years.

Cartel Smuggling Tunnel Found Near US-Mexico Border

U.S. and Mexican authorities recently uncovered an incomplete cartel tunnel near San Luis Rio Colorado, Mexico, using drone technology. This discovery, part of a joint operation by U.S. Customs and Border Protection and Sonora State Police, targeted a tunnel suspected of being used for human and drug smuggling between Mexico and the United States, south of Yuma, Arizona. The tunnel, still under construction, was likely intended for illicit cartel activities, according to Mexican officials. While the specific cartel behind the operation is not confirmed, the Sinaloa Cartel is a likely suspect, as it has historically used tunnels in this region, exerting significant control over the area. The DEA’s 2024 Drug Threat Assessment highlights the Sinaloa and Jalisco cartels as major players in the synthetic drug crisis, with the former controlling access to key border ports. Authorities are using this discovery to bolster border security and prevent further smuggling activities. Additionally, reports indicate a surge in gang members, particularly from the Venezuelan Tren de Aragua, attempting to cross the U.S. border before increased security measures are implemented.

Texas Border Agents Arrest Russian Wagner Group Mercenary 

Authorities in South Texas arrested Timur Praliev, a Kazakhstan national and former Wagner Group mercenary, after he illegally crossed the border from Mexico near Roma, Texas. Court documents revealed Praliev carried Kazakh and Russian passports, a drone, $4,000 in cash, and 60,000 pesos (approximately $3,000) at the time of his arrest. During his hearing in McAllen, Texas, Praliev pleaded guilty to illegal entry, a charge with a minimal sentence. U.S. Magistrate J. Scott Hacker expressed concerns about Praliev’s release, ordering him to remain in federal custody post-sentencing. The judge noted no clear explanation for Praliev’s presence in the U.S. The arrest highlights growing concerns over “special interest aliens” (SIAs) at the U.S.-Mexico border, with SIAs referring to individuals from countries linked to terrorism. Recent apprehensions include two Iranians and two Egyptians. U.S. Border Patrol Chief Jason Owens previously reported encountering 10,000 SIAs in the last fiscal year, raising security concerns amid rising border crossings and potential threats. 

BOHICA! 

Outgoing President Biden Announces $5.9BN More in Military, Budget Aid to Ukraine

The U.S. announced nearly $6 billion in aid for Ukraine, aiming to bolster its defenses before Donald Trump takes office next month. President Joe Biden detailed a $2.5 billion security package, including $1.25 billion in military drawdowns for immediate deployment and $1.22 billion through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative for procuring equipment like drones, HIMARS ammunition, and anti-tank systems. Additionally, $3.4 billion in budgetary support was allocated by the Treasury Department. Biden emphasized using all remaining Congress-authorized funds to deliver aid as Ukraine faces intensified Russian assaults. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen vowed to tighten sanctions on Russia, while Secretary of State Antony Blinken underscored the global coalition supporting Ukraine's defense. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky welcomed the aid, urging continued support to secure "peace in 2025," amid Russian reliance on North Korean soldiers and arms. As Trump's return raises doubts about sustained aid, fears grow that his administration might push for a settlement favoring Russia, despite his claims of ending the war in a single day. 

President Biden Announces Ban on Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling in Most Federal Waters 

U.S. President Joe Biden announced a ban on new offshore oil and gas drilling along most U.S. coastlines, including the East and West coasts, the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and Alaska’s Northern Bering Sea. This executive action will prohibit new oil and gas leasing across 625 million acres of U.S. ocean, continuing Biden's focus on conservation efforts. He highlighted that over the last four years, his administration has conserved more land and waters than any previous president, totaling more than 670 million acres. Biden argued that drilling in these areas could cause irreversible environmental damage and is unnecessary for meeting the nation's energy needs. In response, President-elect Donald Trump vowed to reverse Biden's decision once he takes office, asserting that he would immediately undo the ban, calling it "ridiculous" on the Hugh Hewitt Show. The contrasting positions underscore the ongoing debate over energy policy and environmental protections, with the future of offshore drilling remaining a contentious issue. 

Seeking $680 Million in Security Assistance, Palestinian Authority Requests Funds from US 

The Palestinian Authority (PA) has requested U.S. approval for a four-year, $680 million plan to enhance its security capabilities, including training for special forces, as well as the provision of ammunition and armored vehicles. This request, made during a December meeting with U.S. officials, reflects the PA's frustration over unmet commitments, especially regarding arms supplies and training. The PA has been engaged in a crackdown on Palestinian fighters in Jenin, which has led to casualties. As tensions rise, the U.S. has urged the PA to intensify its security operations, and there has been an effort to integrate coordination with the PA’s forces under U.S. Central Command. However, the aid request is complicated by Israel's ability to veto security assistance to the PA. The U.S. Security Coordinator has been in discussions with PA officials, and while the U.S. has provided assistance since the 1990s, the relationship remains strained, with the PA facing criticism for corruption and its inability to resolve political issues, particularly in the context of ongoing Israeli settlement expansion. 

Another $550MN in Military Aid Being Forwarded by Biden Admin 

The Biden administration announced a final $500 million Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) package for Ukraine before Donald Trump takes office. This aid includes air defense missiles, such as AIM-7 Sparrows and AIM-9M Sidewinders, air-to-ground munitions, support for donated F-16s, armored bridging systems, and other equipment like small arms, secure communications, spare parts, and training. However, specific details about the air-to-ground munitions and F-16 support were not provided. The package brings the total U.S. security assistance to Ukraine under the Biden administration to over $66.5 billion. Despite the looming change in U.S. leadership, Pentagon officials expressed confidence in continued bipartisan Congressional support for Ukraine. The future of Ukraine's international military aid was discussed during the 25th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (UDCG) in Germany, with a new meeting possibly scheduled for February. A joint statement by the U.S. and 14 nations pledged continued assistance for Ukraine in areas like air defense, armor, artillery, and maritime security for at least the next two years, contributing to over $126 billion in support since Russia’s invasion. 

 

 WAR (and rumors of war) 

US MILITARY 

USAF Aircraft Conduct Strikes Against ISIS Targets in Iraq 

The U.S.-led coalition and Iraqi forces intensified operations against ISIS, targeting militants in Iraq's Hamrin Mountains and a cave hideout, with F-16s, F-15s, and A-10 aircraft conducting airstrikes that killed multiple fighters. While no American personnel were injured, one coalition member died, and two were wounded. Concurrently, Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), supported by U.S. forces, captured an ISIS attack cell leader in Deir Ez Zor, Syria. These efforts aim to counter ISIS’s attempts to rebuild amidst regional instability, including confusion in Syria following President Assad’s overthrow. CENTCOM commander Gen. Michael Kurilla emphasized coalition efforts to prevent ISIS resurgence. Operation Inherent Resolve, the coalition’s campaign, is set to conclude in September 2025, transitioning to undefined bilateral U.S.-Iraq security arrangements, with Iraq facing domestic pressure to reduce U.S. troop presence. Approximately 2,500 U.S. troops remain in Iraq and 2,000 in Syria to counter ISIS threats. Despite the group’s caliphate being defeated in 2019, its lingering capabilities underscore ongoing counterterrorism operations to prevent a resurgence.

US Airstrikes in Somalia Kills 10 Al-Shabaab Fighters

The United States conducted an airstrike in southern Somalia on December 31, killing 10 Al-Shabaab militants, according to US Africa Command (AFRICOM). The strike occurred in Beer Xaani, 35 kilometers from Kismayo, at the Somali government's request. AFRICOM reported no civilian casualties in its initial assessment and pledged further updates as needed. This action follows intensified efforts by Somalia's government to combat Al-Shabaab, which has waged a 17-year insurgency against the country's fragile federal government, frequently targeting Mogadishu and other areas. The strike comes amid broader challenges in Somalia, including poverty, prolonged civil conflict, climate disasters, and ongoing jihadist violence. Washington has invested heavily in counterinsurgency efforts, reversing decisions made during Donald Trump's presidency to withdraw US troops. Al-Shabaab remains linked to Al-Qaeda and continues to resist Somali and international efforts to dismantle its operations. Meanwhile, Somali forces recently repelled an attack by the Islamic State in the country's north, underlining the persistent instability and multiple threats faced by the nation.

Thieves Steal Humvees and Other Gear from Southern California Military Base 

The US Army Reserve reported the theft of three High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (Humvees) from the Tustin Army Reserve Center in Southern California. The thieves, who cut a fence to access the site, stole two unarmored Humvees and one armored variant. In addition to the vehicles, they took military equipment, including eight machine gun mounts, seven gun tripods, medical supplies, 40 pairs of binoculars, and 18 bayonets, and attempted to access a uniform storage area. Two of the stolen unarmored Humvees were recovered in Santa Ana and Orange City three days later, but the armored vehicle remains missing. Authorities are still investigating and seeking information on the whereabouts of the remaining vehicle and stolen equipment. The Humvee, a staple of the US Army since the late 1980s, is undergoing a modernization process, with AM General and Oshkosh Defense working on next-generation vehicles like the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) to replace the aging fleet. 

FORTRESS EUROPE 

After Undersea Cable ‘Sabotage’, NATO to Boost Military Presence in Baltic Sea 

NATO announced plans to bolster its military presence in the Baltic Sea following the suspected sabotage of the Estlink 2 undersea power cable connecting Finland and Estonia, which was disconnected on Christmas Day. Finnish authorities are investigating the Cook Islands-flagged oil tanker Eagle S, part of Russia's "shadow fleet" used to evade Western sanctions, as a possible culprit for damaging the cable with its anchor. Finnish President Alexander Stubb and NATO chief Mark Rutte emphasized safeguarding critical infrastructure, with NATO pledging support and Estonia initiating naval patrols to protect the cable. The European Union threatened further sanctions against Russia's shadow fleet, adding to recent blacklisting of vessels circumventing restrictions on Russian oil exports. The Baltic Sea region has seen heightened tensions since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, with incidents including the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines in 2022 and recent damage to gas pipelines and telecom cables. Estonia and Finland remain resolute in protecting critical infrastructure through military and non-military measures amid escalating concerns over Russian interference. 

In First for China, Their FK-3 Air Defense System has been Deployed by Serbia  

Serbia has become the first European nation to deploy China’s FK-3 air defense missile system, enhancing its military modernization efforts amid regional threats. The FK-3, an export version of China’s HQ-22 system, rivals the U.S. Patriot and Russia’s S-300 systems in capability. Featuring a command center, rocket launchers, radars, and logistics vehicles, the system can launch up to 12 missiles and engage six targets simultaneously at ranges exceeding 100 kilometers. It effectively counters aircraft, helicopters, and cruise missiles traveling at speeds up to 1,000 meters per second. Serbian troops from the 250th Air Defense Missile Brigade underwent extensive training to operate the FK-3, which the Ministry of Defense lauded for significantly improving the nation’s airspace protection. Delivered in 2022 as China’s largest known arms transfer to Europe, the system is central to Serbia’s efforts to strengthen its Air Force and Air Defense. Commander Stefan Manić praised its maneuverability and efficiency, highlighting its dominance among new-generation missile systems. Precise delivery quantities remain undisclosed.   

MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL 

ISIS Targets in Syria Struck by French Rafale Fighter Jets 

The French Air Force conducted targeted airstrikes against ISIS installations in Syria on Sunday as part of the U.S.-led Operation Inherent Resolve, marking France’s first such action in the region since the Assad regime's fall earlier this month. Fighter jets, supported by U.S. drones, deployed seven precision-guided bombs to disrupt ISIS activities in central Syria, according to French Armed Forces Minister Sébastien Lecornu. The strikes come amid Syria's ongoing instability following the December 8 ousting of President Bashar al-Assad by the Islamist group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), ending a 13-year civil war but creating a power vacuum that foreign powers fear could be exploited by ISIS. Lecornu emphasized France’s continued commitment to combating ISIS, and the French General Staff of the Armed Forces reaffirmed the coalition’s resolve. The operation aligns with a broader coalition strategy, which includes U.S. troop increases in Syria to support local forces like the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces. This geopolitical complexity underscores the coalition's efforts to prevent ISIS resurgence amid regional turbulence. 

“Winged Missile & Drone” Attack on USS H.S. Truman Aircraft Carrier Claimed by Houthis 

On Monday evening, Houthi military spokesperson Yahya Saree claimed that the Yemeni Armed Forces launched a missile and drone attack targeting the USS Harry S. Truman aircraft carrier in the Red Sea. Saree stated that the operation aimed to thwart an imminent U.S.-led attack on Yemen, framing it as part of a broader effort to support Palestinian resistance and counter Israeli actions. According to the spokesperson, the attack involved two missiles and four drones, preventing the U.S. from launching the alleged strike. Additionally, the Yemeni UAV forces carried out several other operations, including drone strikes targeting military assets linked to Israel in Yaffa and Ashkelon, claiming successful results in these missions. Saree emphasized that the Yemeni Armed Forces would continue their operations until the aggression on Gaza ceased and the blockade was lifted. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) has yet to comment on the incident. This escalation highlights the ongoing regional tensions amid the conflict in Gaza and growing Houthi support for Palestinian resistance. 

Only 20 Israeli Hostage Remain Alive in Gaza According to US Intelligence 

A new report, citing multiple U.S. intelligence and security sources, reveals that the United States believes only 20 of the 251 Israeli hostages taken by Hamas on October 7, 2023, remain alive. The initial prisoner swap has led to an estimated 100 hostages remaining in Gaza, with Israel’s military suggesting that at least a third are likely already dead. Despite recent efforts to revive ceasefire talks in Doha, no major breakthroughs have occurred. The 20 hostages believed to be alive include civilians and female soldiers, though the number could slightly increase if male soldiers are included. Anti-Netanyahu protests have persisted in Israel, with hostage families accusing the prime minister of prioritizing war over hostage safety. Meanwhile, Israel is preparing to escalate its offensive against Hamas, warning of severe retaliation if the remaining hostages are not released. President-elect Donald Trump also threatened significant consequences for Hamas if the hostages are not freed by January 20. However, options for resolution are limited as Gaza lies in ruins, and Hamas remains entrenched in guerilla warfare. 

Ceasefire Deal Between Israel and Hamas ‘On the Brink’ of Completion 

Negotiations in Doha are nearing completion on a 42-day cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, potentially finalized within 24 hours, with the release of 33 hostages in Gaza, including women, children, the ill, and elderly men. U.S. President Joe Biden, who outlined a similar proposal months ago, has emphasized persistence, confirming discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Hamas may release two of seven U.S. hostages, while Israel believes most captives are alive. The plan, part of a three-phase agreement, would begin further hostage negotiations 16 days after the first phase. Outgoing President Biden and incoming President-elect Donald Trump share urgency for a deal, with Trump warning of severe consequences if hostages are not released by his Jan. 20 inauguration. Mediators, including Trump’s team, aim to finalize details, including Israeli military oversight in Gaza. The cease-fire follows Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack, killing 1,200 Israelis and capturing 251 hostages. Israel’s ongoing campaign in Gaza has killed over 46,000 Palestinians, as Biden stresses peace and reunification for all involved.

RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT 

Data Shows Russian Advances in Ukraine Grew 7X in 2024 

In 2024, Russia gained nearly 4,000 square kilometers in Ukraine—seven times its 2023 advances—highlighting intensified pressure on Kyiv as 2025 begins, according to AFP analysis of Institute for the Study of War data. Most gains occurred in autumn, with Russia capturing 610 km² in October and 725 km² in November, the largest territorial advances since March 2022. Meanwhile, the Biden administration announced $6 billion in military aid to Ukraine, aiming to bolster support before Donald Trump assumes the U.S. presidency. Trump’s vow to end the war within 24 hours has raised fears Kyiv may be forced into territorial concessions. Russia's overnight aerial attacks, targeting Ukraine's military and infrastructure, persist, with recent strikes damaging homes near Kyiv and hitting eastern regions. Ukraine has intensified retaliatory drone strikes in Russian territory, urging allies for more air defense systems. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and citizens expressed hopes for victory and peace in 2025, but concerns linger over U.S. support under Trump’s administration, potentially jeopardizing Ukraine’s defense efforts.

Ukraine Cuts Off Gas Flow to Europe Causing Energy Prices to Spike 

For the first time in decades, no Russian gas is flowing to European customers through Ukraine after New Year's Day, marking the end of a five-year transit contract between Moscow and Kyiv. Ukraine halted the gas flow, citing national security concerns, with its energy minister calling the move "historic" and stating that Russia would face financial losses. Russia, in turn, blamed Kyiv for the cessation, asserting that Ukraine's refusal to extend the agreement left Gazprom unable to supply gas. This disruption could cost Russia around $5 billion annually in lost gas sales if no alternative routes are found. Ukraine stands to lose about $800 million in transit fees, though it is expected to be compensated by its financial backers. Central European nations like Hungary and Slovakia, which have relied on Russian gas, will now face higher energy costs, despite having enough reserves for the winter. The final route for Russian gas to Europe is now the Turkstream, and Russian exports to Europe have dropped to just eight percent of pre-war levels. 

Less than Half of Promised US Military Aid has been Received by Ukraine So Far According to Zelensky 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky revealed that less than half of the $177 billion promised by the U.S. since Russia's 2022 invasion has been delivered, citing potential "lobbying" or "corruption" as factors delaying aid. In an interview, he noted unsuccessful efforts to expedite shipments using Ukrainian cargo planes, arguing that funds saved on delivery costs could have been redirected toward purchasing more arms. Zelensky's comments highlighted frustrations despite the U.S. being Ukraine's largest military aid provider, supplying systems like ATACMS and HIMARS. A 2024 German think tank report confirmed that only half of pledged weapons from Western allies, including the U.S., Germany, and the UK, had been delivered. This followed the U.S. Congress approving a $61 billion aid package after prolonged debate. Challenges in tracking aid have also been reported, with a 2023 U.S. watchdog citing logistical gaps. Zelensky emphasized Ukraine's anti-corruption measures and dismissed accusations of misusing aid as Russian propaganda, asserting strict penalties for exploiting foreign military support. 

Western Troops Stationed in Ukraine Would Help ‘Force Russia to Peace’ According to Zelensky 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Thursday endorsed the potential deployment of Western troops to Ukraine, calling it one of the "best instruments" to force Russia into peace amid the nearly three-year conflict. Speaking at a meeting of Ukraine’s defense allies in Germany, Zelensky emphasized practical steps to facilitate such a deployment, without clarifying whether he referred to combat troops or peacekeepers. Zelensky also described the incoming presidency of Donald Trump as a "new chapter" for Europe and an opportunity for increased cooperation. Trump, set to take office on January 20, has vowed to swiftly end the war while questioning U.S. military aid, which has surpassed $65 billion. Meanwhile, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin announced $500 million in additional U.S. aid. Zelensky urged allies to bolster Ukraine’s drone arsenal, highlighting their transformative role in deterring Russian forces, following Kyiv's strike on an oil depot supplying a Russian military airfield. He also praised Ukraine's offensive in Russia's Kursk region as one of the war's significant achievements, as both sides seek leverage ahead of Trump’s presidency. 

INDO-PACIFIC 

Report Suggest China has Ordered Largest Military Build-Up Since 1930’s 

According to national security expert Chuck DeVore, China is undergoing the largest military build-up seen since Germany in the 1930s, raising alarms about the growing threat it poses. DeVore, in an article for The Federalist, contrasts China's military expansion with U.S. spending on wars like the "War on Terror." He highlights China's massive nuclear and naval build-up, predicting that its nuclear arsenal will exceed 1,000 warheads by 2030. The Chinese Navy, while not the largest by tonnage, now outnumbers the U.S. Navy in vessels and boasts a shipbuilding capacity 250 times greater than America's. Additionally, China’s People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force has expanded significantly, adding 50 new intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and hundreds of other missile systems. As of now, China has over 600 operational nuclear warheads, with plans to increase that number. DeVore suggests that China's military expansions may be in response to the anticipated tougher stance on China from President-elect Donald Trump, who has pledged to address China’s trade and military ambitions more aggressively than the outgoing Biden administration. 

China’s President Xi Boldly Claims, ‘No One Can Stop’ Reunification with Taiwan 

Chinese President Xi Jinping reaffirmed Beijing's commitment to unifying with Taiwan in a New Year’s speech, declaring that “no one can stop” the reunification of the self-ruled island with the mainland. Xi emphasized shared heritage between Chinese people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, framing unification as an unstoppable historical trend. Beijing, which claims Taiwan as part of its territory, has not ruled out the use of force to achieve this goal. Since Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te assumed office in May, China has ramped up pressure, staging three major military drills, including the largest in years earlier this month, according to Taiwanese officials. Xi’s remarks precede the January 20 inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who has promised a tougher stance on China, including tariffs targeting alleged unfair trade practices. Taiwan remains a contentious issue in U.S.-China relations, with Washington maintaining unofficial ties as Taiwan's largest arms supplier and strategic ally. Beijing has rejected U.S. allegations of unfair trade practices, adding tension to the evolving geopolitical landscape. 

GEOPOLITICS 

Russia Rejects Idea of Western Peacekeepers in Ukraine 

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has rejected the idea of deploying Western peacekeeping troops to Ukraine as part of a resolution to the ongoing nearly three-year conflict. Lavrov, in an interview with TASS, expressed Moscow's dissatisfaction with proposals discussed in Western capitals, including suggestions from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's team to station European troops along Ukraine's 620-mile front line and delay Kyiv's NATO membership aspirations for 20 years. Lavrov reiterated the Kremlin's stance that it is premature to consider peacekeepers, emphasizing opposition to foreign military involvement. Meanwhile, Trump, set to take office in three weeks, claims he can broker a Ukraine peace deal within 24 hours by leveraging U.S. financial and military aid to Kyiv but has yet to offer a detailed plan. Efforts to find common ground remain challenging, with Ukrainian and Russian leaders refusing direct talks. Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw forces from annexed regions, including Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia, while Ukraine firmly rejects territorial concessions in exchange for peace. 

US Added China’s Largest Shipping Line to a US Military Blacklist 

The U.S. has blacklisted China’s largest shipping company, Cosco Shipping Holdings Co., along with two major shipbuilders, China State Shipbuilding Corp. and China Shipbuilding Trading Co., citing alleged ties to the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). The action, announced in a Federal Register filing, designates these companies as Chinese military entities as determined by the Pentagon. While the blacklist carries no direct penalties, it discourages U.S. companies from engaging with them. This move highlights the growing scrutiny of China’s maritime sector, as the country dominates global shipbuilding, producing over half of the world’s merchant vessels. U.S. concerns stem from the geopolitical importance of shipping and ports, particularly after the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Cosco’s shares fell 4.4%, and Cnooc Ltd. also saw a decline after being added to the blacklist. Both Cosco and Cnooc have previously faced U.S. sanctions, with Cosco sanctioned in 2019 for transporting Iranian oil. The U.S. now sees China’s shipbuilding industry as a strategic concern in global supply chain competition. 

  

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