MID-MARCH SITREP SUPPORT
LEAD STORIES
Trump Puts ‘Pause’ on Military Aid to Ukraine
President Donald Trump ordered a temporary pause on $1 billion in military aid to Ukraine, citing the need to ensure U.S. assistance aligns with peace efforts. The move follows a tense Oval Office meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who refused to sign a minerals-for-aid deal and demanded U.S. security guarantees in any peace agreement. Vice President JD Vance called Zelensky "disrespectful" for negotiating publicly, while Trump later remarked, "This is going to be great television." Despite Trump’s decision, Zelensky secured a $2.8 billion loan from Britain for weapons production and attended a European summit in London, emphasizing Europe's unity and ongoing discussions about security guarantees. Trump criticized Zelensky’s statement that peace remains "very, very far away," accusing him of resisting negotiations as long as U.S. support continues. White House officials say the aid freeze is meant to pressure Ukraine into resuming talks, with the Trump administration reportedly seeking a public apology from Zelensky before reconsidering the minerals deal and future military assistance.
Trump Looks to Ease Russian Sanctions
The Trump administration is preparing to ease sanctions on Russia and certain Kremlin officials, as part of ongoing efforts to improve diplomatic and economic relations. This development follows recent bilateral talks with Russian representatives in Riyadh and Istanbul. The White House has directed the State and Treasury departments to draft a proposal for lifting sanctions on select entities, including some Russian oligarchs. This marks the first official step towards easing sanctions, reflecting Trump’s willingness to negotiate with Moscow. The potential move comes amid preparations for a fast-tracked summit between Presidents Trump and Putin, which could take place in the coming weeks. This shift follows increasing concerns that U.S. sanctions have largely backfired, strengthening Russia’s ties with BRICS nations like China, India, and Iran. Despite early campaign promises for a quick resolution, Trump’s team now acknowledges that negotiations will likely be more drawn-out. Moscow is reportedly optimistic about the future of U.S.-Russia talks, anticipating accelerated discussions following tensions between Trump and Zelensky.
Top FBI Official Forced to Retire, Suggested Agents ‘Dig In’ Against Trump Administration
James Dennehy, head of the FBI’s New York field office, was forced to retire on Monday following tensions related to his involvement in the FBI’s January 6, 2021, Capitol riot investigation. Dennehy was directed to resign or face termination after an email he sent to his staff encouraged resistance to the Trump administration’s scrutiny of the investigation. Dennehy expressed pride in his office but was not provided with a specific reason for his forced retirement. Since September, Dennehy had led the New York office, but his stance on defending FBI actions, especially related to the January 6 cases, made him a target as FBI leadership faced significant changes under pressure from the administration. Dennehy’s leadership, alongside former acting officials Brian Driscoll and Rob Kissane, is credited with preventing a wider purge of FBI agents amid controversial investigations involving President Trump. Dennehy had also been involved in the investigation into New York City Mayor Eric Adams, which was ultimately dropped by the Department of Justice.
AG Pam Bondi to Release ‘Truckload’ of Additional Hidden Epstein Docs
Following the release of incomplete Epstein files, Attorney General Pam Bondi is facing criticism for providing right-wing influencers and journalists with binders containing outdated information. Bondi appeared on Fox News, explaining that she had received a truckload of additional Epstein files from the FBI, which had been hidden in the Southern District of New York. Bondi said she set a deadline for the FBI to hand over all the documents by 8 a.m. Friday after a source revealed the hidden files. She criticized the FBI for withholding the documents and assured that a detailed report would be conducted to explain why the files were not initially provided. Bondi stressed that the FBI was now working through the newly received evidence and would carefully protect the victims' identities. She also accused the Biden administration of failing to act on the documents and questioned the lack of transparency, asserting that the full contents would eventually be released to the public for accountability.
NOAA Leases on Key Weather Buildings Under DOGE Scrutiny
The Trump administration has informed the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) that it plans to cancel the leases of two crucial weather forecasting centers, including the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, which houses key facilities like the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The cancellation of these leases, alongside recent layoffs, early retirements, and hiring restrictions, suggests an effort to dismantle the agency. The NCEP includes the Environmental Modeling Center, which manages the computer models for daily weather forecasting. If the College Park facility is closed, NOAA would face a significant challenge replicating its operations elsewhere, potentially leaving gaps in critical forecasting. Additionally, the Radar Operations Center in Norman, Oklahoma, is also on the list for lease cancellation. This facility supports the nation's aging Doppler radar systems. Lawmakers, including Sen. Chris Van Hollen, have expressed concerns about the potential impact on NOAA’s ability to perform its vital weather-related tasks. These cuts are part of broader efforts to reduce government real estate holdings, led by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency.
NOTAM Violations Over Mar-A-Lago, Fighter Jets Intercept
NORAD confirmed that F-16 fighter jets intercepted a civilian aircraft near President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on Sunday after it violated a Temporary Flight Restriction (TFR). The aircraft, violating the TFR at 1:15 p.m. EDT, was escorted out of the area by NORAD jets. This was the second such incident in 48 hours, prompting NORAD to use flares to communicate with the pilot, though the flares posed no danger to civilians on the ground. NORAD works closely with the FAA to ensure airspace security, particularly around high-risk areas like Mar-a-Lago. General Gregory Guillot emphasized the importance of adhering to TFRs for safety and national security, stating that repeated violations suggest that pilots are not adequately reviewing FAA Notices to Airmen (NOTAMs). Since Trump’s inauguration in January, NORAD has responded to over 20 airspace violations in the Palm Beach area. Officials urged aircrews to double-check FAA NOTAMs to avoid future interceptions.
After Armed Confrontation US Secret Service Near White House, Service Personnel Shoot Man
Early Sunday morning, U.S. Secret Service personnel shot an armed man near the White House after he parked his car near 17th and F Streets NW, close to a White House entrance. President Donald Trump, who was in Florida at the time, was not in the area. The Secret Service had been alerted to a suicidal individual traveling from Indiana earlier on Saturday. Around midnight, agents spotted the man’s vehicle and saw him on foot nearby. When officers approached, the man brandished a firearm, leading to an armed confrontation in which shots were fired by Secret Service personnel. The man was shot and transported to a hospital, though his condition remains unknown. No injuries were reported among the Secret Service personnel. The Metropolitan Police Department is investigating the incident, with the case being handled by their Internal Affairs Division's Force Investigations Team, which looks into law enforcement-involved shootings in Washington, D.C.
$312MN in Loans Given to Children 11 and Under During COVID Pandemic According to DOGE
The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk, revealed that nearly 5,600 COVID-19 relief loans worth $312 million were granted to children aged 11 or younger, often using incorrect Social Security numbers. These loans, issued by the Small Business Administration (SBA) in 2020-2021, raise concerns over fraudulent applications. DOGE did not specify how the funds were used but pledged to collaborate with the SBA to address the issue. The agency also disclosed that 3,095 loans totaling $333 million were issued during the same period to borrowers listed as over 115 years old, including one supposed 157-year-old recipient who received $36,000. These findings highlight systemic flaws in SBA’s loan approval process and come amid DOGE’s broader effort to expose fraud and government waste. The revelations, shared on X, suggest significant mismanagement in pandemic-era financial aid programs, intensifying scrutiny over how relief funds were distributed and prompting calls for accountability in federal spending oversight. DOGE is expected to take further action in the coming weeks.
X Hit with ‘Massive Cyberattack’ Causing Massive Outages
On Monday, Elon Musk responded to widespread outages on X, the social media platform he owns, which lasted from early morning until after noon. Outage-tracking site DownDetector.com reported more than 20,000 reports of issues at 5 a.m. ET, with numbers spiking to nearly 40,000 by 9 a.m. ET, and a final peak just under 30,000. Users across the globe, including Europe, experienced problems accessing both the mobile app and website, with Cloudflare errors and loading issues prevalent. Speculation arose about the cause, with some suggesting it was the result of a cyberattack. Musk confirmed the platform was under a "massive cyberattack," which he suspected might involve a coordinated group or even a nation-state, citing the scale and resources behind the attack. The last major outage of X occurred in August 2024. By 1 p.m. ET, outage reports significantly decreased. Despite the issues, Musk indicated that investigations were underway to trace the source of the attack.
USAID Told to ‘Shred and Burn All Documents’ by Acting Director
On Tuesday, a senior USAID official ordered remaining staff to report to the agency’s former headquarters in Washington, DC, for an extensive operation to destroy sensitive documents, including classified materials and personnel files, at the Ronald Reagan Building. Staff were instructed to shred documents first and use "burn bags" when the shredder became unavailable, marking the bags with "SECRET" and specific agency identifiers. The email from acting executive director Erica Carr did not provide a reason for the document destruction, but the building is being cleared following significant layoffs, which may have disrupted normal document handling procedures. This action highlights the ongoing dismantling of USAID under the Trump administration, which had previously managed a $40 billion budget and employed over 10,000 staff globally. The document destruction effort comes amid controversy surrounding attempts by Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency to access secure USAID computer systems, which led to administrative leave for two security staff after concerns over improper access to classified material.
US Vessel Carrying Jet Fuel Hit by Container Ship in Fiery Crash
On March 10, 2025, the U.S.-flagged oil tanker Stena Immaculate, critical to U.S. national security under the Department of Transportation’s Tanker Security Program, was struck by the Portuguese-flagged containership MV Solong off the East Yorkshire coast, near Hull. The US vessel that was involved was carrying Jet-A1 fuel for the U.S. military en route to Rotterdam. The collision caused both vessels to catch fire, prompting extensive search and rescue operations. The crew of the Stena Immaculate, which had been anchored in the Humber Estuary, abandoned the ship after multiple explosions, but all U.S. Merchant Mariners were accounted for and safely in lifeboats. One crew member from the Solong remains missing. Initial reports suggest the Solong rammed the Stena Immaculate without attempting to maneuver, though the cause of the collision remains under investigation. The Stena Immaculate is part of the Tanker Security Program, which ensures a core fleet of U.S.-based tankers for Department of Defense needs. The U.S. military confirmed the tanker was on charter to the Navy at the time. The incident raises concerns due to the rarity of accidents involving such vital assets.
Russian National Captain of Container Ship that Hit US Tanker Off UK Coast
The captain of the Portuguese-flagged container ship, Solong, which collided with the U.S.-flagged tanker, Stena Immaculate, off the East Yorkshire coast on Monday, has been arrested on suspicion of gross negligence manslaughter. The incident, which involved a tanker carrying jet fuel for the U.S. military, resulted in both ships igniting after the crash. Despite the Solong being equipped with modern navigation technology, maritime experts are baffled by how the collision occurred. Police are conducting a criminal investigation, with the captain, a 59-year-old Russian national, taken into custody. Humberside Police and the Maritime and Coastguard Agency are collaborating on the investigation. The collision led to the rescue of 36 people, though one remains unaccounted for. Concerns have been raised over the potential role of GPS jamming, as the Solong was on autopilot at the time, while the Stena Immaculate is part of a fleet supplying fuel to the U.S. military, raising questions about potential foreign interference amid ongoing global tensions.
BORDER CRISIS
3,000 More Troops and a Stryker Brigade to be Deployed to the Southern Border
Approximately 3,000 additional active-duty troops will be deployed to the U.S.-Mexico southern border, following an announcement from the Trump administration that a Stryker Brigade Combat Team (SBCT) and a General Support Aviation Battalion will reinforce border security efforts. The deployment, ordered by President Trump and coordinated by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, aims to seal the border and protect U.S. territorial integrity. While the Pentagon has not confirmed the exact number of troops, anonymous defense officials confirmed the 3,000 figure. This move adds to the 9,200 troops already at the border, including 5,000 National Guard members. Trump’s border policies, which have involved increased troop deployments, have reportedly led to a 94% decrease in illegal border crossings compared to the previous year under President Biden. Trump touted the success of these policies, claiming a significant drop in illegal immigrant apprehensions in February. He emphasized that under his administration, the border was "closed" to illegal immigration, with individuals facing severe penalties and deportation if they attempted to enter unlawfully.
Migrant Smuggling Ring Busted by Feds After Brining 20K Illegals into the US
Federal authorities have dismantled a major human smuggling ring responsible for trafficking 20,000 illegal immigrants into the U.S. The operation led to the arrest of four Guatemalan nationals, including Eduardo Domingo Renoj-Matul, 51, and Cristobal Mejia-Chaj, 49, who allegedly smuggled immigrants from 2019 to 2024. The charges include conspiracy, transporting, and harboring illegal aliens for profit, resulting in death. The smuggling operation led to a deadly car accident in Oklahoma in November 2023, killing seven people, including a 4-year-old child. Additionally, one of the suspects, Helmer Obispo-Hernandez, allegedly threatened to decapitate a federal officer and his family. The Department of Justice emphasized the deadly nature of such operations and the importance of enforcing immigration laws. Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) underscored the dangers of smuggling for the migrants, with many victims enduring life-threatening conditions. The arrests, part of a broader crackdown, dismantled one of the largest and most dangerous smuggling rings, saving lives and ensuring accountability for those involved.
Border Apprehensions to Historic Lows, Trump Proclaims Border Invasion Over
President Donald Trump celebrated a significant drop in illegal immigrant apprehensions at the U.S.–Mexico border, with February marking the lowest monthly total in recorded history at just 8,326 apprehensions. This sharp decline contrasted sharply with the Biden administration’s record of over 300,000 apprehensions in a single month. Trump attributed this success to his administration’s strict border security measures, including executive orders that ended "catch and release," halted the CBP One app, and pressured Mexico to deploy 10,000 troops. Trump also declared a national emergency at the border, ramped up deportations, and issued an executive order ending birthright citizenship. His actions, supported by DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, emphasized a strong stance against illegal immigration, with warnings of significant penalties for those attempting to enter illegally. However, Trump's policies faced legal challenges, including a lawsuit from Quaker congregations and blocked executive orders. Despite this, immigration and border security remained top priorities for voters in the 2024 election, with Trump further ensuring taxpayer resources are directed away from aiding illegal immigrants.
In the 50+ Days Since Trump Took Office, ICE has Arrested 33,000 Illegals Across US
Since President Donald Trump took office on January 20, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has arrested approximately 33,000 illegal aliens across the U.S., including over 1,000 gang members and 39 suspected terrorists. These arrests occurred between January 20 and March 10, surpassing the 33,000 arrests made under former President Joe Biden in Fiscal Year 2024, as well as the 32,000 criminal illegal aliens arrested by Biden’s ICE in that year. The arrests were made through various programs, including the 287(g) program, which partners local law enforcement with ICE, and the Criminal Alien Program. ICE officials also noted that the agency is currently operating at full capacity with 47,000 detention beds but requires additional space and funding from Congress. Despite the agency's push for expanded detention capacity, ICE leadership has indicated that the number of releases will decrease as more beds become available. While the total number of deportations under Trump is not clear, ICE has emphasized that efforts to remove illegal aliens are stronger than ever.
High Costs Put a Hold on US Military Deportation Flights
On March 5, 2025, the U.S. government paused the use of military aircraft for deporting migrants due to high costs and logistical challenges. These military flights, including C-17 and C-130 planes, had been used to deport individuals to various countries, but their $3 million per flight cost and operational issues proved unsustainable. In contrast, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) charter flights cost significantly less, about $8,500 per hour compared to $28,500 per hour for military aircraft. Additionally, diplomatic tensions arose, particularly with Colombia, which blocked U.S. military flights in January 2025, highlighting the strain such operations placed on international relations. The logistical complications, including bypassing Mexican airspace due to restrictions, further increased the operational inefficiencies of military flights. The suspension reflects a shift towards more cost-effective deportation methods, with the possibility of resuming military flights in the future. This decision underscores the challenges of balancing efficient immigration enforcement with fiscal responsibility and diplomatic considerations.
Illegals Removed from GITMO to Louisiana to Await Deportation
All remaining migrants at Guantanamo Bay have been relocated to Louisiana over the past two days, following an announcement by President Donald Trump in late January to prepare a 30,000-person migrant facility at the base. However, only a few hundred migrants were held there, and the base's infrastructure, including tents not meeting ICE standards, proved inadequate for housing migrants. Despite Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's suggestion that Guantanamo Bay could be used for "hardened criminals" being deported, the facility did not align with the requirements for migrant detention, such as air conditioning and proper amenities. By Friday, 41 migrants were transferred to Alexandria, Louisiana, for processing, with some U.S. troops sent to the base likely being reassigned to the southern border. Critics, including Rep. Sara Jacobs, D-CA, argued that the use of Guantanamo Bay was more about optics than operational value, noting that the $16 million spent on preparing the camp, including $3.1 million per tent, did not fulfill DHS's needs and was criticized as a waste.
US Deploys Air Force Intel Analysts to Support Border Mission
The U.S. military is deploying 40 additional Air Force intelligence analysts to enhance surveillance of the southern border, bringing the total troop presence for border operations to 9,600, including 590 Army engineers. U.S. Northern Command (NORTHCOM) oversees these efforts through the Joint Intelligence Task Force-Southern Border, which collaborates with Customs and Border Protection. Intelligence support includes full-motion video analysis, counter-network analysis, and Spanish translation. The Air Force and Navy have been conducting intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) missions since February using RC-135 Rivet Joint aircraft from Offutt AFB and P-8 Poseidons, one of which was recently relocated from Europe to Texas. Analysts will be stationed at intelligence hubs in Arizona, California, Texas, and Florida. Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David W. Allvin emphasized the military’s commitment to border security, aligning with the administration’s priority to restore sovereignty. In addition to ISR operations, Air Force C-17s and C-130s have been used to deport detainees. Other airborne assets are also providing intelligence, which is analyzed and coordinated across agencies.
BOHICA
Tariff War Kicks Off as China and Canada Issue Retaliatory Tariffs Against US
Global markets are experiencing a downturn as concerns about an escalating trade war continue to affect sentiment. President Trump’s announcement on Monday that tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China would increase intensified the situation. On Tuesday, Trump’s 25% tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada went into effect, prompting Canada to retaliate with similar tariffs on $100 billion worth of U.S. imports. Mexico is expected to follow suit. Additionally, a 10% tariff on Chinese imports was imposed, raising the total to 20%. In response, China introduced tariffs of 10% to 15% on U.S. agricultural goods, including chicken, wheat, soybeans, and pork, and imposed an export ban on some U.S. defense firms. Although China’s retaliation was targeted, with no broad-based tariffs on tech or autos, analysts suggest this indicates room for negotiation. Despite market losses globally, some strategists believe China’s measured response may signal its patience in negotiations. The uncertainty surrounding these developments is contributing to concerns about future economic growth.
French Defense Minister Says France Readying 200MN Euro Military Aid Package for Ukraine
France is preparing a new military aid package for Ukraine worth 195 million euros ($211 million) from the interest earned on frozen Russian assets, as announced by Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu. The package will fund the delivery of 155-millimeter shells and AASM air-to-surface weapons for French Mirage 2000 fighter jets. Lecornu called the suspension of US weapons deliveries to Ukraine a “heavy blow” to Kyiv's defense efforts and stressed the importance of not allowing this to continue. He also warned of Russia's growing influence in targeting democracies and economies, referencing the potential manipulation of France's upcoming 2027 elections. While France has been cautious about using frozen Russian assets directly for Ukraine, Lecornu supported mobilizing funds from the interest generated. He also commented on the increasing need for European defense spending and highlighted ammunition, electronic warfare, and advancements in drone and artificial intelligence technologies as key priorities for France’s future military capabilities. He noted no immediate threat to NATO members but cited concerns about Moldova's stability.
WAR (and rumors of war)
US MILITARY
Weapons Flow from US to Ukraine Resumes as Ceasefire Talks Continue
U.S. arms deliveries to Ukraine resumed on Wednesday after the Trump administration lifted its suspension of military aid, a day after Washington proposed a 30-day ceasefire, which Ukraine endorsed. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia awaited more details before responding to the ceasefire proposal, emphasizing Moscow’s previous stance against anything short of a permanent end to the conflict. U.S. President Trump urged Ukraine to enter negotiations, calling on Russia to agree to the ceasefire and warning of potential new sanctions if needed. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated that Washington would pursue multiple contacts with Russia to gauge President Putin’s willingness to negotiate. The resumed military assistance is vital for Ukraine’s efforts to counter Russia’s larger military force, with U.S. weapons and satellite imagery playing a key role. However, Ukraine has run out of Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMs), and while fewer than 40 were provided, they are no longer available. Meanwhile, Trump’s envoy is expected to meet with Putin for further talks.
Planned F-35 Purchase by Germany May be Refused Over ‘Emergency Switch’
Germany is reconsidering its planned purchase of U.S. F-35 fighter jets over concerns that Washington could remotely deactivate the aircraft in case of political disagreements, according to Bild. Instead, Airbus is promoting the Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 5, which offers advanced capabilities similar to fifth-generation fighters. Former Munich Security Conference head Wolfgang Ischinger warned that if the U.S. can cut off Ukraine’s military aid and intelligence access, it might also disable Germany’s F-35s. This statement follows Washington’s suspension of aid to Ukraine, which angered European leaders. Airbus Defence and Space CEO Michael Schöllhorn urged Germany to prioritize European defense products, warning that reliance on U.S. weapons increases dependency. He cited Denmark’s F-35 fleet, suggesting the aircraft might be restricted if Denmark ever needed to defend Greenland, a territory Trump previously sought. Schöllhorn sees rising prospects for a Eurofighter order, calling it the Luftwaffe’s backbone. He expressed optimism that Germany’s new government will soon commit to purchasing additional Eurofighters as Europe seeks greater military independence.
FORTRESS EUROPE
After Trump Rowe with Zelensky, Norwegian Firm Refuses to Refuel US Navy Submarine
Norwegian fuel company Haltbakk Bunkers has ceased supplying fuel to U.S. military forces and naval vessels in Norway, citing dissatisfaction with U.S. policy toward Ukraine following a tense White House meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance. In a social media statement, the company condemned the meeting as a “backstabbing TV show” and urged European fuel suppliers to follow suit. Owner Gunnar Gran affirmed that “not a litre” would be sold to U.S. forces until Trump leaves office, comparing the move to the company’s prior ban on fuel sales to Russia. Though largely symbolic—Haltbakk Bunkers supplied three million liters to the U.S. military in 2024—Norwegian Defense Minister Tore Sandvik assured that U.S. forces would not face logistical issues. Norway, a key NATO member, remains wary of Russian military threats, with concerns over espionage and sabotage targeting critical energy infrastructure. The fuel ban underscores growing European discontent with Trump’s Ukraine policy, though the White House has yet to respond.
‘ReArm Europe’ Defense Plan Unveiled by European Union
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has unveiled the €800 billion "ReArm Europe Plan" to bolster Europe's military capabilities and sustain aid for Ukraine amid uncertainty over U.S. support. Announced before a European Council meeting, the initiative promotes increased national defense spending, joint procurement, and accelerated military assistance. The plan permits EU states to expand defense budgets by €650 billion over four years under the Stability and Growth Pact’s escape clause, while a €150 billion loan program will fund defense infrastructure. Von der Leyen stressed that Europe must take greater responsibility for its security, calling for a “massive” increase in military aid to Ukraine, including missile defense systems and anti-drone technology. The proposal follows U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to pause military aid and Vice President J.D. Vance’s criticism of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has backed stronger European defense ties, pledging to raise U.K. military spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027. EU leaders will debate the plan at Thursday’s Brussels summit.
Poland Leases US Made Apache Longbow Attack Helicopters
Poland has secured a $300-million lease agreement with the U.S. for eight Boeing AH-64D Apache Longbow attack helicopters, which will be assigned to the 1st Land Forces Aviation Brigade in Inowrocław. This contract includes training, spare parts, technical support, and logistics to ensure operational readiness. Deliveries of the AH-64Ds are expected between the second and third quarters of this year, with aircrew training already underway. The AH-64D lease serves as a temporary solution while Poland waits for the delivery of the more advanced AH-64E Apache “Guardian” helicopters, ordered in 2024. Poland is set to receive 96 AH-64Es by 2028, making it the second-largest user of Apache helicopters after the U.S. This move is part of Poland's broader military modernization in response to increasing tensions on NATO's eastern flank. The AH-64D Apache Longbow is equipped with a 30mm M230 chain gun, rockets, and missiles, and can reach speeds of 173 mph, offering significant airborne attack capabilities for Poland's armed forces.
Three More F-35s Delivered to Norway Despite Tensions with US
Norway’s Royal Air Force has received three more F-35A fighters, increasing its fleet to 49 aircraft, with the final three expected by spring to complete its 52-unit procurement. The country has added nine F-35s in the past three months as part of its transition from aging F-16s. Norway’s first F-35 flew in 2015, with operational deployment beginning in 2017 at Ørland Air Base. The aircraft achieved initial operational capability in 2019 and joined NATO air patrols in 2020. Norwegian F-35s are stationed at Ørland and Evenes air bases, with several deployed at Poland’s 31st Tactical Air Base near Poznań to support NATO’s air and missile defense and protect airspace near key logistics routes for military aid to Ukraine. In January 2025, Norway became the first nation to operate the F-35 with blended biofuels, enabled by Lockheed Martin’s certification of synthetic aviation fuel (SATF), allowing a mix of up to 50% biofuel with standard jet fuel, marking a significant step in sustainable military aviation.
As Divide Widens, Germany Looks for Massive Rearmament
Germany is set to significantly increase defense spending as Friedrich Merz, the likely next chancellor, pushes to reform constitutional debt limits to boost military investment amid growing concerns over U.S. security guarantees. Merz aims to exempt military spending exceeding 1% of GDP from budget constraints, potentially doubling Germany’s defense budget to €100 billion annually. The CDU/CSU and Social Democrats are working to fast-track the reform through parliament before forming a new government, driven by fears that Donald Trump’s direct negotiations with Russia may sideline European interests. Merz also proposed a €500-billion infrastructure investment plan to stimulate Germany’s stagnating economy. In Brussels, Germany urged an overhaul of EU spending rules to allow for sustained defense investments beyond the proposed four-year exemption, a stance met with resistance from fiscally conservative states. Amid rising geopolitical tensions, Merz held talks with NATO chief Mark Rutte, emphasizing that Germany and Europe must massively invest in their defense capabilities. EU leaders are set to discuss these proposals at a summit focused on Ukraine and defense policy.
German Defense Minister Says Germany is Out of Weapons for Ukraine
Germany has reached its limit in supplying weapons to Ukraine from its own Bundeswehr stockpiles, according to Michael Stempfle, a spokesperson for the German Ministry of Defense. In a Wednesday briefing, Stempfle acknowledged that while Germany had already provided significant military aid, including Leopard tanks, anti-aircraft systems, and self-propelled armored vehicles, there was a "natural limit" to further transfers. He emphasized the importance of maintaining Germany’s own defense readiness while supporting European allies. Germany has contributed around €44 billion ($47 billion) in military and financial aid to Ukraine since the war's escalation in 2022. This announcement comes amid reports that U.S. President Trump ordered a halt to all weapons deliveries to Ukraine, including battle tanks, long-range missiles, and air defense systems, as well as suspending intelligence sharing. Ukrainian President Zelensky has voiced concerns that the suspension of foreign support will hinder Ukraine’s ability to sustain its defense efforts, while Russia continues to criticize Western aid as a hindrance to peace.
Despite Outrage, Lithuania Drops Out of Cluster Bomb Treaty
Lithuania has withdrawn from the international convention banning cluster bombs, citing security concerns related to Russia’s actions in Ukraine. The decision, which took effect on March 5, makes Lithuania the first country to exit the 2008 convention and the first EU nation to leave a multilateral arms regulation agreement. Lithuania, a NATO member, aims to bolster its defenses against potential Russian aggression, fearing it could be targeted if Moscow succeeds in Ukraine. While the move has been criticized by human rights groups like Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, who warn of the risks to civilian lives, Lithuanian officials argue that cluster bombs are crucial for deterrence and defense against large-area targets. Lithuania’s Deputy Defense Minister Karolis Aleksa emphasized that withdrawing from the convention allows the country to enhance its military capabilities. The country is also considering withdrawing from the Anti-Personnel Landmines Convention, reflecting broader concerns over national security in the face of heightened tensions with Russia. Humanitarian organizations have expressed concern that Lithuania’s actions could encourage other countries to reconsider their disarmament commitments.
Europe to Increase Defense Spending Beyond 3% Urges EU Commission
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen urged EU member states to increase defense spending beyond 3% of GDP during a European Parliament debate on Tuesday, warning that Europe must strengthen its own security. She noted that the EU’s current defense expenditure is just under 2% and emphasized that since the EU budget covers only about 1% of GDP, member states must take on the majority of new investments. Von der Leyen criticized past reliance on integrating Russia into Europe’s security framework and depending on U.S. protection, calling this the “time of illusions.” She stressed the urgency of addressing gaps in Ukraine’s military supplies and ensuring solid security guarantees for both Ukraine and Europe. Highlighting that Russia’s defense industry is outproducing Europe’s and that Putin cannot be trusted, she argued that deterrence is the only option. She concluded by expressing confidence that, if Europe fully mobilizes its industrial capacity, it can restore its defense capabilities and counter threats posed by adversaries like Russia.
Czech Republic Set to Increase Defense Spending to 3% by 2030
The Czech government has approved a plan to raise its defense spending to 3 percent of GDP by 2030, up from the current 2 percent. This increase will be implemented gradually, with an annual rise of 0.2 percent starting in 2026. The additional funds will bolster land forces, air and missile defense, command and control systems, logistics, ammunition stock replenishment, and infrastructure modernization. Defense Minister Jana Černochová emphasized that the current 2 percent commitment is insufficient given the worsening security situation in Europe. Some Czech Armed Forces units still operate outdated Soviet-era equipment, prompting a major modernization effort. This move is part of a broader trend in Europe, with several countries planning to surpass NATO’s 2 percent defense spending target. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen recently unveiled the “ReArm Europe” initiative, mobilizing 800 billion euros to enhance European defense and support Ukraine. Additionally, Denmark and Lithuania have also committed to significantly boosting their defense budgets, with Lithuania planning 5–6 percent of GDP from 2026 to 2030.
Poland Request Nuclear Weapons from Trump
Poland's President Andrzej Duda has called for the deployment of U.S. nuclear weapons in Poland, arguing that NATO's nuclear infrastructure should move eastward, reflecting the alliance's expansion since 1999. This suggestion comes amid escalating nuclear threats from Russia, especially after the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus, a country bordering Poland. Duda emphasized that the "time has come" for nuclear weapons to be stationed in Poland, proposing that U.S. warheads currently in Western Europe could be redeployed. He also advocated for reviving a nuclear-sharing initiative, which was rejected by the Biden administration in 2022. While Duda rejected the idea of Poland developing its own nuclear arsenal, he expressed interest in France’s offer to extend its "nuclear umbrella" to protect Poland. This proposal has been raised in the context of NATO's growing concerns about Russia’s nuclear capabilities. Experts, such as Andrew Futter, suggest that U.S. policy under President Trump could lead to an increase in nuclear weapons, potentially affecting NATO’s defense strategies.
MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL
Trumps Message to Hamas: ‘This is your Last Warning!’
President Donald Trump issued a stark ultimatum to Hamas on Wednesday, warning that "hell will pay" unless they immediately release all remaining hostages. Trump made the comments following a meeting with recently released hostages from Gaza, some of whom had been held for over a year. He demanded that Hamas release all hostages and return the bodies of the deceased victims, labeling their actions as "sick and twisted." Trump vowed to support Israel with whatever it needs to "finish the job" against Hamas, asserting that no Hamas member would be safe if his demands were not met. He also addressed Gaza's leadership, urging them to leave while they still had a chance. Trump emphasized that a peaceful future awaited Gaza's people, but only if they released the hostages. He called the situation a "last warning," threatening dire consequences if Hamas failed to comply. This ultimatum came after reports of direct U.S. talks with Hamas in recent weeks, the first such engagement in history.
$53BN Alternate Gaza Reconstruction Plan Rejected by US and Israel
The United States and Israel swiftly rejected a $53 billion Gaza peace and reconstruction plan proposed by the Arab League under Egypt’s leadership. The plan, aimed at rebuilding Gaza by 2030, would allow the two million Palestinians to remain in the region, unlike President Trump’s earlier proposal to relocate them to neighboring Arab states. The plan calls for a UN peacekeeping force, a World Bank-backed trust fund for reconstruction, and eco-friendly housing. It also includes plans to expand Gaza's coastline using recycled rubble and renewable energy. While Hamas welcomed the proposal, they supported eventual governance by the Palestinian Authority. In contrast, Israel criticized the plan, arguing it failed to address the realities after the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas and ignored Israel’s perspective. The White House also dismissed the plan, with National Security Council spokesperson Brian Hughes arguing it did not consider Gaza’s current uninhabitable state. Trump, however, reaffirmed his vision of rebuilding Gaza free from Hamas.
Attack on Iran Prospects Grow as US Q-4 Spy Drone Tracked in Near Iranian Coast
A U.S. MQ-4C reconnaissance drone was tracked flying close to Iranian airspace near the southern border, according to flight data from FlightRadar24. This move is part of the U.S.'s increased reconnaissance operations near Iran amidst growing regional tensions between Iran and Israel. On March 3, the MQ-4C Triton drone, departing from the UAE, flew near Iran’s Kish Island, home to several Iranian naval bases, before disappearing from radar after about 12 hours in flight. The U.S. has ramped up military presence in the region, including previous B-52 bomber flyovers, signaling pressure on Tehran amid ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program. While President Trump's administration focuses on diplomatic negotiations to halt Iran's uranium enrichment, the heightened U.S. military presence raises concerns of potential escalation. This follows a history of confrontations, such as the 2019 downing of an MQ-4C by Iran. Despite Iran initially signaling interest in negotiations, Supreme Leader Khamenei rejected talks, while Trump has escalated sanctions to increase pressure.
United States Gets Waring from Iran
Iran has warned of a firm response if the U.S. imposes further demands over its nuclear program. Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi emphasized that "every action compels a reaction," following U.S. President Donald Trump's letter to Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, which mixed diplomatic outreach with economic sanctions. Tensions have been escalating since Trump launched a "maximum pressure" campaign to force Iran to renegotiate its nuclear program. Iranian officials rejected the letter, accusing the U.S. of "bullying" and asserting they would not negotiate under pressure. Iran has ramped up uranium production, nearing weapons-grade levels, as reported by the International Atomic Energy Agency. The U.S. has suggested military action against Iran if its nuclear ambitions are not curtailed, though Trump expressed a preference for diplomacy. Araghchi reiterated that Iran’s nuclear program is peaceful and rejected any talks under coercion, stressing negotiations with the E3, Russia, and China, aiming for transparency and the lifting of sanctions. The U.N. Security Council is set to discuss Iran's nuclear activities soon.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
19 of 31 M1A1 Abrams Tanks Sent to Ukraine by US have been Destroyed by Russian Drones
Nineteen of the 31 U.S.-supplied M1A1 Abrams tanks sent to Ukraine have been destroyed or disabled by Russian kamikaze drones, particularly first-person-view (FPV) models. These drones targeted weaker points on the tanks, such as the upper turret armor and sides, using PG-7VL warheads and grenades, which successfully penetrated the armor. This shift toward drone-centric warfare has made the third year of conflict in Ukraine significantly more deadly, with drone strikes accounting for about 70% of battlefield casualties. Drones are increasingly responsible for armored vehicle losses, and Ukraine has had to withdraw its remaining Abrams tanks from the front lines. Both Russia and Ukraine are ramping up drone production, with Ukraine reporting over one million FPV drones in 2024 and Russia producing 4,000 daily. Additionally, both sides are advancing electronic warfare technologies, including jammers and fiber-optic drones resistant to interference. NATO is also training Ukrainian forces in drone tactics, while Ukraine is exploring laser weapons to counter low-flying drones, highlighting the growing significance of drones in modern military strategies.
Ukraine Intelligence Claims Russia Plans to Launch 500 Drones a Day Toward Ukraine
Russia plans to escalate its use of drones in attacks against Ukraine, with a goal of launching at least 500 drones per aerial assault, according to Vadym Skibitskyi, deputy head of Ukraine's military intelligence agency (HUR). Currently, Russia launches 150 to 200 drones per attack daily but intends to increase both the number of drones and the launch sites. Russia has ramped up domestic drone production, utilizing a mix of combat, reconnaissance, and "decoy" drones, which are difficult for Ukraine's air defense systems to distinguish from real threats. Skibitskyi highlighted that the sheer volume of drones, especially with a diverse range of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) now in use, complicates Ukraine’s defense efforts. Russia is also creating an unmanned systems branch within its military, aiming to recruit up to 210,000 personnel by 2030. Meanwhile, Ukraine has expanded its own drone capabilities, including a new long-range drone capable of traveling up to 2,000 kilometers and carrying a 250-kilogram bomb, enhancing its reconnaissance and strike capabilities.
Moscow Sees Significant Ukrainian Drone Attack, Civilian Buildings Hit and Airports Close
A large-scale Ukrainian drone attack targeted Moscow and its surrounding region early Tuesday, causing fires, damaging buildings, and disrupting major airports. Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin and Governor Andrei Vorobyov described it as the largest drone assault on the Russian capital since the war began. Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed to have intercepted 337 UAVs overnight, including 91 over Moscow and 126 over Kursk. The attack, which began around 3 a.m. local time, resulted in one death and three injuries in Leninsky and Domodedovo. Drone debris damaged an apartment complex in Ramenskoye and a residential building in Vidne. Airports in Moscow, Yaroslavl, and Nizhny Novgorod saw temporary flight suspensions, while train services near Domodedovo were briefly halted. Russian air defenses, including Pantsir-S1 systems and electronic warfare units, engaged the UAVs. The Russian Investigative Committee launched a terrorism probe, but Moscow’s central areas remained calm. The strike coincided with U.S.-Ukraine talks in Saudi Arabia, where Ukrainian officials are meeting American diplomats for potential peace discussions.
Ukraine is Reportedly Out of US Long-Range ATACMS
As of May 12, Ukraine has run out of long-range Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS), according to unnamed U.S. and Ukrainian officials. This development follows a temporary halt in U.S. military aid in early March, which was lifted after discussions between Ukrainian delegates and U.S. representatives in Saudi Arabia on March 11. ATACMS, U.S.-supplied ballistic missiles with a range of up to 300 kilometers, were provided to Ukraine in late 2023 and early 2024, following a policy shift by President Joe Biden allowing their use against Russian military targets. Despite receiving fewer than 40 ATACMS, Ukraine exhausted its supply by January 2025. This shortage follows earlier reports indicating Ukraine's limited use of these missiles, especially after Biden's policy change permitted strikes on Russian airfields and military facilities. The resumption of U.S. weapons deliveries came after a freeze, which followed a dispute between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire during the resumption of aid, contingent on Moscow’s compliance.
INDO-PACIFIC
We're ‘Ready’ for Any ‘Type of War’ with US Says China After Trump Tariffs Double
In response to President Donald Trump’s decision to impose higher tariffs on Chinese imports, China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Lin Jian declared that the country was “ready” for “any type of war” and would “fight till the end.” Trump doubled tariffs on Chinese goods from 10% to 20%, citing concerns over fentanyl trafficking, while 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico also went into effect. Lin dismissed the claim that China was responsible for the U.S. fentanyl crisis, arguing that the U.S. was at fault and that China had already taken steps to address the issue. He warned that if the U.S. wanted war—whether in tariffs, trade, or another form—China was prepared to confront it. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth stated that while the U.S. desires peace, it is ready for conflict with China and is rebuilding its military for deterrence. In retaliation, China imposed tariffs on U.S. food imports and halted sales to 15 American companies. Trump emphasized the need for tariffs to pressure neighboring countries to curb drug trafficking and immigration.
Sec Def Hegseth Claims US is ‘Prepared’ for War with China as Trade War Kicks Off
Secretary of Defense Peter Hegseth has emphasized the need for the U.S. to prepare for potential conflict, particularly amid rising tensions with China. His comments followed the implementation of a series of aggressive tariffs by President Donald Trump, aimed at pressuring China, Mexico, and Canada over their failure to halt illegal immigration and curb the flow of drugs like fentanyl into the U.S. On March 4, a 10 percent tariff was added to all imports from China, bringing the total tariff on Chinese goods to 20 percent. In retaliation, China imposed its own tariffs, targeting U.S. goods such as coal, natural gas, and agricultural products, while also adding 15 U.S. companies to its export control list. China responded with a warning, declaring its readiness to fight a tariff or trade war if necessary. Hegseth, in turn, affirmed that the U.S. must be strong and prepared for war, particularly in light of China’s growing military capabilities and ideological differences. His remarks underscored the importance of military readiness and deterrence.
GEOPOLITICS
Day After UK and Ukraine Sign $2.85BN Military Support Deal, Brit PM Announces Ukraine ‘Ceasefire Plan’
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced that the U.K., France, and potentially one or two other nations will collaborate on a ceasefire plan to end the Ukraine-Russia war, emphasizing that the initiative prioritizes European security and Ukraine’s best interests. The announcement follows a £2.26 billion ($2.85 billion) U.K. loan deal with Ukraine for defense purchases, despite tensions between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump over a minerals-for-arms deal. Starmer confirmed that the U.K. and France are leading ceasefire discussions and will later engage with the U.S., suggesting a “coalition of the willing” is forming to address the conflict. Alongside the ceasefire efforts, Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron are also developing broader European security measures. The long-term U.K. loan to Ukraine, signed by Ukrainian Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko and British Treasury head Rachel Reeves, will be repaid using profits from frozen Russian sovereign assets and will fund Ukraine’s defense and weapons production. The agreement underscores continued British commitment to Ukraine’s military resilience.
EU Spends Less on Defending Ukraine than Buying Russian Oil According to Trump
On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Europe for spending more on Russian oil and gas than on defending Ukraine against Russia. He highlighted that EU member states spent €21.9 billion on Russian energy in the third year of the war, surpassing the €18.7 billion allocated to Ukraine in financial aid for 2024. Trump made this statement on Truth Social, emphasizing the disparity in Europe's financial priorities. Reports also indicated that Trump had paused military aid to Ukraine after a clash with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Oval Office, as Trump sought a quick resolution to the war. In contrast, Zelenskyy has pushed for security guarantees. Meanwhile, European leaders are working on presenting their own peace plans, and the EU announced an €800 billion ReArm Europe initiative to increase defense spending and provide urgent support for Ukraine.
Zelensky Changes Tune, Clash with Trump “Regrettable”, “Time to Make Things Right”
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called his recent clash with U.S. President Donald Trump "regrettable" and expressed readiness to work under Trump's leadership, stating it was "time to make things right." His remarks came after Washington paused military aid to Kyiv, following a tense meeting between Zelensky, Trump, and Vice President JD Vance that ended in public acrimony. Zelensky acknowledged the meeting at the White House on Friday did not go as intended and emphasized his commitment to securing a lasting peace. His conciliatory tone suggests an effort to mend relations with the U.S. administration amid Ukraine’s ongoing struggle for military support...but yet again at the 11th hour, Zelensky has decided he is not going to sign on to the agreement. As a result, President Trump has gone scorched earth, cutting off weapons and intelligence along with plans to revoke the legal status of 240,000 Ukrainians.
Weapons Aid Flights to Ukraine from US Turned Around Midflight
Following a tense confrontation between President Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Ukrainian President Zelensky over allegations of ingratitude, the White House announced the suspension of military aid to Ukraine. The halt, confirmed by the Pentagon, took immediate effect on Monday evening, with U.S. weapons shipments to Ukraine ceasing abruptly. Planes en route to deliver supplies were ordered to turn back mid-flight. It was unclear if direct contracts between Ukraine and U.S. weapons manufacturers, funded through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, would be impacted, though a significant portion of the allocated $21.2 billion fund remained unused. While some speculated that Trump would unveil a minerals deal with Ukraine during his Tuesday night address, he only referenced Zelensky’s vague interest in such an agreement. The decision has sparked panic among Democrats, with Senator Jeanne Shaheen criticizing the move as dangerous and shameful, urging a reversal. Additionally, the White House suspended intelligence-sharing with Ukraine, further escalating tensions in Washington’s relationship with Kiev.
All Intelligence Sharing with Ukraine Paused by US
The US has paused intelligence sharing with Ukraine following a significant breakdown in relations between Kyiv and Washington. This came after a public confrontation between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Donald Trump in the Oval Office, which was followed by the suspension of vital US military aid to Ukraine. CIA Director John Ratcliffe confirmed that both military and intelligence support had been temporarily halted, with Trump questioning Zelensky's commitment to the peace process. US intelligence plays a crucial role in Ukraine’s defense against Russia, and the suspension has shocked many Ukrainians. National Security Advisor Mike Waltz stated that the US is reviewing its relationship with Ukraine. Despite the tension, Zelensky has expressed regret over the fallout, seeking to repair ties with Trump, who read a letter from Zelensky to the US Congress offering to negotiate with Russia for peace. The US government expects to resume cooperation with Ukraine once the situation is resolved.
240K Ukrainian Refugees Could See Legal Status Revoked by Trump Administration
The Trump Administration is planning to revoke the temporary legal status of 240,000 Ukrainians who fled Russia's war, potentially leading to fast-tracked deportations as early as April. This decision is part of a broader effort to roll back protections extended to migrants under President Joe Biden, including the 1.8 million individuals granted temporary status. The move follows Trump’s hardline stance on immigration and his goal to increase border security and expedite deportations, a focus he initiated with multiple executive orders in his first week in office. The revocation would be a significant shift from Biden’s welcoming stance toward Ukrainians fleeing the war. The Trump Administration’s decision is facing legal challenges, as a lawsuit aims to restore humanitarian parole programs that allowed migrants from various countries, including Ukraine, to enter the U.S. The decision has sparked political opposition, with a poll showing 55% of voters supporting such immigration policies, although many anticipate legal battles over this and broader immigration policies.
French PM Macron Proposes Nuclear Umbrella Extension and Troop Deployment to Ukraine
French President Emmanuel Macron announced plans to discuss extending France’s nuclear deterrent to European allies and raised the possibility of deploying European troops to Ukraine to enforce a future peace deal. His remarks come as Europe reassesses its security strategy following Donald Trump’s policy shifts, including a reversal of U.S. support for Ukraine. Macron warned that Russia poses a long-term threat to France and Europe, arguing that “peace cannot be agreed at any cost” and must be enforced to prevent further Russian aggression. He emphasized that European forces, if deployed, would not engage in combat but would ensure compliance with a potential peace agreement. Macron also called for increased European defense spending and responded to German Chancellor-elect Friedrich Merz’s call for “nuclear sharing” discussions. Amid tensions with Washington, he criticized Trump’s planned tariffs on European products and is considering a joint visit to the U.S. with U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Ukrainian President Zelensky. Macron’s comments reflect growing European unease over U.S. foreign policy and Russia’s ambitions.
Peace Talks Between US and Ukraine Underway in Saudi Arabia
U.S. and Ukrainian delegations met in Jeddah on Tuesday to discuss potential peace prospects with Russia. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha attended the talks alongside Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan. Ukraine is expected to propose a partial ceasefire plan to regain Washington’s support amid recent tensions, including a clash between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump. On Sunday, Trump stated that Ukraine must show a willingness for peace, while Zelenskyy reiterated on Monday that Ukraine has sought peace since the war began, blaming Russia for its continuation. Russia, which launched its military offensive on Feb. 24, 2022, demands Ukraine abandon aspirations to join Western military alliances as a condition for peace, a stance Kyiv rejects as an infringement on its sovereignty. The Jeddah talks mark an effort to strengthen U.S.-Ukraine relations and explore diplomatic solutions, though the feasibility of a ceasefire remains uncertain amid ongoing hostilities and geopolitical tensions.
Trump Admin Tells Zelensky He Must Prepare Elections and Cede Territory to End War
The Trump White House is conditioning the resumption of U.S. military aid and intelligence sharing to Ukraine on President Volodymyr Zelenskyy planning elections or considering stepping down, according to a new NBC report. Secretary of State Marco Rubio further stated that Ukraine must cede territory, particularly areas Russia has controlled since 2014, as part of any agreement to end the war. As American and Ukrainian officials meet in Saudi Arabia, the issue of elections in Ukraine, suspended under martial law, is gaining prominence. Rubio emphasized the need for Ukraine to show willingness to make difficult concessions for peace. While there is growing recognition in Washington that Ukraine may not recover territories annexed by Russia, the issue of Crimea remains a major sticking point. Zelenskyy's term expired in May 2024, but the Ukrainian parliament reaffirmed his mandate amid wartime conditions. Trump has criticized Zelenskyy, calling him a "dictator" for canceling elections. Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine continue drone attacks on critical energy infrastructure, with Ukraine facing setbacks in the war of attrition.
Terms for Total Ceasefire with Russia Reached Between US and Ukraine
The U.S. and Ukraine have reached a ceasefire agreement in principle, marking a significant step toward ending the three-year war. The agreement, announced by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, involves a 30-day ceasefire that could be extended based on mutual agreement, contingent on Russia’s acceptance. In exchange, the U.S. will resume intelligence sharing and security assistance to Ukraine, which had been paused last week. The peace talks took place in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, after deteriorating U.S.-Ukraine relations. Both Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to finalize a comprehensive deal that would develop Ukraine’s mineral resources, boosting its economy and ensuring long-term security. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that the ball is now in Russia’s court, as the U.S. will present the ceasefire proposal to Moscow. The agreement suggests that Ukraine may have to concede territory, though specific conditions are unclear. While the deal represents progress, there is still uncertainty about its implementation and the prospect of lasting peace.
US Envoy in Moscow for Ceasefire Talks with Ukraine
President Donald Trump expressed optimism Wednesday about securing a ceasefire in Ukraine as U.S. negotiators headed to Moscow, with Washington seeking an unconditional halt to hostilities. The Kremlin awaited details of the U.S.-Ukrainian proposal but gave no indication of readiness to stop the war. Meanwhile, President Vladimir Putin visited Russian troops making gains against Ukrainian forces in Kursk. Trump confirmed that envoy Steve Witkoff would mediate in Moscow, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that Russia must accept the ceasefire without conditions. The U.S. warned of “devastating” sanctions if Russia refused, though Trump hoped they wouldn’t be necessary. In Kyiv, President Volodymyr Zelensky welcomed U.S. pressure on Moscow but remained skeptical, saying, “None of us trust the Russians.” The diplomatic push followed Trump’s recent expulsion of Zelensky from the White House and a temporary halt of U.S. aid, which resumed after Tuesday’s truce proposal in Saudi Arabia. On the battlefield, Russia reclaimed lost territory, with Putin vowing to fully "liberate" Kursk, while Ukraine repositioned forces in response.