MID-NOVEMBER SITREP SUPPORT
LEAD STORIES
US Capitol Now Surrounded by New Fencing in Case of Violence After the Election
Ahead of Election Day, security fencing has been erected around key locations in Washington, D.C., including the U.S. Capitol, the White House, and Vice President Kamala Harris’ residence. The new fencing, which is eight feet high, was installed to prepare for any potential political unrest related to the presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump. Despite law enforcement officials stating that there are no credible threats and describing the situation as calm, the U.S. Secret Service implemented these security measures as a precautionary step. Additional barriers with "Police Line: Do not cross" signs have also been reinstalled. The Secret Service is coordinating with federal, state, and local authorities to ensure Election Day safety in both Washington and at the West Palm Beach convention center, where Trump is expected to host an election watch party. Approximately 3,300 D.C. police officers will work extended shifts, while business and property owners in the area have increased private security to mitigate risks of rioting or looting following the election.
Nation Guard Put on Standby in Multiple States in Case of Election Violence
Governors from Washington, Nevada, and Oregon are taking precautions against potential civil unrest during and after the upcoming Election Day, prompted by warnings from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) regarding threats of violence from domestic extremists. Washington Governor Jay Inslee and Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo have activated National Guard members to support local law enforcement, while Oregon Governor Tina Kotek’s Guardsmen are on standby, trained for deployment if needed. A joint DHS and FBI bulletin highlighted concerns about extremists targeting voting locations and political events. Recent incidents, such as a shooting at a Democratic National Committee office in Arizona and ballot box fires in Oregon and Washington, underscore these threats. Inslee directed the Washington National Guard to provide support for public safety and election infrastructure, while Lombardo announced the activation of 60 National Guard members in key areas for tasks like traffic enforcement and building security. Although some officials express concerns about potential violence, experts believe any unrest is more likely to occur after Election Day, emphasizing the importance of voting without intimidation.
US Economy Only Added 12,000 Jobs in the Month of October in Final Jobs Report Before the Election
The October jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed a mere addition of 12,000 jobs, marking the weakest monthly gain since the pandemic's onset in December 2020. This figure significantly underperformed expectations of 112,500 new jobs and was a drop from September's revised total of 223,000. The report noted that the disappointing numbers were influenced by two major hurricanes and labor strikes, complicating the interpretation of the labor market's health. Despite this, the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.1%, suggesting a degree of resilience in the job market. Economists cautioned that the data might be distorted due to the challenges of data collection in affected regions, with a response rate of only 47.4%, the lowest since 1991. Job losses were most pronounced in temporary help services, professional and business services, and manufacturing due to strike activity. While wage growth showed a slight increase of 0.4%, overall, the labor market appears to be softening, with some indicators suggesting a need for caution as the economy approaches the upcoming election.
Trump Wins, One of the Greatest Comebacks in American History
Former President Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, marking the first time since Grover Cleveland's wins in 1884 and 1892 that a candidate has reclaimed the Oval Office after losing a re-election bid. Trump secured a critical victory in Pennsylvania, one of the key "blue wall" states he also won in 2016, ensuring he reached the necessary 270 electoral votes. Despite Vice President Kamala Harris performing well with female voters, she struggled to energize urban and young voters, failing to hold off the Republican surge in suburban and rural areas. Though ballots were still being counted and control of Congress was uncertain, Trump’s victory was declared earlier than expected. Projections even suggested he could win the national popular vote, especially with strong support in California. In a historic political comeback, Trump overcame numerous legal battles, media bias, and other challenges. Harris, who became the Democratic candidate after Biden’s early exit, failed to win a primary vote and fell short of the presidency, marking her as the second female candidate to do so. Trump now heads into his second term with a renewed mandate.
Anti-Trump Radical Left Protest Erupt Near Trump Hotel in Chicago
In the aftermath of President-elect Donald Trump's sweeping election victory and notable gains in states like Illinois, protests erupted outside Trump Hotel in Chicago, reportedly well-organized and planned before the election. Demonstrators, numbering in the hundreds or thousands, carried signs and chanted slogans labeling Trump as "fascist" and "racist," echoing rhetoric used during the Harris-Walz campaign. Far-left activist Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez took to social media to emphasize the importance of mobilizing against perceived authoritarianism, which critics interpreted as a call to action for further protests. Concerns emerged that these demonstrations are linked to nonprofit organizations funded by wealthy leftist donors, aiming to use coordinated activism as a tool for social change. Analysts suggest this approach may not find the same tolerance under Trump's administration, nor with a public increasingly weary of disruptive demonstrations. This shift signals a political realignment prioritizing law and order over progressive policies seen by critics as harmful to societal stability, reshaping the Overton Window towards more centrist views and security-focused discourse.
Where did 20 Million Votes Go?
As vote counting for the 2024 U.S. presidential election continues, Donald Trump’s significant lead highlights a major underperformance by Kamala Harris compared to Joe Biden’s 2020 results. While Biden received over 81 million votes in 2020, Harris is currently trailing by a substantial margin, contributing to a nearly 20-million-vote deficit with 138 million total votes tallied so far. Trump has nearly matched his 2020 total, but Harris is falling notably short, especially on the West Coast, where she trails by over 800,000 votes in Washington (64% reporting), 400,000 in Oregon (73% reporting), and a staggering 5.5 million in California (58% reporting). Even if late counts narrow these gaps, Harris still risks being almost 2 million votes behind Biden's California total. Other states also show deficits: Harris lags in Texas, New York, Illinois, and Florida with high reporting percentages, and faces notable shortfalls in the Sunbelt and northern states like Maryland and New Jersey. While results will continue to evolve, the early numbers signal a tough night for Harris’s campaign.
Prosecutions Against Trump to Wind Down According to Biden-Harris DoJ
U.S. Justice Department officials are reportedly planning to wind down federal cases against President-elect Donald Trump before his inauguration in January, following his victory over Vice President Kamala Harris. NBC News sources indicated that the Justice Department’s decision aligns with its policy that a sitting president cannot be prosecuted. This move contrasts with the recent legal actions by Special Counsel Jack Smith, who pursued an election interference case against Trump. Justice Department officials, citing a 2000 Office of Legal Counsel memo, believe there is insufficient time to continue prosecution before Trump takes office. The memo argues that investigating or prosecuting a sitting president would violate the separation of powers and disrupt the executive branch's functioning, suggesting impeachment is the proper process for addressing a sitting president’s actions. Trump campaign spokesman Steven Chung responded to the news, claiming that the American people have re-elected Trump with a mandate to end what he described as the “weaponization” of the justice system and unify the country.
Day 1 Trump Agenda to Include Immigration, Foreign Policy, and Energy
President-elect Trump is preparing for immediate action upon taking office, with significant plans for immigration, energy, foreign policy, and social issues. He aims to aggressively address immigration by reinstating border policies and launching a massive deportation operation, particularly targeting those with criminal records. Trump's energy policy will focus on increasing oil production, rolling back Biden-era environmental regulations, and halting windmill projects, while potentially withdrawing from the Paris Climate Accords. In foreign policy, Trump intends to prioritize America's interests, including ending the war in Ukraine and reassessing NATO commitments. On domestic issues, he has promised to reverse Biden’s policies on transgender protections and equity, particularly in education, and reinstate previous executive orders against what he calls "transgender insanity" and critical race theory. Trump also plans to fire special counsel Jack Smith, oversee pardons for January 6 offenders, and address legal actions against Democratic prosecutors. With a bold agenda, Trump is set to use executive power to enact major changes from day one.
DC RINOs are Vying for the Chance to Control Trump’s Presidential Term
Republicans gained control of the U.S. Senate, but the party’s direction hinges on an upcoming anonymous vote for Senate Majority Leader. Three contenders—Senators John Cornyn (TX), Rick Scott (FL), and John Thune (SD)—are vying for the role that will significantly influence President-elect Donald Trump's term, impacting cabinet appointments and legislative priorities. Cornyn, viewed as an establishment figure tied to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, faces grassroots criticism for positions on issues like immigration and gun control. Thune, an anti-Trump Republican, previously endorsed trade-friendly policies and supported immigration measures like DACA. Scott, a Trump ally, has shifted on gun control since supporting "Red Flag" laws as Florida’s governor and is backed by figures within Trump’s circle. Internal Republican tensions surfaced after a leaked whip count, with Thune reportedly leading, sparking backlash and concerns over online pressure campaigns. The leadership vote, taking place Wednesday, carries critical implications for advancing Trump’s agenda, determining whether the Senate will align with the administration's populist, conservative priorities or maintain a more traditional GOP approach.
Senate Majority Race Heats Up: Neocons vs. MAGA
The Senate is set to vote Wednesday to elect its next leader after Mitch McConnell (R-KY) steps down. The top contenders are neoconservative Senators John Cornyn (R-TX), John Thune (R-TX), and Trump ally Rick Scott (R-FL), with Scott receiving overwhelming support in a poll conducted by Elon Musk on X. Trump endorsed Scott, stressing that the next Senate leader must prioritize timely confirmations through recess appointments, as delays in approving key positions have caused significant setbacks. Trump also warned against confirming judges during this period to prevent Democrats from pushing through their appointments while Republicans are divided over leadership. Thune, who has recently distanced himself from Trump, emphasized the need to swiftly confirm cabinet members and other nominees to fulfill the party's mandate, signaling openness to recess appointments. However, both Thune and Cornyn have previously criticized Trump, suggesting potential tensions despite their shared Republican affiliation. The leadership election marks a crucial moment in shaping the direction of the party's control in the Senate.
Haley and Pompeo get the Cold Shoulder from President-Elect Trump
President-elect Donald Trump announced on Saturday that he would not offer cabinet positions to his former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, signaling the importance of loyalty in his second administration. Trump praised their service but indicated that their wavering loyalty and political ambitions played a role in his decision. Haley, who ran against Trump for the 2024 presidential nomination, did not campaign alongside him, despite offering to do so. Pompeo, who had been a contender for Defense Secretary, was reportedly blocked from the position by Trump’s inner circle, including his son, Donald Trump Jr., and former Fox News host Tucker Carlson. Trump’s team expressed concerns about appointing individuals with presidential ambitions to cabinet positions, especially after Pompeo’s earlier flirtation with a presidential run. Other figures, such as Rep. Michael Waltz and Rep. Mike Rogers, are now emerging as top contenders for the Defense Secretary role. Both Haley and Pompeo have expressed their support for Trump, with Haley wishing him success in his second term.
Trump Appoints Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence
President-elect Donald Trump has chosen Tulsi Gabbard, a former Congresswoman and Lieutenant Colonel, as Director of National Intelligence (DNI). Gabbard, who endorsed Trump in August 2024 and joined the Republican Party in October, has a storied career marked by bipartisan appeal and military service. A four-term Congresswoman and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate, Gabbard has served in the U.S. Army Reserve with three deployments to the Middle East and Africa. Her background includes early legislative work in Hawaii, deployment as a medical unit member post-9/11, and service as a platoon leader. In Congress, she contributed to Armed Services, Homeland Security, and Foreign Affairs Committees. Known for her independent stance, Gabbard left the Democratic Party in 2022, emphasizing loyalty to country over party. Her 2024 bestseller *For Love of Country* reinforced her shift toward Trump’s vision. Gabbard’s appointment, needing Senate approval, signals a significant shake-up likely to challenge entrenched intelligence officials, reflecting her reputation as an advocate for transparency and constitutional rights. The move is poised to stir political contention among Democrats and intelligence community insiders.
Gaetz Resigns 'Effective Immediately' Following Trump's Attorney General Nomination; DC Reacts with Intense Concern
House Speaker Mike Johnson announced that Rep. Matt Gaetz has resigned from Congress effective immediately, a move that reportedly caught many by surprise. Johnson explained that Gaetz’s decision allows Florida to fill his seat within an eight-week period, aligning with state law. Johnson has already initiated discussions with Governor Ron DeSantis, currently in Italy, to expedite the process so that the seat could potentially be filled by January 3, coinciding with the new Congress’s oath of office. This resignation comes as President-elect Donald Trump nominated Gaetz for Attorney General, praising him as a "deeply gifted and tenacious attorney" who has demonstrated commitment to reforming the Department of Justice. Gaetz, a graduate of William & Mary College of Law, expressed his excitement on social media, stating it would be an honor to serve in this capacity. The nomination has generated significant reaction in Washington, highlighting Gaetz’s controversial reputation and commitment to challenging the political establishment. Notably, El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele has voiced support for Gaetz, amplifying the international attention surrounding the appointment.
John Bolton Calls for FBI Investigation into Tulsi Gabbard and Matt Gaetz: 'Serious Threat'
Former National Security Advisor John Bolton has called for FBI field investigations into Rep. Matt Gaetz and Tulsi Gabbard before their Senate confirmation hearings for Attorney General and Director of National Intelligence (DNI), respectively. Bolton, a critic of former President Trump despite serving in his administration, made these remarks in an interview with NewsNation following the announcement of the nominations. He argued that such investigations are necessary, especially citing Gabbard’s history of promoting what he described as "Russian propaganda," which he views as a national security threat. Bolton criticized Trump’s appointments, calling them some of the worst in modern American history and questioning the message they send to adversaries like China. Gabbard, a former Democratic Congresswoman and vice-chair of the DNC, joined the Republican Party in October 2024. Gaetz, who has faced past Justice Department scrutiny for alleged federal sex trafficking violations, which concluded without charges, has been praised by Trump for his legal acumen and commitment to Department of Justice reform. Bolton’s comments underscore ongoing Republican divisions and concerns over Trump's cabinet choices.
Donald Trump and Pete Hegseth Fuel Concerns Over Potential 'Woke' General Purge
President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of Fox News host Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense and consideration of a “warrior board” to review senior military officers for dismissal signal a significant shift in military policy, sparking concerns across defense circles. Critics, including former officials like John Bolton and Leon Panetta, warn that this approach risks politicizing the military and undermining its merit-based structure. Hegseth, known for opposing "woke" policies, has advocated for purging leaders who support diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives. This aligns with Trump’s campaign promises to eliminate “woke” leadership from the military. Experts such as Richard Kohn and Gene Moran argue that such measures could damage recruitment, retention, and morale, potentially harming the military's operational effectiveness amid global challenges. Democratic lawmakers, including Reps. Jason Crow and Betty McCollum, have criticized Hegseth’s nomination due to his lack of experience and controversial views. While the Senate oversees military promotions, Trump’s plan to restructure the command could lead to a shake-up of high-ranking officers, drawing scrutiny for its potential long-term impact.
BARR: The Deep State is in Serious Trouble Thanks to Trump
Following a resounding electoral win on Nov. 5, President-elect Donald Trump is preparing for substantial changes to the federal government, reminiscent of Ronald Reagan's first term but marked by unprecedented resistance. Unlike Reagan's smoother transition after his 1980 victory, Trump's campaign was beset by intense opposition, starting even before Joe Biden's presidency began in 2021. Democrats and some moderate Republicans have struggled to accept Trump's victory, echoing reactions to his 2016 win. Despite facing challenges from a Democrat-majority Senate and strong bureaucratic opposition, Trump achieved notable successes in his first term, including judicial appointments, bolstering the energy sector, addressing illegal immigration, and reinforcing the economy. Biden's term, defined by policy reversals and economic inflation, inadvertently set the stage for Trump's 2024 campaign to dominate the political narrative. Legal challenges spearheaded by Attorney General Merrick Garland and state prosecutors only solidified Trump's base by portraying him as a victim of partisan overreach. This strategy culminated in a historic GOP victory that left the so-called "Deep State" facing significant challenges.
BORDER CRISIS
In an Effort to Bypass Southern Border, Biden-Harris Admin Spent $80 Million to Help Illegals
A report from the Republican-controlled Judiciary subcommittee has revealed that the Biden-Harris administration has spent over $80 million on the 2023 Safe Mobility Initiative, which assists Central and South American migrants in entering the U.S. without passing through the Southern Border. The initiative collaborates with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) to facilitate alternatives to border crossings, aiming to minimize the risks associated with migration. Congressional Republicans criticized the program for enabling foreign nationals to bypass traditional entry points, stating that it effectively fast-tracks their resettlement while avoiding the political fallout of visible border crossings. The Safe Mobility Offices (SMOs) in 13 cities across Guatemala, Costa Rica, Colombia, and Ecuador allow migrants to consult with UN and International Organization for Migration (IOM) staff regarding various resettlement options, including family reunification and labor pathways. The report highlighted that more than 18,000 migrants have resettled through this initiative, with an additional 67,000 referred to the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program. It also noted that only 14 percent of IOM staff involved are U.S. citizens, raising concerns about the use of taxpayer dollars to fund foreign national employees advising other migrants.
Just Before the Election, Illegal Migrant Arrests at Border Jump to 58K
A recent Border Patrol report reveals that migrant arrests at the U.S. borders surged to over 58,000 in October, marking the largest monthly total since August when approximately 60,000 migrants were apprehended. This figure represents an increase from nearly 56,000 arrests in September. In the last fiscal year, Border Patrol averaged around 130,000 arrests per month, with nearly 57,000 of October's apprehensions occurring at the southwest U.S.-Mexican border. The San Diego Sector led the nation in arrests, with over 14,000 migrants detained, followed by the Tucson and El Paso Sectors. Concerns have also been raised regarding "Special Interest Aliens," migrants from countries with terrorist ties; a leaked report indicated that 124 Iranian Special Interest Aliens were arrested in October. Agents reported an alarming rise in unaccompanied minors, with recent incidents highlighting the dangers faced by these children, including four who were found abandoned on a raft in the Rio Grande. Overall, agents expressed a growing sense of crisis at the border, particularly as the 2024 Presidential Election approaches.
After Trump Win, Canada Preps for ‘Massive Influx’ of Migrants Fleeing US
Quebec Premier Francois Legault urged swift action to secure Canada's borders following Donald Trump's U.S. presidential win, warning of a potential “massive influx” of migrants due to Trump's campaign promise to deport millions of undocumented immigrants. Trump indicated plans to remove up to one million migrants annually, raising concerns for Quebec, which borders four northeastern U.S. states. Legault emphasized that the issue was not with immigrants themselves but with managing numbers, calling on the federal government to protect Canada’s borders. Canada’s national police force, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), noted it had developed contingency plans involving heightened border surveillance to address potential surges in migration, anticipating such policies under a Trump administration. RCMP Sergeant Charles Poirier confirmed proactive measures had begun months prior. Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland sought to reassure Canadians, emphasizing the government’s commitment to border security and control, expressing confidence in the Trudeau administration’s ability to manage any such challenges effectively and maintain the integrity of the nation's borders.
Flight Attendant Injured by Gunfire as Sprit Airline Flight Hit While trying to Land in Haiti
A Spirit Airlines flight from Fort Lauderdale to Port-au-Prince, Haiti, was struck by gunfire during its landing attempt on Monday, injuring a flight attendant and prompting an emergency diversion to the Dominican Republic. The aircraft, Flight 951, was targeted as it neared Toussaint Louverture International Airport, resulting in minor injuries to a crew member, although passengers remained unharmed. The plane was diverted to Cibao International Airport in Santiago, where damage consistent with gunfire was confirmed. Following the incident, the plane was taken out of service, and all flights from Port-au-Prince were grounded amid ongoing gang violence. Spirit Airlines announced the suspension of services to Port-au-Prince and Cap-Haitien pending further review, prioritizing the safety of passengers and crew. This shooting incident comes shortly after a United Nations helicopter, operated by the World Food Program, was also hit by gunfire in Port-au-Prince in October. Although no injuries occurred in that event, images showed at least eight bullet holes in the helicopter's fuselage and damage to its rotor system.
BOHICA!
Another $425 Million in Hard-Earned Taxpayer Money Going to Ukraine
The United States announced an additional $425 million in military aid for Ukraine on Friday, following reports that thousands of North Korean troops may soon engage in combat against Ukrainian forces. The Defense Department stated the package would address Ukraine’s critical needs, including air defense interceptors, rocket and artillery munitions, armored vehicles, and anti-tank weapons. Additional support includes air-to-ground munitions, medical supplies, and spare parts, all drawn from U.S. stockpiles. This comes after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken revealed that up to 8,000 of the 10,000 North Korean troops reportedly sent to Russia have been deployed in the Kursk region, near the Ukrainian border, with potential combat involvement expected soon. Ukrainian forces have been advancing in Kursk since August, controlling hundreds of square miles of Russian territory. This deepening Russia-North Korea alliance heightens concerns of further escalation in the conflict. The U.S., a primary military supporter of Ukraine, has now committed over $60 billion in security aid since the full-scale invasion began in February 2022.
A $6BN Ukraine Package Reportedly Being Readied by Biden Admin Before Trump Inauguration
Democratic President Joe Biden is reportedly attempting to expedite $6 billion in security assistance to Ukraine before former President Donald Trump’s expected return to the presidency. The move, aimed at sending munitions and equipment, is seen as a precaution to prevent Trump from halting the shipments once in office. The U.S. has been a significant backer of Ukraine since Russia’s 2022 invasion, though military aid has become a contentious issue in the presidential race, with many Republicans calling for the funds to be redirected to domestic needs. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed his ongoing commitment to U.S. leadership and cooperation, emphasizing the importance of "strong and unwavering" American support for achieving peace. Following Trump’s election victory, Zelenskyy reiterated his hope for collaboration based on the "peace through strength" approach. Trump has criticized Biden’s handling of the invasion, claiming it would not have occurred under his leadership and suggesting that, if re-elected, he could swiftly negotiate an end to the war and bring peace to Ukraine.
FEMA has no Immediate Plans to Use Oscoda-Wurtsmith Airport for a Staging Area
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) clarified on Monday that there are no immediate plans to use Oscoda-Wurtsmith Airport as a disaster response staging area, despite earlier concerns. In September, FEMA staff visited the former Air Force base to assess its potential for storing supplies in the event of a disaster, but no final decisions have been made. This follows an Oct. 28 statement by Oscoda Township Supervisor Bill Palmer, who mentioned FEMA's plans to use the site as a hub for emergency services and store large quantities of equipment there. FEMA responded by denying any plans to station trailers or equipment at the airport, attributing the confusion to a misunderstanding. The airport's administrator confirmed the visit was only to evaluate available space for future use, not to make immediate arrangements. Palmer, in turn, explained that his remarks about 350 semi-trailers were based on FEMA's inquiry about the airport’s capacity. The situation has led to concerns, including fears about the potential use of the site for housing undocumented immigrants.
US Deficit Soars: October Blowout Leads to 2nd Worst Start to Fiscal Year in History
In October 2024, the U.S. began fiscal 2025 with record-high spending of $584.2 billion, a 24.3% increase from the previous year and the largest outlay for the month of October. Key contributors to this spike included significant budget increases in Health and Human Services (up 12%) and Defense (up 13%), with health spending alone up $62 billion year-over-year. Tax receipts, however, dropped dramatically to $326.8 billion—a 19% decline from October 2023—leading to a $257.5 billion deficit, quadrupling the $66.6 billion deficit from the same month the previous year. While Treasury debt-servicing costs slightly decreased to $82 billion, overall interest on debt remains high, posing future risks as the total U.S. debt nears $36 trillion. This debt-to-GDP ratio has soared to 120% following significant spending under the Biden administration. Efforts by Donald Trump, involving Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, aim to cut spending, but proposed reductions face political hurdles, suggesting challenges in curbing the ballooning deficit without major upheaval.
WAR (and rumors of war)
US MILITARY
US Military Announces B-52s Arrive in Middle East
The U.S. deployed B-52 bombers from Minot Air Force Base to the Middle East, the U.S. Central Command confirmed Saturday, following Friday’s announcement of bolstered military assets in the region as a warning to Iran. This reinforcement includes bombers, fighter jets, tanker aircraft, and missile-defense destroyers. Pentagon spokesperson Major General Pat Ryder emphasized that the U.S. would defend its personnel and interests if Iran or its allies engage in hostile actions. This deployment comes amid heightened regional tensions after Israel's October 26 strikes on Iranian military infrastructure, sparing nuclear and oil sites. Iran’s supreme leader has vowed retaliation, escalating concerns of broader conflict. Earlier in 2024, Iran conducted two major attacks against Israel: one in April after a suspected Israeli strike on its consulate in Damascus, and another in October in response to the alleged assassination of leaders within Tehran-backed militant groups. The current U.S. deployment aims to deter further hostilities amid ongoing regional instability.
USAF Bomber Task Force to be Sent to Europe
The U.S. Air Force is preparing to deploy a task force of strategic bombers to Europe for training exercises with NATO allies, according to a recent announcement from U.S. Air Forces Europe-Air Forces Africa. The deployment, set to begin in the coming days and last several weeks, is part of a long-planned initiative aimed at reinforcing U.S. commitments to global security and regional stability. However, details regarding the number and type of bombers—B-1 Lancer, B-2 Spirit, or B-52 Stratofortress—and their specific European locations remain undisclosed due to operational security concerns. This deployment is one of two announced, with another involving B-52 bombers being sent to the Middle East alongside fighter jets and naval ships to deter Iran amid heightened tensions in the region. The ongoing conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine further underline the importance of such military readiness. Since 2018, the Air Force has employed a strategy of rotating bombers overseas rather than permanently stationing them, allowing for flexible training while minimizing vulnerability to attacks.
Iranian-Backed Militias in Syria Targeted by US Military Strikes
The U.S. military conducted airstrikes on nine targets at two locations in Syria on Monday, targeting Iranian-aligned militias that had launched attacks on U.S. personnel in the preceding 24 hours, according to U.S. Central Command. No U.S. personnel were injured in the attacks, but further details on the locations of the U.S. sites attacked or the specific targets struck in retaliation were not provided by the Pentagon. Approximately 900 U.S. personnel are stationed in Syria, primarily to support local forces in countering Islamic State militants. This attack follows a pattern of rising tensions since the October 7 Hamas assault on Israel, after which Iran-backed groups, often aligned with Hamas, have carried out rocket and drone attacks on U.S. bases in both Iraq and Syria. A similar retaliatory strike occurred in February following a drone attack in Jordan that killed three U.S. service members.
FORTRESS EUROPE
Early Elections Expected as German Coalition Government Collapses
Germany’s left-liberal coalition government fell apart as Chancellor Olaf Scholz dismissed Finance Minister Christian Lindner over budget and economic policy disputes. In a Berlin news conference, Scholz accused Lindner of obstructing budget compromises, citing a breach of trust and politically motivated actions focused on party interests rather than national needs. Scholz stressed that government members must act responsibly and be willing to compromise for all citizens, criticizing Lindner for prioritizing his party's survival over governance. Earlier, crisis talks involving the Social Democrats, Greens, and Free Democrats failed to reconcile differences on economic policies and investments. Following the coalition’s collapse, Scholz announced plans to engage with the main opposition, the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU), and called for a vote of confidence, aiming for early elections. The vote is set for January 15, allowing the Bundestag to determine whether to trigger elections, which could be scheduled by late March, adhering to constitutional deadlines. This political turmoil signals potential shifts in Germany's leadership and economic strategy.
German Draft Law Approved by Cabinet Shortly After Coalition Collapsed
Following the collapse of the German government and the looming threat of a snap election, Chancellor Olaf Scholz faces a confidence vote in January. Meanwhile, Germany's cabinet approved a draft law aimed at evaluating the readiness of 18-year-olds to serve in the Bundeswehr, its military force, in a bid to increase troop numbers without reintroducing conscription. The debate over conscription was sparked by the war in Ukraine and the need to bolster Germany's military for NATO commitments, as Russia’s aggression escalates. Germany currently maintains 180,000 soldiers but seeks to increase this to 203,000 by 2031 and boost its reserve force to 200,000. The new law would require all 18-year-olds—approximately 300,000 next year—to complete a digital survey on their interest in joining the military, while young women will also receive the survey but are not required to respond. This initiative mirrors a recent proposal in the UK, where Prime Minister Rishi Sunak suggested bringing back mandatory national service, a policy Britain abandoned over 60 years ago.
MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL
In Response to Israeli Attack, Iran Vows a ‘Measured and Calculated’ Retaliation Strike
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned on November 5, 2024, that the country would respond to Israel's October 26 attack in a "well-measured" and "well-calculated" manner. During a joint press briefing in Islamabad with his Pakistani counterpart Ishaq Dar, Araghchi asserted Iran's right to respond legitimately to Israeli strikes, which he characterized as violations of its sovereignty and international law. Israel had launched strikes targeting military bases across Iran, claiming these were in response to attacks from Iranian forces and their proxies. Araghchi condemned the "Zionist regime" for perpetuating terrorism and urged the international community to act against what he termed Israel's "genocide" of Palestinians. Both ministers agreed on a joint strategy to be presented at the upcoming Organization of Islamic Cooperation summit to address Israeli aggression and discussed enhancing trade and cooperation. Dar reiterated Pakistan's solidarity with Iran and condemned Israeli actions, emphasizing support for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital. The ongoing conflict has led to significant casualties in Gaza and Lebanon.
Houthis Rebels Claim to have Shot Down yet Another US Reaper Drone
Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed to have shot down an American MQ-9 Reaper drone on Friday, potentially marking the latest in a series of U.S. drone losses in the region. The U.S. military acknowledged circulating videos of a burning aircraft and debris in Yemen’s al-Jawf province but did not confirm the drone's type or provide further details, stating they were investigating the incident. The Houthis possess surface-to-air missiles, such as the Iranian-made 358, capable of downing high-altitude drones like the Reaper. The Houthis, supported by Iran, have targeted numerous merchant vessels since the Gaza conflict began in October 2023, including those with little to no connection to the Israeli-Hamas war. While the U.S. has intercepted some of these attacks, the Houthis have also targeted Western military ships. This marks another escalation in the ongoing conflict, as the Houthis maintain their aim of pressuring Israel’s allies through maritime disruption. Previous drone downings by the Houthis occurred in 2017, 2019, 2023, and now 2024.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
Russia Accuses US and UK of Planning to Sabotage Undersea Internet Cables
Nikolai Patrushev, a close ally of Vladimir Putin, has accused the U.S. and the U.K. of planning to sabotage underwater infrastructure, including internet cables and energy trade routes, to destabilize global markets and promote their economic interests. In a recent interview, Patrushev claimed that American and British special forces were behind the September 2022 attacks on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 gas pipelines, which are still under investigation. He suggested that NATO forces, rather than Ukraine, were responsible for such large-scale sabotage, noting that Ukraine lacked the capability to carry out deep-sea attacks. Patrushev further warned that future targets could include marine fiber-optic cables essential for global connectivity, which could be attacked to cause chaos in the global energy market. He also linked U.S. strikes against the Iranian-backed Houthi group in the Persian Gulf to these alleged destabilizing tactics. Meanwhile, Russian intelligence ship Yantar has recently been spotted near critical seabed infrastructure in international waters, heightening concerns over potential threats to global energy and communication systems.
Russia’s Push to Kick Ukraine out of Kursk with 50K Soldiers is Underway
Vladimir Putin's second counteroffensive in the Kursk region of Ukraine has escalated significantly compared to the initial September attempt, with a larger Russian force, including an unprecedented deployment of North Korean troops. Approximately 50,000 Russian troops, bolstered by North Korean personnel, are attempting to expel Ukrainian forces from the region, which has been under partial occupation for three months. Despite recent Ukrainian setbacks, the frontlines remain fluid, with both sides suffering heavy losses. Russian forces have reportedly engaged in costly "meat attacks," while Ukrainian troops successfully repelled some assaults, inflicting significant damage on Russian units. The conflict has also impacted other fronts, with Ukraine's stretched military resources raising concerns over the diversion of elite units to Kursk, potentially weakening defenses in the Donbas. Meanwhile, U.S. assessments suggest that Russia has not needed to withdraw troops from eastern Ukraine to reinforce Kursk. North Korean troops, estimated at 10,000, are reportedly involved in both defensive and offensive operations, enhancing Russia's capacity to sustain assaults and defend key positions.
INDO-PACIFIC
China Prepares for ‘Mercurial’ Trump’s Second Term
Experts predict that a second Donald Trump presidency would bring continued tariffs, tensions, and unpredictable dynamics to U.S.-China relations, potentially escalating economic and trade conflicts. Trump's pledge to impose 60-percent tariffs on all Chinese goods could significantly impact bilateral trade, possibly slashing it by up to 70% and disrupting $500 billion in Chinese exports. During his first term, Trump waged a trade war over what he termed unfair practices by China, such as technology theft and currency manipulation, leaving policymakers in Beijing cautious. While Trump's aggressive rhetoric alarms analysts, some view it as part of his "art of the deal" approach, suggesting openness to negotiation despite his extreme threats. His transactional style and isolationist policies could weaken Western alliances, creating strategic openings for China to enhance its global influence. However, Beijing's primary concern remains economic stability amid sluggish growth. Analysts believe Trump's strained alliance approach might reduce coordinated U.S. pressure on China, but the economic risks from trade pressures would likely dominate Beijing's worries over the next four years.
North Korea Conducts GPS Jamming Attacks, Affects Ship and Aircraft in South Korea
North Korea conducted GPS jamming attacks on Friday and Saturday, disrupting operations for several ships and dozens of civilian aircraft in South Korea, Seoul's military reported. The incidents followed North Korea’s recent launch of an advanced ICBM and its alleged dispatch of soldiers to support Russia's war in Ukraine. In response, South Korea fired a Hyunmoo surface-to-surface missile into the Yellow Sea, demonstrating its readiness to counter North Korean provocations. This missile is part of Seoul's 'Kill Chain' preemptive strike system. South Korea's joint chiefs warned vessels and aircraft in the region to be vigilant and called on Pyongyang to stop its GPS attacks, emphasizing potential risks, including aircraft accidents. Experts suggested the jamming could be to mask North Korea's military operations or disrupt Seoul’s activities. North Korea’s deeper involvement in Ukraine’s conflict, including alleged troop deployments and artillery support to Russia, has raised alarms in Seoul and among Western nations. President Yoon Suk Yeol indicated Seoul might reconsider its policy of withholding arms exports to conflict zones, potentially aiding Ukraine.
GEOPOLITICS
Leaders from Around the World Praise Trump as he Claims US Election Victory
World leaders quickly expressed congratulations as Donald Trump claimed victory over Kamala Harris in the U.S. presidential election, despite the result still pending confirmation. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called Trump’s return “history’s greatest comeback” and emphasized renewed U.S.-Israel ties. China voiced hope for “peaceful coexistence,” while French President Emmanuel Macron pledged respectful cooperation. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed hope that Trump's "peace through strength" policy would advance peace in Ukraine. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte highlighted Trump’s role in strengthening the alliance. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi praised Trump’s “historic election victory” and anticipated continued collaboration. Financial markets reacted with optimism: the dollar surged, bitcoin reached a record high, and European stocks rallied, influenced by Trump’s promises to champion cryptocurrency and have Elon Musk lead a government waste audit. Economist Peter Esho noted the market's outlook on increased growth and inflation. Trump's election hinted at significant shifts in U.S. foreign relations and economic policy, generating global attention and strategic reassessments among leaders and investors alike.